American Express Earnings Estimate

AXP
 Stock
  

USD 165.84  2.85  1.75%   

Many public companies, such as American Express, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing American Express' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across American Express' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
American Express is projected to generate 9.57 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. American Express earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected American Express EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Please continue to Trending Equities.
  
As of 15th of August 2022, Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 42.6 B. In addition to that, Profit Margin is likely to drop to 0.17

American Express Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of American Express is based on official Zacks consensus of 14 analysts regarding American Express future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 96.3%, the future earnings per share of American Express is estimated to be 9.57 with the lowest and highest values of 9.3 and 9.83, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for American Express is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 9.78
9.30
Lowest
Expected EPS 9.57
9.83
Highest

American Express Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of American Express' value are higher than the current market price of the American Express stock. In this case, investors may conclude that American Express is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and American Express' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

14

96.3%

9.78

9.57

American Express Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by American Express analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge American Express' stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only American Express' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

American Express Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

2.94 Billion

As of 15th of August 2022, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 18.96, while Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are likely to drop about 13.1 B. American Express Weighted Average Shares is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. American Express reported last year Weighted Average Shares of 789 Million. As of 15th of August 2022, Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to grow to about 820.5 M, while Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is likely to drop (7.8 B).
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Express' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American Express in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
163.64165.84168.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
149.26175.02177.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
165.88168.08170.28
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
151.00190.75233.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Express. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Express' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Express' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in American Express.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of American assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards American Express. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving American stock price in the short term.

American Express Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of American Express refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering American Express predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of American Express, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

American Express Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as American Express, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of American Express should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

American Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Express' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-07-22
2022-06-302.412.570.16
2022-04-22
2022-03-312.442.730.2911 
2022-01-25
2021-12-311.872.180.3116 
2021-10-22
2021-09-301.82.270.4726 
2021-07-23
2021-06-301.672.81.1367 
2021-04-23
2021-03-311.612.741.1370 
2021-01-26
2020-12-311.311.760.4534 
2020-10-23
2020-09-301.361.3-0.06
2020-07-24
2020-06-30-0.110.290.4363 
2020-04-24
2020-03-311.430.41-1.0271 
2020-01-24
2019-12-312.012.030.02
2019-10-18
2019-09-302.032.080.05
2019-07-19
2019-06-302.042.070.03
2019-04-18
2019-03-311.992.010.02
2019-01-17
2018-12-311.81.74-0.06
2018-10-18
2018-09-301.771.880.11
2018-07-18
2018-06-301.821.840.02
2018-04-18
2018-03-311.711.860.15
2018-01-18
2017-12-311.541.580.04
2017-10-18
2017-09-301.481.50.02
2017-07-19
2017-06-301.441.470.03
2017-04-19
2017-03-311.281.340.06
2017-01-19
2016-12-310.980.88-0.110 
2016-10-19
2016-09-300.971.20.2323 
2016-07-20
2016-06-301.952.10.15
2016-04-20
2016-03-311.351.450.1
2016-01-21
2015-12-311.121.230.11
2015-10-21
2015-09-301.311.24-0.07
2015-07-22
2015-06-301.321.420.1
2015-04-16
2015-03-311.371.480.11
2015-01-21
2014-12-311.381.22-0.1611 
2014-10-15
2014-09-301.371.40.03
2014-07-29
2014-06-301.381.380
2014-04-16
2014-03-311.31.330.03
2014-01-16
2013-12-311.261.25-0.01
2013-10-16
2013-09-301.221.250.03
2013-07-17
2013-06-301.221.270.05
2013-04-17
2013-03-311.121.150.03
2013-01-17
2012-12-311.091.090
2012-10-17
2012-09-301.091.090
2012-07-18
2012-06-301.091.150.06
2012-04-18
2012-03-3111.070.07
2012-01-19
2011-12-310.981.010.03
2011-10-19
2011-09-300.961.030.07
2011-07-20
2011-06-300.991.070.08
2011-04-20
2011-03-310.930.970.04
2011-01-24
2010-12-310.970.94-0.03
2010-10-21
2010-09-300.860.90.04
2010-07-22
2010-06-300.780.840.06
2010-04-22
2010-03-310.630.730.115 
2010-01-21
2009-12-310.570.590.02
2009-10-22
2009-09-300.380.540.1642 
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.260.09-0.1765 
2009-04-23
2009-03-310.120.320.2166 
2009-01-26
2008-12-310.220.21-0.01
2008-10-20
2008-09-300.590.740.1525 
2008-07-21
2008-06-300.830.56-0.2732 
2008-04-24
2008-03-310.810.840.03
2008-01-28
2007-12-310.710.710
2007-10-22
2007-09-300.850.90.05
2007-07-23
2007-06-300.860.880.02
2007-04-19
2007-03-310.80.880.0810 
2007-01-22
2006-12-310.760.760
2006-10-23
2006-09-300.760.780.02
2006-07-24
2006-06-300.740.780.04
2006-04-24
2006-03-310.690.70.01
2006-01-23
2005-12-310.590.60.01
2005-10-24
2005-09-300.680.690.01
2005-07-25
2005-06-300.780.810.03
2005-04-26
2005-03-310.750.750
2005-01-24
2004-12-310.70.710.01
2004-10-25
2004-09-300.690.690
2004-07-26
2004-06-300.670.680.01
2004-04-22
2004-03-310.620.660.04
2004-01-26
2003-12-310.590.60.01
2003-10-27
2003-09-300.580.590.01
2003-07-28
2003-06-300.570.590.02
2003-04-24
2003-03-310.520.530.01
2003-01-27
2002-12-310.510.520.01
2002-10-28
2002-09-300.510.520.01
2002-07-22
2002-06-300.50.510.01
2002-04-18
2002-03-310.430.460.03
2002-01-28
2001-12-310.390.40.01
2001-10-22
2001-09-300.30.22-0.0826 
2001-07-23
2001-06-300.130.130
2001-03-31
2001-03-31None0.3504None
2001-01-22
2000-12-310.50.50
2000-10-23
2000-09-300.550.54-0.01
2000-07-24
2000-06-300.530.540.01
2000-04-24
2000-03-310.470.480.01
2000-01-24
1999-12-310.440.440
1999-10-25
1999-09-300.470.470
1999-07-26
1999-06-300.470.470
1999-04-22
1999-03-310.410.430.02
1999-01-25
1998-12-310.390.390
1998-10-26
1998-09-300.420.420
1998-07-27
1998-06-300.410.420.01
1998-04-23
1998-03-310.360.370.01
1998-01-26
1997-12-310.340.350.01
1997-10-27
1997-09-300.360.370.01
1997-07-28
1997-06-300.350.360.01
1997-04-24
1997-03-310.310.310
1997-01-27
1996-12-310.30.30
1996-10-28
1996-09-300.320.320
1996-07-22
1996-06-300.310.310
1996-04-18
1996-03-310.270.270

About American Express Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of American Express earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current American Express estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as American Express fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit13.5 B13.1 B
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT10.7 B10.1 B
Earnings per Basic Share 10.04  8.54 
Earnings per Diluted Share 10.02  8.53 
Price to Earnings Ratio 16.30  18.96 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA12.4 B11.7 B
Earnings before Tax10.7 B10.1 B
American Express Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides charge and credit payment card products, and travel-related services worldwide. American Express Company was founded in 1850 and is headquartered in New York, New York. American Express operates under Credit Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 64000 people.

American Express Investors Sentiment

The influence of American Express' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in American. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

American Express Implied Volatility

    
  32.48  
American Express' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Express stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Express' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Express stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Express' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards American Express in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, American Express' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from American Express options trading.

Pair Trading with American Express

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Express position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Express will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Express could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Express when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Express - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Express to buy it.
The correlation of American Express is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Express moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Express moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Express can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the American Express information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Express' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis

When running American Express price analysis, check to measure American Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Express is operating at the current time. Most of American Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Shere Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Go
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Is American Express' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Express. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.082
Market Capitalization
124.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.2
Return On Assets
0.0388
Return On Equity
0.31
The market value of American Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Express value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.