Harley Davidson Earnings Estimate

HOG -  USA Stock  

USD 32.33  1.28  3.81%

Many public companies, such as Harley Davidson, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Harley Davidson's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Harley Davidson's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Harley Davidson is projected to generate 3.92 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Harley Davidson earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Harley-Davidson EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Please check Risk vs Return Analysis.
  
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As of May 26, 2022, Gross Profit is expected to decline to about 1.8 B. In addition to that, Profit Margin is expected to decline to 0.10
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Harley Davidson Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Harley-Davidson is based on official Zacks consensus of 5 analysts regarding Harley Davidson future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 63.1%, the future earnings per share of Harley Davidson is estimated to be 3.92 with the lowest and highest values of 3.8 and 3.98, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Harley-Davidson is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 3.44
3.80
Lowest
Expected EPS 3.92
3.98
Highest

Harley Davidson Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Harley Davidson's value are higher than the current market price of the Harley Davidson stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Harley Davidson is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Harley Davidson's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

5

63.1%

3.44

3.92

Harley Davidson Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Harley-Davidson analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Harley Davidson's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Harley Davidson's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Harley Davidson Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

298.28 Million

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Harley Davidson Price to Earnings Ratio are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Price to Earnings Ratio were at 8.91 Harley Davidson Weighted Average Shares Diluted is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Weighted Average Shares Diluted was at 176.99 Million.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harley Davidson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Harley Davidson in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
30.1633.6837.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
30.2539.5643.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
26.6130.1333.65
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
38.0046.8670.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Harley Davidson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Harley Davidson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Harley Davidson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Harley-Davidson.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Harley assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Harley Davidson. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Harley stock price in the short term.

Harley Davidson Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Harley Davidson refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Harley-Davidson predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Harley Davidson, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Harley Davidson Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Harley Davidson, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Harley Davidson should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Harley Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Harley Davidson's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-04-27
2022-03-311.451.450
2022-02-08
2021-12-31-0.380.140.52136 
2021-10-27
2021-09-300.761.180.4255 
2021-07-21
2021-06-301.17041.410.239620 
2021-04-19
2021-03-310.89111.680.788988 
2021-02-02
2020-12-310.2207-0.44-0.6607299 
2020-10-27
2020-09-300.28461.050.7654268 
2020-07-28
2020-06-300.1349-0.35-0.4849359 
2020-04-28
2020-03-310.550.51-0.04
2020-01-28
2019-12-310.22070.2-0.0207
2019-10-22
2019-09-300.66740.70.0326
2019-07-23
2019-06-301.38641.460.0736
2019-04-23
2019-03-310.8650.980.11513 
2019-01-29
2018-12-310.29990.1097-0.190263 
2018-10-23
2018-09-300.56140.780.218638 
2018-07-24
2018-06-301.42941.520.0906
2018-04-24
2018-03-311.07511.240.164915 
2018-01-30
2017-12-310.45440.47550.0211
2017-10-17
2017-09-300.39070.40.0093
2017-07-18
2017-06-301.38271.480.0973
2017-04-18
2017-03-311.02261.050.0274
2017-01-31
2016-12-310.30740.27-0.037412 
2016-10-18
2016-09-300.63610.640.0039
2016-07-28
2016-06-301.53411.550.0159
2016-04-19
2016-03-311.29641.360.0636
2016-01-28
2015-12-310.2120.220.008
2015-10-20
2015-09-300.780.69-0.0911 
2015-07-21
2015-06-301.391.440.05
2015-04-21
2015-03-311.251.270.02
2015-01-29
2014-12-310.340.350.01
2014-10-21
2014-09-300.60.690.0915 
2014-07-22
2014-06-301.461.620.1610 
2014-04-22
2014-03-311.081.210.1312 
2014-01-30
2013-12-310.340.340
2013-10-22
2013-09-300.730.730
2013-07-25
2013-06-301.181.210.03
2013-04-25
2013-03-310.990.990
2013-01-29
2012-12-310.320.31-0.01
2012-10-23
2012-09-300.580.590.01
2012-08-01
2012-06-301.051.070.02
2012-04-25
2012-03-310.720.740.02
2012-01-24
2011-12-310.230.240.01
2011-10-18
2011-09-300.760.780.02
2011-07-19
2011-06-300.710.810.114 
2011-04-19
2011-03-310.530.51-0.02
2011-01-25
2010-12-31-0.3-0.180.1240 
2010-10-19
2010-09-300.350.40.0514 
2010-07-20
2010-06-300.410.590.1843 
2010-04-20
2010-03-310.220.290.0731 
2010-01-22
2009-12-31-0.32-0.63-0.3196 
2009-10-15
2009-09-300.210.11-0.147 
2009-07-16
2009-06-300.240.08-0.1666 
2009-04-16
2009-03-310.50.50
2009-01-23
2008-12-310.570.34-0.2340 
2008-10-16
2008-09-300.790.71-0.0810 
2008-07-17
2008-06-300.760.950.1925 
2008-04-17
2008-03-310.770.790.02
2008-01-25
2007-12-310.820.78-0.04
2007-10-19
2007-09-301.051.070.02
2007-07-19
2007-06-301.131.140.01
2007-04-19
2007-03-310.720.740.02
2007-01-18
2006-12-310.960.970.01
2006-10-12
2006-09-301.11.20.1
2006-07-17
2006-06-300.910.910
2006-04-12
2006-03-310.860.860
2006-01-19
2005-12-310.810.840.03
2005-10-12
2005-09-300.90.960.06
2005-07-13
2005-06-300.790.840.05
2005-04-13
2005-03-310.760.770.01
2005-01-20
2004-12-310.690.710.02
2004-10-13
2004-09-300.750.770.02
2004-07-14
2004-06-300.750.830.0810 
2004-04-14
2004-03-310.640.680.04
2004-01-21
2003-12-310.580.60.02
2003-10-15
2003-09-300.560.620.0610 
2003-07-16
2003-06-300.580.660.0813 
2003-04-16
2003-03-310.50.610.1122 
2003-01-21
2002-12-310.470.490.02
2002-10-15
2002-09-300.460.540.0817 
2002-07-16
2002-06-300.440.470.03
2002-04-16
2002-03-310.360.390.03
2002-01-17
2001-12-310.370.390.02
2001-10-09
2001-09-300.330.360.03
2001-07-11
2001-06-300.350.380.03
2001-04-10
2001-03-310.290.30.01
2001-01-17
2000-12-310.290.310.02
2000-10-11
2000-09-300.260.270.01
2000-07-12
2000-06-300.270.290.02
2000-04-11
2000-03-310.230.240.01
2000-01-18
1999-12-310.230.240.01
1999-10-11
1999-09-300.210.210
1999-07-12
1999-06-300.210.220.01
1999-04-12
1999-03-310.180.20.0211 
1999-01-19
1998-12-310.180.20.0211 
1998-10-12
1998-09-300.170.170
1998-07-13
1998-06-300.180.180
1998-04-24
1998-03-310.150.14-0.01
1998-01-22
1997-12-310.140.140
1997-10-14
1997-09-300.130.140.01
1997-07-15
1997-06-300.160.160
1997-04-15
1997-03-310.120.130.01
1997-01-23
1996-12-310.120.120
1996-10-18
1996-09-300.110.110
1996-07-16
1996-06-300.130.130
1996-04-16
1996-03-310.10.110.0110 

About Harley Davidson Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Harley Davidson earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Harley Davidson estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Harley Davidson fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit1.8 B2.9 B
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT850.2 M815.9 M
Earnings per Basic Share 4.23  3.50 
Earnings per Diluted Share 4.19  3.47 
Price to Earnings Ratio 8.91  9.14 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA850.2 M815.9 M
Earnings before Tax819.2 M786.7 M
The company operates in two segments, Motorcycles and Related Products and Financial Services. Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Harley Davidson operates under Recreational Vehicles classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5800 people.

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Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Harley-Davidson information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Harley Davidson's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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Is Harley Davidson's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harley Davidson. If investors know Harley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harley Davidson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Harley-Davidson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harley Davidson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harley Davidson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harley Davidson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harley Davidson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harley Davidson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Harley Davidson value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harley Davidson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.