EBay Earnings Estimate

EBAY -  USA Stock  

USD 58.30  0.59  1.02%

Many public companies, such as EBay, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing EBay's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across EBay's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
EBay is projected to generate 3.34 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. EBay earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected EBay Inc EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Continue to Investing Opportunities.

EBay Earnings Estimates 

 
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Profit Margin is likely to rise to 0.68 in 2022, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 6.8 B in 2022.

EBay Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of EBay Inc is based on official Zacks consensus of 6 analysts regarding EBay future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 91.17%, the future earnings per share of EBay is estimated to be 3.34 with the lowest and highest values of 3.28 and 3.38, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for EBay Inc is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
Current EPS 18.28
3.28
Lowest
Estimated EPS
3.34
3.38
Highest

EBay Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of EBay's value are higher than the current market price of the EBay stock. In this case, investors may conclude that EBay is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and EBay's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

6

91.17%

18.28

3.34

EBay Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by EBay Inc analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge EBay's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only EBay's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

EBay Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

534 MillionShare
EBay Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. EBay reported Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT of 7.53 Billion in 2021. Earnings per Basic Share is likely to rise to 9.91 in 2022, whereas Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are likely to drop slightly above 23.2 B in 2022. EBay Weighted Average Shares is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. EBay reported Weighted Average Shares of 639 Million in 2021. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to rise to about 811 M in 2022, whereas Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is likely to drop (4.7 B) in 2022.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of EBay's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of EBay in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
56.0557.8459.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
51.9462.9264.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
52.2154.0055.78
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
63.0075.6391.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EBay. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EBay's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EBay's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in EBay Inc.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of EBay assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards EBay. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving EBay stock price in the short term.

EBay Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of EBay refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering EBay Inc predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of EBay, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

EBay Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as EBay, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of EBay should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

EBay Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact EBay's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-10-27
2021-09-300.88390.90.0161
2021-08-11
2021-06-300.96460.990.0254
2021-04-28
2021-03-311.06731.090.0227
2021-02-03
2020-12-310.83190.860.0281
2020-10-28
2020-09-300.81530.850.0347
2020-07-28
2020-06-301.05641.080.0236
2020-04-29
2020-03-310.71860.770.0514
2020-01-28
2019-12-310.75490.810.0551
2019-10-23
2019-09-300.64230.670.0277
2019-07-17
2019-06-300.62350.680.0565
2019-04-23
2019-03-310.62570.670.0443
2019-01-29
2018-12-310.6770.710.033
2018-10-30
2018-09-300.54270.560.0173
2018-07-18
2018-06-300.51220.530.0178
2018-04-25
2018-03-310.53420.53-0.0042
2018-01-31
2017-12-310.58750.590.0025
2017-10-18
2017-09-300.47760.480.0024
2017-07-20
2017-06-300.44680.450.0032
2017-04-19
2017-03-310.47850.490.0115
2017-01-25
2016-12-310.53310.540.0069
2016-10-19
2016-09-300.44010.450.0099
2016-07-20
2016-06-300.42140.430.0086
2016-04-26
2016-03-310.44610.470.0239
2016-01-27
2015-12-310.49530.50.0047
2015-10-21
2015-09-300.40.430.03
2015-07-16
2015-06-300.730.760.03
2015-04-22
2015-03-310.70.770.0710 
2015-01-21
2014-12-310.890.90.01
2014-10-15
2014-09-300.670.680.01
2014-07-16
2014-06-300.680.690.01
2014-04-29
2014-03-310.670.70.03
2014-01-22
2013-12-310.80.810.01
2013-10-16
2013-09-300.630.640.01
2013-07-17
2013-06-300.630.630
2013-04-17
2013-03-310.620.630.01
2013-01-16
2012-12-310.690.70.01
2012-10-17
2012-09-300.540.550.01
2012-07-18
2012-06-300.550.560.01
2012-04-18
2012-03-310.520.550.03
2012-01-18
2011-12-310.570.60.03
2011-10-19
2011-09-300.480.480
2011-07-20
2011-06-300.460.480.02
2011-04-27
2011-03-310.460.470.01
2011-01-19
2010-12-310.470.520.0510 
2010-10-20
2010-09-300.370.40.03
2010-07-21
2010-06-300.380.40.02
2010-04-21
2010-03-310.410.420.01
2010-01-20
2009-12-310.40.440.0410 
2009-10-21
2009-09-300.370.380.01
2009-07-22
2009-06-300.360.370.01
2009-04-22
2009-03-310.330.390.0618 
2009-01-21
2008-12-310.390.410.02
2008-10-15
2008-09-300.410.460.0512 
2008-07-16
2008-06-300.410.430.02
2008-04-16
2008-03-310.390.420.03
2008-01-23
2007-12-310.410.450.04
2007-10-17
2007-09-300.330.410.0824 
2007-07-18
2007-06-300.320.340.02
2007-04-18
2007-03-310.30.330.0310 
2007-01-24
2006-12-310.280.310.0310 
2006-10-18
2006-09-300.240.260.02
2006-07-19
2006-06-300.240.240
2006-04-19
2006-03-310.240.240
2006-01-18
2005-12-310.220.240.02
2005-10-19
2005-09-300.20.20
2005-07-20
2005-06-300.180.220.0422 
2005-04-20
2005-03-310.180.20.0211 
2005-01-19
2004-12-310.170.16-0.01
2004-10-20
2004-09-300.140.140
2004-07-21
2004-06-300.140.140
2004-04-21
2004-03-310.130.160.0323 
2004-01-21
2003-12-310.110.120.01
2003-10-16
2003-09-300.090.090
2003-07-24
2003-06-300.090.08-0.0111 
2003-04-22
2003-03-310.080.090.0112 
2003-01-16
2002-12-310.060.070.0116 
2002-10-17
2002-09-300.050.060.0120 
2002-07-08
2002-06-300.040.050.0125 
2002-04-18
2002-03-310.040.050.0125 
2002-01-15
2001-12-310.030.040.0133 
2001-10-18
2001-09-300.030.030
2001-07-20
2001-06-300.020.030.0150 
2001-04-19
2001-03-310.020.020
2001-01-18
2000-12-310.020.020
2000-10-19
2000-09-300.010.020.01100 
2000-07-25
2000-06-300.010.010
2000-04-25
2000-03-31None0.01None
2000-01-25
1999-12-31None0.01None
1999-10-26
1999-09-30None0.0015None
1999-07-26
1999-06-30None0.01None
1999-04-26
1999-03-31None0.01None
1999-01-26
1998-12-3100.00160.0016
1998-10-27
1998-09-30None0.0007None

About EBay Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of EBay earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current EBay estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as EBay fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit26.4 B23.2 B
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT7.5 B8.1 B
Earnings per Basic Share 9.18  9.91 
Earnings per Diluted Share 9.07  9.79 
Price to Earnings Ratio 5.67  5.82 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA8.2 B6.7 B
Earnings before Tax7.5 B8.1 B
eBay Inc. operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers worldwide. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, California. EBay operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 12700 people.

EBay Investors Sentiment

The influence of EBay's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in EBay. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

EBay Implied Volatility

    
  60.2  
EBay's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of EBay Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if EBay's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that EBay stock will not fluctuate a lot when EBay's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards EBay in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, EBay's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from EBay options trading.

Current Sentiment - EBAY

EBay Inc Investor Sentiment

Majority of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on EBay Inc. What is your opinion about investing in EBay Inc? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with EBay

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if EBay position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in EBay will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

EBay Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for EBay and Mogu Inc ADR. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Continue to Investing Opportunities. Note that the EBay Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other EBay's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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Is EBay's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EBay. If investors know EBay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EBay listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of EBay Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EBay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EBay's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EBay's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EBay's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EBay's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EBay's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine EBay value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EBay's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.