Commvault Systems Earnings Estimate

CVLT
 Stock
  

USD 57.62  0.80  1.41%   

Many public companies, such as Commvault Systems, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Commvault Systems' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Commvault Systems' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Commvault Systems is projected to generate 0.79 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2022. Commvault Systems earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Commvault Systems EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Continue to Trending Equities.
  
Gross Profit is likely to gain to about 656.2 M in 2022. Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.0475 in 2022

Commvault Systems Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Commvault Systems is based on official Zacks consensus of 3 analysts regarding Commvault Systems future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of -12.75%, the future earnings per share of Commvault Systems is estimated to be 0.79 with the lowest and highest values of 0.73 and 0.86, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Commvault Systems is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 0.5
0.73
Lowest
Expected EPS 0.79
0.86
Highest

Commvault Systems Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Commvault Systems' value are higher than the current market price of the Commvault Systems stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Commvault Systems is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Commvault Systems' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2022

3

-12.75%

0.5

0.79

Commvault Systems Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Commvault Systems analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Commvault Systems' stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Commvault Systems' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Commvault Systems Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

10.3 Million

Commvault Systems Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Commvault Systems reported Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT of 43.52 Million in 2021. Earnings per Basic Share is likely to gain to 0.80 in 2022, whereas Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are likely to drop (922.3 M) in 2022. Weighted Average Shares is likely to gain to about 50.3 M in 2022, whereas Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to drop slightly above 44.6 M in 2022.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commvault Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Commvault Systems in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
54.6457.6260.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
51.8667.8570.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
55.2858.2561.23
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
64.0078.8085.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Commvault Systems. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Commvault Systems' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Commvault Systems' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Commvault Systems.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Commvault assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Commvault Systems. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Commvault stock price in the short term.

Commvault Systems Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Commvault Systems refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Commvault Systems predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Commvault Systems, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Commvault Systems Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Commvault Systems, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Commvault Systems should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Commvault Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Commvault Systems' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-07-26
2022-06-300.630.640.01
2022-05-03
2022-03-310.640.750.1117 
2022-01-25
2021-12-310.650.670.02
2021-10-26
2021-09-300.570.48-0.0915 
2021-07-27
2021-06-300.520.620.119 
2021-05-04
2021-03-310.480.590.1122 
2021-01-27
2020-12-310.470.570.121 
2020-10-27
2020-09-300.350.450.128 
2020-07-28
2020-06-300.160.510.35218 
2020-05-12
2020-03-310.380.3-0.0821 
2020-01-29
2019-12-310.410.470.0614 
2019-10-29
2019-09-300.280.420.1450 
2019-07-30
2019-06-300.310.27-0.0412 
2019-04-30
2019-03-310.530.51-0.02
2019-01-29
2018-12-310.420.540.1228 
2018-10-30
2018-09-300.370.40.03
2018-07-24
2018-06-300.270.360.0933 
2018-05-01
2018-03-310.330.31-0.02
2018-01-24
2017-12-310.310.3-0.01
2017-10-24
2017-09-300.260.21-0.0519 
2017-07-25
2017-06-300.190.210.0210 
2017-05-03
2017-03-310.260.290.0311 
2017-01-25
2016-12-310.260.280.02
2016-10-25
2016-09-300.20.250.0525 
2016-07-26
2016-06-300.170.210.0423 
2016-05-03
2016-03-310.250.360.1144 
2016-01-27
2015-12-310.20.280.0840 
2015-10-27
2015-09-300.130.150.0215 
2015-07-28
2015-06-300.240.12-0.1250 
2015-05-05
2015-03-310.310.27-0.0412 
2015-01-28
2014-12-310.350.34-0.01
2014-10-28
2014-09-300.450.35-0.122 
2014-07-29
2014-06-300.410.440.03
2014-04-25
2014-03-310.470.520.0510 
2014-01-29
2013-12-310.440.540.122 
2013-10-29
2013-09-300.40.480.0820 
2013-07-30
2013-06-300.350.40.0514 
2013-05-07
2013-03-310.340.410.0720 
2013-01-30
2012-12-310.320.390.0721 
2012-10-29
2012-09-300.280.380.135 
2012-07-31
2012-06-300.230.30.0730 
2012-05-08
2012-03-310.260.290.0311 
2012-02-01
2011-12-310.250.270.02
2011-11-01
2011-09-300.210.240.0314 
2011-08-02
2011-06-300.170.210.0423 
2011-05-10
2011-03-310.230.250.02
2011-02-01
2010-12-310.210.220.01
2010-11-02
2010-09-300.180.190.01
2010-08-03
2010-06-300.110.110
2010-05-11
2010-03-310.190.210.0210 
2010-02-03
2009-12-310.180.190.01
2009-10-28
2009-09-300.160.170.01
2009-08-04
2009-06-300.10.150.0550 
2009-05-13
2009-03-310.150.09-0.0640 
2009-02-04
2008-12-310.170.15-0.0211 
2008-10-29
2008-09-300.160.170.01
2008-08-04
2008-06-300.140.12-0.0214 
2008-05-13
2008-03-310.180.190.01
2008-02-05
2007-12-310.150.150
2007-10-30
2007-09-300.120.120
2007-08-02
2007-06-300.110.110
2007-05-15
2007-03-310.120.140.0216 
2007-01-30
2006-12-310.10.10
2006-11-06
2006-09-300.10.120.0220 

About Commvault Systems Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Commvault Systems earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Commvault Systems estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Commvault Systems fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit-898.7 M-922.3 M
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT43.5 M47 M
Earnings per Basic Share 0.74  0.80 
Earnings per Diluted Share 0.71  0.77 
Price to Earnings Ratio 89.66  96.74 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA54.5 M44.3 M
Earnings before Tax43.4 M46.8 M
Commvault Systems, Inc. provides data protection and information management software applications and related services in the United States and internationally. Commvault Systems, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey. Commvault Systems operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2800 people.

Commvault Systems Investors Sentiment

The influence of Commvault Systems' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Commvault. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Commvault Systems' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Commvault. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Commvault can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Commvault Systems. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Commvault Systems' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Commvault Systems' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Commvault Systems' news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Commvault Systems.

Commvault Systems Implied Volatility

    
  37.11  
Commvault Systems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Commvault Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Commvault Systems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Commvault Systems stock will not fluctuate a lot when Commvault Systems' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Commvault Systems in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Commvault Systems' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Commvault Systems options trading.

Pair Trading with Commvault Systems

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Commvault Systems position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Commvault Systems will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Commvault Systems

0.51CDKCDK Global Fiscal Year End 16th of August 2022 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Commvault Systems could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Commvault Systems when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Commvault Systems - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Commvault Systems to buy it.
The correlation of Commvault Systems is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Commvault Systems moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Commvault Systems moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Commvault Systems can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Commvault Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Commvault Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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Is Commvault Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commvault Systems. If investors know Commvault will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Commvault Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.73
Market Capitalization
2.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.079
Return On Assets
0.0249
Return On Equity
0.0744
The market value of Commvault Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Commvault that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Commvault Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Commvault Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Commvault Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Commvault Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Commvault Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Commvault Systems value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Commvault Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.