Graftech International Earnings Estimate

EAF
 Stock
  

USD 6.78  0.23  3.51%   

Many public companies, such as Graftech International, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Graftech International's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Graftech International's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Graftech International is projected to generate 1.6 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Graftech International earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Graftech International EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Continue to Investing Opportunities.
  
The current year Gross Profit is expected to grow to about 685.9 M, whereas Profit Margin is forecasted to decline to 0.25.

Graftech International Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Graftech International is based on official Zacks consensus of 1 analysts regarding Graftech International future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 91.01%, the future earnings per share of Graftech International is estimated to be 1.6 with the lowest and highest values of 1.6 and 1.6, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Graftech International is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 1.39
1.60
Lowest
Expected EPS 1.6
1.60
Highest

Graftech International Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Graftech International's value are higher than the current market price of the Graftech International stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Graftech International is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Graftech International's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

1

91.01%

1.39

1.6

Graftech International Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Graftech International analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Graftech International's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Graftech International's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Graftech International Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

159.83 Million

Graftech International Earnings per Basic Share are projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Earnings per Basic Share were at 1.46. The current year Earnings per Diluted Share is expected to grow to 1.52, whereas Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are forecasted to decline to (791.1 M). As of August 11, 2022, Weighted Average Shares is expected to decline to about 261.2 M. In addition to that, Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to decline to about 261.3 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Graftech International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Graftech International in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3.756.709.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.129.0712.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.825.778.72
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
15.0015.5016.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Graftech International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Graftech International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Graftech International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Graftech International.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Graftech assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Graftech International. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Graftech stock price in the short term.

Graftech International Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Graftech International refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Graftech International predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Graftech International, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Graftech International Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Graftech International, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Graftech International should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Graftech Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Graftech International's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-08-05
2022-06-300.430.440.01
2022-05-06
2022-03-310.440.480.04
2022-02-04
2021-12-310.420.50.0819 
2021-11-05
2021-09-300.410.450.04
2021-08-06
2021-06-300.380.430.0513 
2021-05-05
2021-03-310.370.370
2021-02-05
2020-12-310.40.410.01
2020-11-03
2020-09-300.350.350
2020-08-06
2020-06-300.220.350.1359 
2020-05-06
2020-03-310.480.45-0.03
2020-02-06
2019-12-310.550.610.0610 
2019-11-07
2019-09-300.620.61-0.01
2019-07-31
2019-06-300.740.68-0.06
2019-05-01
2019-03-310.670.680.01
2019-02-08
2018-12-310.710.870.1622 
2018-11-02
2018-09-300.630.670.04
2018-08-03
2018-06-300.590.830.2440 
2018-04-19
2018-03-31None0.7401None

About Graftech International Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Graftech International earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Graftech International estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Graftech International fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit-733.2 M-791.1 M
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT525.2 M561.4 M
Earnings per Basic Share 1.46  1.52 
Earnings per Diluted Share 1.46  1.52 
Price to Earnings Ratio 8.10  7.62 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA590.9 M635.1 M
Earnings before Tax456.4 M478.2 M
GrafTech International Ltd. research, develops, manufactures, and sells graphite and carbon-based solutions worldwide. GrafTech International Ltd. was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Brooklyn Heights, Ohio. Graftech International operates under Electrical Equipment Parts classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 1353 people.

Graftech International Investors Sentiment

The influence of Graftech International's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Graftech. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Graftech International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Graftech. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Graftech can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Graftech International. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Graftech International's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Graftech International's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Graftech International's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Graftech International.

Graftech International Implied Volatility

    
  16.55  
Graftech International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Graftech International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Graftech International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Graftech International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Graftech International's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Graftech International in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Graftech International's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Graftech International options trading.

Pair Trading with Graftech International

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Graftech International position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Graftech International will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Graftech International

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Graftech International could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Graftech International when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Graftech International - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Graftech International to buy it.
The correlation of Graftech International is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Graftech International moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Graftech International moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Graftech International can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Investing Opportunities. Note that the Graftech International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Graftech International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for Graftech Stock analysis

When running Graftech International price analysis, check to measure Graftech International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graftech International is operating at the current time. Most of Graftech International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graftech International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graftech International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graftech International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Graftech International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graftech International. If investors know Graftech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graftech International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
3.18
Market Capitalization
1.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.099
Return On Assets
0.27
Return On Equity
0.54
The market value of Graftech International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graftech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graftech International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graftech International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graftech International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graftech International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graftech International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Graftech International value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graftech International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.