Atmos Energy Earnings Estimate

ATO
 Stock
  

USD 113.89  1.94  1.67%   

Many public companies, such as Atmos Energy, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Atmos Energy's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Atmos Energy's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Atmos Energy is projected to generate 5.49 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2022. Atmos Energy earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Atmos Energy Corp EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Please continue to Trending Equities.
  
The value of Gross Profit is estimated to slide to about 2.5 B. The value of Profit Margin is estimated to slide to 0.19

Atmos Energy Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Atmos Energy Corp is based on official Zacks consensus of 3 analysts regarding Atmos Energy future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 98.69%, the future earnings per share of Atmos Energy is estimated to be 5.49 with the lowest and highest values of 5.41 and 5.53, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Atmos Energy Corp is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 5.12
5.41
Lowest
Expected EPS 5.49
5.53
Highest

Atmos Energy Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Atmos Energy's value are higher than the current market price of the Atmos Energy stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Atmos Energy is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Atmos Energy's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2022

3

98.69%

5.12

5.49

Atmos Energy Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Atmos Energy Corp analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Atmos Energy's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Atmos Energy's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Atmos Energy Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

302.08 Million

Atmos Energy Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit is estimated at 3.49 Billion. Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to rise to 21.20 this year, although the value of Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT will most likely fall to about 929 M. Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares is expected to rise to about 772.4 M this year, although the value of Weighted Average Shares will most likely fall to about 139.6 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atmos Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Atmos Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
114.39115.80117.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
112.07113.48127.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
111.78113.18114.59
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
101.00112.83126.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atmos Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atmos Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atmos Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Atmos Energy Corp.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Atmos assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Atmos Energy. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Atmos stock price in the short term.

Atmos Energy Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Atmos Energy refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Atmos Energy, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Atmos Energy Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Atmos Energy, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Atmos Energy should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Atmos Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Atmos Energy's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-08-03
2022-06-300.850.920.07
2022-05-04
2022-03-312.352.370.02
2022-02-08
2021-12-311.851.860.01
2021-11-10
2021-09-300.340.370.03
2021-08-04
2021-06-300.720.780.06
2021-05-05
2021-03-312.052.30.2512 
2021-02-02
2020-12-311.581.710.13
2020-11-11
2020-09-300.510.530.02
2020-08-05
2020-06-300.760.790.03
2020-05-06
2020-03-311.921.950.03
2020-02-04
2019-12-311.491.47-0.02
2019-11-06
2019-09-300.460.490.03
2019-08-07
2019-06-300.680.680
2019-05-07
2019-03-311.691.820.13
2019-02-05
2018-12-311.331.380.05
2018-11-07
2018-09-300.360.410.0513 
2018-08-08
2018-06-300.670.64-0.03
2018-05-02
2018-03-311.541.570.03
2018-02-06
2017-12-311.131.40.2723 
2017-11-08
2017-09-300.340.340
2017-08-02
2017-06-300.660.670.01
2017-05-03
2017-03-311.421.520.1
2017-02-07
2016-12-311.041.080.04
2016-11-09
2016-09-300.320.390.0721 
2016-08-03
2016-06-300.590.670.0813 
2016-05-04
2016-03-311.41.40
2016-02-02
2015-12-311.010.93-0.08
2015-11-04
2015-09-300.260.290.0311 
2015-08-05
2015-06-300.490.540.0510 
2015-05-06
2015-03-311.331.360.03
2015-02-03
2014-12-310.870.910.04
2014-11-05
2014-09-300.180.240.0633 
2014-08-06
2014-06-300.450.450
2014-05-07
2014-03-311.251.370.12
2014-02-04
2013-12-310.860.880.02
2013-11-06
2013-09-300.120.130.01
2013-08-06
2013-06-300.370.420.0513 
2013-05-01
2013-03-311.311.25-0.06
2013-02-06
2012-12-310.770.71-0.06
2012-11-07
2012-09-300.080.090.0112 
2012-08-08
2012-06-300.160.310.1593 
2012-05-02
2012-03-311.431.28-0.1510 
2012-02-07
2011-12-310.850.61-0.2428 
2011-11-09
2011-09-300.040.080.04100 
2011-08-03
2011-06-300.10.04-0.0660 
2011-05-04
2011-03-311.391.35-0.04
2011-02-08
2010-12-310.860.81-0.05
2010-11-03
2010-09-30-0.060.0170.077128 
2010-08-04
2010-06-30None0.09None
2010-05-05
2010-03-311.451.44-0.01
2010-02-02
2009-12-310.910.71-0.221 
2009-11-10
2009-09-30-0.08-0.17-0.09112 
2009-08-04
2009-06-30-0.090.020.11122 
2009-04-30
2009-03-311.321.29-0.03
2009-02-03
2008-12-310.860.83-0.03
2008-11-11
2008-09-30-0.030.020.05166 
2008-08-05
2008-06-30-0.06-0.07-0.0116 
2008-05-01
2008-03-311.321.24-0.08
2008-02-05
2007-12-310.840.82-0.02
2007-11-07
2007-09-30-0.1-0.070.0330 
2007-08-07
2007-06-30-0.09-0.15-0.0666 
2007-05-02
2007-03-311.191.20.01
2007-02-06
2006-12-310.920.970.05
2006-11-07
2006-09-300.060.070.0116 
2006-08-09
2006-06-300.04-0.22-0.26650 
2006-05-04
2006-03-311.091.10.01
2006-02-07
2005-12-310.820.880.06
2005-11-08
2005-09-30-0.23-0.210.02
2005-08-08
2005-06-30-0.040.060.1250 
2005-05-09
2005-03-311.121.11-0.01
2005-02-08
2004-12-310.630.790.1625 
2004-11-09
2004-09-30-0.17-0.110.0635 
2004-08-10
2004-06-300.020.090.07350 
2004-05-11
2004-03-311.111.120.01
2004-02-10
2003-12-310.550.570.02
2003-11-11
2003-09-30-0.15-0.050.166 
2003-08-13
2003-06-30None-0.0044None
2003-05-13
2003-03-311.051.070.02
2003-02-11
2002-12-310.550.60.05
2002-11-13
2002-09-30-0.13-0.14-0.01
2002-08-14
2002-06-300.010.080.07700 
2002-05-15
2002-03-311.041.01-0.03
2002-02-12
2001-12-310.490.50.01
2001-11-08
2001-09-30-0.25-0.190.0624 
2001-07-27
2001-06-30-0.07-0.08-0.0114 
2001-04-25
2001-03-311.081.130.05
2001-01-24
2000-12-310.660.70.04
2000-11-09
2000-09-30-0.26-0.230.0311 
2000-07-28
2000-06-30-0.14-0.140
2000-04-27
2000-03-310.940.940
2000-02-09
1999-12-310.480.46-0.02
1999-11-10
1999-09-30-0.57-0.68-0.1119 
1999-08-11
1999-06-30-0.16-0.17-0.01
1999-04-29
1999-03-311.021.01-0.01
1999-02-09
1998-12-310.520.5-0.02
1998-11-11
1998-09-30-0.2-0.130.0735 
1998-07-24
1998-06-300.040.040
1998-04-28
1998-03-311.191.250.06
1998-02-10
1997-12-310.620.680.06
1997-11-12
1997-09-30-0.23-0.31-0.0834 
1997-08-13
1997-06-300.010.030.02200 
1997-05-14
1997-03-3111.070.07
1997-02-12
1996-12-310.550.550
1996-11-04
1996-09-30-0.2-0.25-0.0525 
1996-08-14
1996-06-300.020.020
1996-05-08
1996-03-311.111.150.04

About Atmos Energy Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Atmos Energy earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Atmos Energy estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Atmos Energy fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit3.2 B3.5 B
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBITB929 M
Earnings per Basic Share 5.89  5.22 
Earnings per Diluted Share 5.89  5.22 
Price to Earnings Ratio 19.81  21.20 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA1.6 B1.4 B
Earnings before Tax942.2 M811.1 M
Atmos Energy Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the regulated natural gas distribution, and pipeline and storage businesses in the United States. Atmos Energy Corporation was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Atmos Energy operates under UtilitiesRegulated Gas classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 4684 people.

Atmos Energy Investors Sentiment

The influence of Atmos Energy's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Atmos. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Atmos Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Atmos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Atmos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Atmos Energy Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Atmos Energy's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Atmos Energy's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Atmos Energy's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Atmos Energy.

Atmos Energy Implied Volatility

    
  25.03  
Atmos Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atmos Energy Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atmos Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atmos Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atmos Energy's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Atmos Energy in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Atmos Energy's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Atmos Energy options trading.

Pair Trading with Atmos Energy

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Atmos Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Atmos Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Atmos Energy

0.71AESAes Corp Upward RallyPairCorr
0.75DDominion Resources Earnings Call  TomorrowPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Atmos Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Atmos Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Atmos Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Atmos Energy Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Atmos Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Atmos Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Atmos Energy Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Atmos Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Atmos Energy Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Atmos Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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Is Atmos Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atmos Energy. If investors know Atmos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atmos Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.18
Market Capitalization
16.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.35
Return On Assets
0.0271
Return On Equity
0.0882
The market value of Atmos Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atmos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atmos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atmos Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atmos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atmos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atmos Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Atmos Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atmos Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.