Mastercard Earnings Estimate

MA
 Stock
  

USD 357.36  2.03  0.57%   

Many public companies, such as Mastercard, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Mastercard's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Mastercard's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Mastercard is projected to generate 8.27 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Mastercard earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Mastercard EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Additionally, see Stocks Correlation.
  
The current year Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.47, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 16.8 B.

Mastercard Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Mastercard is based on official Zacks consensus of 11 analysts regarding Mastercard future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 95.18%, the future earnings per share of Mastercard is estimated to be 8.27 with the lowest and highest values of 8.21 and 8.47, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Mastercard is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 8.13
8.21
Lowest
Expected EPS 8.27
8.47
Highest

Mastercard Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Mastercard's value are higher than the current market price of the Mastercard stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Mastercard is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Mastercard's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

11

95.18%

8.13

8.27

Mastercard Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Mastercard analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Mastercard's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Mastercard's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Mastercard Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

3.1 Billion

The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 41.16, whereas Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are forecasted to decline to about 36.6 B. Mastercard Weighted Average Shares is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Weighted Average Shares was at 988 Million. The current year Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to grow to about 993 M, whereas Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is forecasted to decline to (6.3 B).
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mastercard's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mastercard in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
355.42357.23359.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
321.62386.89388.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
362.53364.34366.15
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
355.00427.18482.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mastercard. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mastercard's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mastercard's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mastercard.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Mastercard assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Mastercard. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Mastercard stock price in the short term.

Mastercard Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Mastercard refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Mastercard predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Mastercard, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Mastercard Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Mastercard, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Mastercard should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Mastercard Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Mastercard's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-07-28
2022-06-302.362.560.2
2022-04-28
2022-03-312.172.760.5927 
2022-01-27
2021-12-312.212.350.14
2021-10-28
2021-09-302.192.370.18
2021-07-29
2021-06-301.751.950.211 
2021-04-29
2021-03-311.571.740.1710 
2021-01-28
2020-12-311.511.640.13
2020-10-28
2020-09-301.661.6-0.06
2020-07-30
2020-06-301.161.360.217 
2020-04-29
2020-03-311.731.830.1
2020-01-29
2019-12-311.871.960.09
2019-10-29
2019-09-302.012.150.14
2019-07-30
2019-06-301.831.890.06
2019-04-30
2019-03-311.661.780.12
2019-01-31
2018-12-311.521.550.03
2018-10-30
2018-09-301.681.780.1
2018-07-26
2018-06-301.531.660.13
2018-05-02
2018-03-311.251.50.2520 
2018-02-01
2017-12-311.121.140.02
2017-10-31
2017-09-301.231.340.11
2017-07-27
2017-06-301.041.10.06
2017-05-02
2017-03-310.951.010.06
2017-01-31
2016-12-310.850.860.01
2016-10-28
2016-09-300.981.080.110 
2016-07-28
2016-06-300.90.960.06
2016-04-28
2016-03-310.850.860.01
2016-01-29
2015-12-310.690.790.114 
2015-10-29
2015-09-300.880.910.03
2015-07-29
2015-06-300.850.850
2015-04-29
2015-03-310.80.890.0911 
2015-01-30
2014-12-310.670.690.02
2014-10-30
2014-09-300.780.870.0911 
2014-07-31
2014-06-300.770.80.03
2014-05-01
2014-03-310.720.730.01
2014-01-31
2013-12-310.60.57-0.03
2013-10-31
2013-09-300.690.730.04
2013-07-31
2013-06-300.630.70.0711 
2013-05-01
2013-03-310.620.620
2013-01-31
2012-12-310.480.490.01
2012-10-31
2012-09-300.590.620.03
2012-08-01
2012-06-300.560.560
2012-05-02
2012-03-310.530.540.01
2012-02-02
2011-12-310.390.40.01
2011-11-02
2011-09-300.480.560.0816 
2011-08-03
2011-06-300.420.480.0614 
2011-05-03
2011-03-310.410.430.02
2011-02-03
2010-12-310.30.320.02
2010-11-02
2010-09-300.350.390.0411 
2010-08-03
2010-06-300.330.350.02
2010-05-04
2010-03-310.310.350.0412 
2010-02-04
2009-12-310.250.22-0.0312 
2009-11-03
2009-09-300.290.350.0620 
2009-07-30
2009-06-300.240.270.0312 
2009-05-01
2009-03-310.260.280.02
2009-02-05
2008-12-310.160.190.0318 
2008-11-03
2008-09-300.220.250.0313 
2008-07-31
2008-06-300.20.210.01
2008-04-29
2008-03-310.20.260.0630 
2008-01-31
2007-12-310.070.090.0228 
2007-10-31
2007-09-300.140.180.0428 
2007-08-01
2007-06-300.130.140.01
2007-05-02
2007-03-310.120.160.0433 
2007-02-09
2006-12-310.020.030.0150 
2006-11-01
2006-09-300.110.140.0327 
2006-08-02
2006-06-300.060.070.0116 
2006-05-31
2006-03-31None0.1267None

About Mastercard Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Mastercard earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Mastercard estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Mastercard fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Mastercard Investors Sentiment

The influence of Mastercard's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Mastercard. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Mastercard's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Mastercard. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mastercard can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mastercard. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Mastercard's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Mastercard's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Mastercard's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Mastercard.

Mastercard Implied Volatility

    
  35.81  
Mastercard's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mastercard stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mastercard's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mastercard stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mastercard's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mastercard in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mastercard's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mastercard options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Mastercard using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Fix your portfolio
By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Additionally, see Stocks Correlation. Note that the Mastercard information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mastercard's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Mastercard Stock analysis

When running Mastercard price analysis, check to measure Mastercard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mastercard is operating at the current time. Most of Mastercard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mastercard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mastercard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mastercard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Go
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Go
Is Mastercard's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mastercard. If investors know Mastercard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mastercard listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.13
Market Capitalization
347.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.21
Return On Assets
0.21
Return On Equity
1.51
The market value of Mastercard is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mastercard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mastercard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mastercard's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mastercard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mastercard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mastercard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mastercard value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mastercard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.