Etsy Earnings Estimate

ETSY -  USA Stock  

USD 221.09  5.19  2.40%

Many public companies, such as Etsy, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Etsy's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Etsy's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Etsy is projected to generate 2.95 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Etsy earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Etsy Inc EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Continue to Investing Opportunities.

Etsy Earnings Estimates 

 
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Gross Profit is likely to rise to about 1.4 B in 2021. Profit Margin is likely to rise to 0.22 in 2021

Etsy Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Etsy Inc is based on official Zacks consensus of 6 analysts regarding Etsy future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 76.19%, the future earnings per share of Etsy is estimated to be 2.95 with the lowest and highest values of 2.55 and 3.41, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Etsy Inc is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
Current EPS
3.52
18th of October 2021
2.55
Lowest
Estimated EPS
2.95
3.41
Highest

Etsy Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Etsy's value are higher than the current market price of the Etsy stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Etsy is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Etsy's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

6

76.19%

3.52

2.95

Etsy Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Etsy Inc analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Etsy's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Etsy's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Etsy Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

100.62 MillionShare
Etsy Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Etsy reported Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT of 407.73 Million in 2020. Earnings per Basic Share is likely to rise to 3.11 in 2021, whereas Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are likely to drop (158.4 M) in 2021. Weighted Average Shares is likely to drop to about 114.5 M in 2021. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to drop to about 124.5 M in 2021.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Etsy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Etsy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
217.69220.60223.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
216.14219.05221.96
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
163.00225.86270.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Etsy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Etsy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Etsy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Etsy Inc.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Etsy assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Etsy. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Etsy stock price in the short term.

Etsy Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Etsy refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Etsy Inc predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Etsy, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Etsy Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Etsy, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Etsy should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Etsy Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Etsy's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-08-04
2021-06-300.74080.86770.126917 
2021-05-05
2021-03-310.9171.07250.155516 
2021-02-25
2020-12-310.69591.15380.457965 
2020-10-28
2020-09-300.67380.930.256238 
2020-08-05
2020-06-300.47910.81860.339570 
2020-05-06
2020-03-310.25270.29540.042716 
2020-02-26
2019-12-310.28310.33650.053418 
2019-10-30
2019-09-300.20710.25180.044721 
2019-08-01
2019-06-300.20840.23280.024411 
2019-05-08
2019-03-310.23530.29640.061125 
2019-02-25
2018-12-310.28290.3390.056119 
2018-11-06
2018-09-300.1440.22560.081656 
2018-08-06
2018-06-300.090.12060.030634 
2018-05-08
2018-03-310.10250.16280.060358 
2018-02-27
2017-12-310.1250.22620.101280 
2017-11-06
2017-09-300.08470.21140.1267149 
2017-08-03
2017-06-300.04180.110.0682163 
2017-05-02
2017-03-310.0520.0386-0.013425 
2017-02-28
2016-12-310.04720.0135-0.033771 
2016-11-01
2016-09-30-0.020.01930.0393196 
2016-08-02
2016-06-30-0.0104-0.0269-0.0165158 
2016-05-03
2016-03-31-0.0340.030.064188 
2016-02-23
2015-12-310.050.026-0.02448 
2015-11-03
2015-09-30-0.06-0.060
2015-08-04
2015-06-30-0.08-0.070.0112 
2015-05-19
2015-03-310.03-0.84-0.872900 

About Etsy Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Etsy earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Etsy estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Etsy fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2021
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit-146.8 M-158.4 M
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT407.7 M439.9 M
Earnings per Basic Share 2.88  3.11 
Earnings per Diluted Share 2.69  2.90 
Price to Earnings Ratio 61.77  66.65 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA465.9 M502.7 M
Earnings before Tax365.7 M394.6 M
Etsy, Inc. operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect buyers and sellers primarily in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Canada, Australia, France, and India. Etsy, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Brooklyn, New York. Etsy operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1598 people.

Etsy Investors Sentiment

The influence of Etsy's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Etsy. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - ETSY

Etsy Inc Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Etsy Inc. What is your opinion about investing in Etsy Inc? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with Etsy

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Etsy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Etsy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Etsy Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Etsy and Imedia Brands. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Continue to Investing Opportunities. Note that the Etsy Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Etsy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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When running Etsy Inc price analysis, check to measure Etsy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Etsy is operating at the current time. Most of Etsy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Etsy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Etsy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Etsy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Etsy Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Etsy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Etsy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Etsy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Etsy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Etsy Inc underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Etsy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Etsy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Etsy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.