Mercadolibre Earnings Estimate

MELI -  USA Stock  

USD 808.90  21.09  2.68%

Many public companies, such as Mercadolibre, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Mercadolibre's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Mercadolibre's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Mercadolibre is projected to generate 3.78 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Mercadolibre earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Mercadolibre EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Additionally, see Stocks Correlation.
  
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The current Gross Profit is estimated to increase to about 3.2 B. The current Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.0111

Mercadolibre Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Mercadolibre is based on official Zacks consensus of 4 analysts regarding Mercadolibre future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 13.77%, the future earnings per share of Mercadolibre is estimated to be 3.78 with the lowest and highest values of 1.86 and 5.12, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Mercadolibre is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 1.58
1.86
Lowest
Expected EPS 3.78
5.12
Highest

Mercadolibre Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Mercadolibre's value are higher than the current market price of the Mercadolibre stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Mercadolibre is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Mercadolibre's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

4

13.77%

1.58

3.78

Mercadolibre Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Mercadolibre analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Mercadolibre's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Mercadolibre's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Mercadolibre Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

251 Million

Share
The current Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit is estimated to increase to about 423.9 M. The current Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is estimated to increase to about 497.2 M The current Weighted Average Shares is estimated to increase to about 52.6 M. The current Weighted Average Shares Diluted is estimated to increase to about 52.6 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mercadolibre's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mercadolibre in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
709.03815.57821.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
709.031,0811,087
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
733.55739.34745.13
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1,2501,9782,250
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mercadolibre. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mercadolibre's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mercadolibre's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mercadolibre.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Mercadolibre assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Mercadolibre. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Mercadolibre stock price in the short term.

Mercadolibre Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Mercadolibre refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Mercadolibre predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Mercadolibre, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Mercadolibre Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Mercadolibre, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Mercadolibre should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Mercadolibre Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Mercadolibre's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-05-05
2022-03-311.361.3-0.06
2022-02-22
2021-12-310.99-0.75-1.74175 
2021-11-04
2021-09-301.31191.920.608146 
2021-08-04
2021-06-300.18591.371.1841636 
2021-05-05
2021-03-31-0.0353-0.68-0.64471826 
2021-03-01
2020-12-310.1928-1.02-1.2128629 
2020-11-04
2020-09-300.26390.280.0161
2020-08-10
2020-06-300.1641.110.946576 
2020-05-05
2020-03-31-0.5717-0.440.131723 
2020-02-10
2019-12-31-0.7917-1.11-0.318340 
2019-10-31
2019-09-30-0.0739-2.96-2.88613905 
2019-08-07
2019-06-300.32230.31-0.0123
2019-05-02
2019-03-31-0.16670.130.2967177 
2019-02-26
2018-12-31-0.1116-0.050.061655 
2018-11-01
2018-09-30-0.0976-0.23-0.1324135 
2018-08-08
2018-06-30-0.28-0.250.0310 
2018-05-09
2018-03-310.4437-0.29-0.7337165 
2018-02-22
2017-12-310.55020.4086-0.141625 
2017-11-02
2017-09-300.61640.630.0136
2017-08-03
2017-06-301.05560.61-0.445642 
2017-05-04
2017-03-310.86651.10.233526 
2017-02-23
2016-12-310.9421.160.21823 
2016-11-03
2016-09-300.83590.890.0541
2016-08-04
2016-06-300.60430.740.135722 
2016-05-05
2016-03-310.57430.680.105718 
2016-02-25
2015-12-310.73810.880.141919 
2015-11-04
2015-09-300.620.750.1320 
2015-08-05
2015-06-300.680.44-0.2435 
2015-05-06
2015-03-310.40.780.3895 
2015-02-25
2014-12-310.80.76-0.04
2014-10-30
2014-09-300.650.760.1116 
2014-08-07
2014-06-300.561.080.5292 
2014-05-08
2014-03-310.570.630.0610 
2014-02-27
2013-12-310.770.930.1620 
2013-11-05
2013-09-300.730.66-0.07
2013-08-01
2013-06-300.620.670.05
2013-05-06
2013-03-310.540.53-0.01
2013-02-25
2012-12-310.610.690.0813 
2012-11-01
2012-09-300.60.59-0.01
2012-08-02
2012-06-300.490.570.0816 
2012-05-08
2012-03-310.460.45-0.01
2012-02-23
2011-12-310.510.47-0.04
2011-11-02
2011-09-300.430.60.1739 
2011-08-03
2011-06-300.380.34-0.0410 
2011-05-04
2011-03-310.310.320.01
2011-02-23
2010-12-310.350.360.01
2010-11-03
2010-09-300.310.430.1238 
2010-08-04
2010-06-300.240.260.02
2010-05-06
2010-03-310.180.220.0422 
2010-02-22
2009-12-310.260.260
2009-11-04
2009-09-300.170.220.0529 
2009-08-05
2009-06-300.120.150.0325 
2009-05-06
2009-03-310.10.120.0220 
2009-02-24
2008-12-310.080.180.1125 
2008-11-11
2008-09-300.120.130.01
2008-08-12
2008-06-300.090.07-0.0222 
2008-05-13
2008-03-310.090.05-0.0444 
2008-03-05
2007-12-310.10.120.0220 
2007-11-13
2007-09-300.060.070.0116 
2007-09-15
2007-06-30None0.0135None

About Mercadolibre Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Mercadolibre earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Mercadolibre estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Mercadolibre fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit397 M423.9 M
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT460.8 M497.2 M
Earnings per Basic Share 1.67  1.80 
Earnings per Diluted Share 1.67  1.80 
Price to Earnings Ratio 807.42  871.17 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA664.8 M717.2 M
Earnings before Tax232.1 M250.4 M
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online commerce platforms in Latin America. MercadoLibre, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay. Mercadolibre operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 29957 people.

Mercadolibre Investors Sentiment

The influence of Mercadolibre's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Mercadolibre. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Mercadolibre Implied Volatility

    
  114.73  
Mercadolibre's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mercadolibre stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mercadolibre's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mercadolibre stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mercadolibre's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mercadolibre in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mercadolibre's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mercadolibre options trading.

Current Sentiment - MELI

Mercadolibre Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are now bullish on Mercadolibre. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Mercadolibre? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Additionally, see Stocks Correlation. Note that the Mercadolibre information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mercadolibre's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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Is Mercadolibre's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercadolibre. If investors know Mercadolibre will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mercadolibre listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mercadolibre is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mercadolibre that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mercadolibre's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mercadolibre's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mercadolibre's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mercadolibre's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mercadolibre's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mercadolibre value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mercadolibre's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.