Big 5 Earnings Estimate

BGFV -  USA Stock  

USD 13.18  0.39  3.05%

Many public companies, such as Big 5, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Big 5's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Big 5's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Big 5 is projected to generate 4.51 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Big 5 earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Big 5 Sporting EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Continue to Trending Equities.
  
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Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 399.6 M in 2022. Profit Margin is likely to drop to 0.0468 in 2022
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Big 5 Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Big 5 Sporting is based on official Zacks consensus of 0 analysts regarding Big 5 future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 30.56%, the future earnings per share of Big 5 is estimated to be 4.51 with the lowest and highest values of 4.5 and 4.52, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Big 5 Sporting is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 4.6
4.50
Lowest
Expected EPS 4.51
4.52
Highest

Big 5 Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Big 5's value are higher than the current market price of the Big 5 stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Big 5 is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Big 5's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

0

30.56%

4.6

4.51

Big 5 Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Big 5 Sporting analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Big 5's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Big 5's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Big 5 Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

31.96 Million

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Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to climb to 82.12 in 2022, whereas Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are likely to drop slightly above 160.4 M in 2022. Big 5 Weighted Average Shares is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Big 5 reported Weighted Average Shares of 21.67 Million in 2021. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to climb to about 23.2 M in 2022, whereas Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is likely to drop (6.9 M) in 2022.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Big 5's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Big 5 in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.0412.0316.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.9310.9214.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.6311.6215.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4912.7614.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Big 5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Big 5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Big 5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Big 5 Sporting.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Big 5 assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Big 5. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Big 5 stock price in the short term.

Big 5 Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Big 5 refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Big 5 Sporting predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Big 5, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Big 5 Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Big 5, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Big 5 should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Big 5 Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Big 5's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-05-03
2022-03-310.370.410.0410 
2022-03-01
2021-12-310.850.890.04
2021-11-02
2021-09-301.131.07-0.06
2021-08-03
2021-06-301.081.630.5550 
2021-05-04
2021-03-310.50.90.480 
2021-03-02
2020-12-310.90.950.05
2020-10-27
2020-09-301.11.310.2119 
2020-07-29
2020-06-30None0.52None
2020-05-27
2020-03-31None-0.22None
2020-02-25
2019-12-31None0.0168None
2019-10-29
2019-09-30None0.3024None
2019-07-30
2019-06-300.030.030
2019-04-30
2019-03-310.07590.10.024131 
2019-02-26
2018-12-31-0.1584-0.15670.0017
2018-10-30
2018-09-300.19080.15-0.040821 
2018-07-31
2018-06-300.1066-0.01-0.1166109 
2018-05-01
2018-03-31-0.1403-0.050.090364 
2018-02-27
2017-12-31-0.0966-0.1-0.0034
2017-10-31
2017-09-300.2840.28-0.004
2017-08-01
2017-06-300.18960.13-0.059631 
2017-05-02
2017-03-310.1450.240.09565 
2017-02-28
2016-12-310.34280.370.0272
2016-11-01
2016-09-300.29180.410.118240 
2016-08-02
2016-06-300.02410.110.0859356 
2016-05-03
2016-03-310.01-0.02-0.03300 
2016-03-01
2015-12-310.180.220.0422 
2015-10-27
2015-09-300.30.28-0.02
2015-07-28
2015-06-300.150.150
2015-04-28
2015-03-310.110.140.0327 
2015-02-24
2014-12-310.160.13-0.0318 
2014-10-28
2014-09-300.280.340.0621 
2014-07-29
2014-06-300.170.12-0.0529 
2014-04-29
2014-03-310.090.090
2014-02-25
2013-12-310.220.230.01
2013-10-29
2013-09-300.440.450.01
2013-07-30
2013-06-300.260.280.02
2013-04-30
2013-03-310.210.340.1361 
2013-02-26
2012-12-310.180.190.01
2012-11-01
2012-09-300.310.380.0722 
2012-07-31
2012-06-300.10.150.0550 
2012-05-01
2012-03-310.030.01-0.0266 
2012-02-28
2011-12-310.04-0.0004-0.0404101 
2011-11-01
2011-09-300.170.270.158 
2011-08-02
2011-06-300.10.140.0440 
2011-05-03
2011-03-310.190.13-0.0631 
2011-03-01
2010-12-310.230.250.02
2010-11-02
2010-09-300.320.31-0.01
2010-08-05
2010-06-300.220.220
2010-05-06
2010-03-310.20.230.0315 
2010-03-02
2009-12-310.330.32-0.01
2009-11-03
2009-09-300.340.370.03
2009-08-04
2009-06-300.150.220.0746 
2009-04-30
2009-03-310.060.130.07116 
2009-02-26
2008-12-310.140.170.0321 
2008-11-03
2008-09-300.160.210.0531 
2008-07-31
2008-06-300.080.080
2008-04-30
2008-03-310.180.190.01
2008-02-28
2007-12-310.260.280.02
2007-11-01
2007-09-300.30.370.0723 
2007-08-01
2007-06-300.250.260.01
2007-05-03
2007-03-310.320.330.01
2007-03-08
2006-12-310.390.420.03
2006-11-06
2006-09-300.340.340
2006-08-10
2006-06-300.260.330.0726 
2006-05-11
2006-03-310.180.260.0844 
2006-03-09
2005-12-310.330.340.01
2005-11-10
2005-09-300.370.32-0.0513 
2005-09-30
2005-06-300.360.27-0.0925 
2005-05-04
2005-03-310.330.28-0.0515 
2005-02-09
2004-12-310.590.54-0.05
2004-10-27
2004-09-300.360.370.01
2004-08-04
2004-06-300.360.35-0.01
2004-04-29
2004-03-310.250.30.0520 
2004-02-11
2003-12-310.470.490.02
2003-10-29
2003-09-300.280.30.02
2003-07-30
2003-06-300.30.28-0.02
2003-05-01
2003-03-310.170.190.0211 
2003-02-12
2002-12-310.390.390
2002-10-30
2002-09-300.210.240.0314 
2002-06-30
2002-06-30None0.1274None

About Big 5 Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Big 5 earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Big 5 estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Big 5 fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit192.3 M160.4 M
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT136 M80.2 M
Earnings per Basic Share 4.73  2.52 
Earnings per Diluted Share 4.55  2.42 
Price to Earnings Ratio 4.02  82.12 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA220 M134.6 M
Earnings before Tax135.1 M78.9 M
Big 5 Sporting Goods Corporation operates as a sporting goods retailer in the western United States. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California. Big 5 operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2400 people.

Big 5 Investors Sentiment

The influence of Big 5's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Big 5. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Big 5 Implied Volatility

    
  68.81  
Big 5's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Big 5 Sporting stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Big 5's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Big 5 stock will not fluctuate a lot when Big 5's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Big 5 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Big 5's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Big 5 options trading.

Current Sentiment - BGFV

Big 5 Sporting Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Big 5 Sporting. What is your opinion about investing in Big 5 Sporting? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with Big 5

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Big 5 position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Big 5 will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Big 5 Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Big 5 could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Big 5 when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Big 5 - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Big 5 Sporting to buy it.
The correlation of Big 5 is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Big 5 moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Big 5 Sporting moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Big 5 can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Big 5 Sporting information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Big 5's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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Is Big 5's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Big 5. If investors know Big 5 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Big 5 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Big 5 Sporting is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Big 5 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Big 5's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Big 5's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Big 5's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Big 5's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Big 5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Big 5 value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Big 5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.