Armour Residential Earnings Estimate

ARR
 Stock
  

USD 7.55  0.05  0.66%   

Many public companies, such as Armour Residential, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Armour Residential's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Armour Residential's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Armour Residential is projected to generate 0.96 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Armour Residential earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Armour Residential R EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Please continue to Trending Equities.
  
As of 08/07/2022, Gross Profit is likely to grow to about 30 M. Also, Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.08

Armour Residential Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Armour Residential is based on official Zacks consensus of 2 analysts regarding Armour Residential future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 0.0%, the future earnings per share of Armour Residential is estimated to be 0.96 with the lowest and highest values of 0.96 and 0.96, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Armour Residential R is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 1.45
0.96
Lowest
Expected EPS 0.96
0.96
Highest

Armour Residential Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Armour Residential's value are higher than the current market price of the Armour Residential stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Armour Residential is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Armour Residential's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

2

0.0%

1.45

0.96

Armour Residential Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Armour Residential analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Armour Residential's stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Armour Residential's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Armour Residential Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

(55.59 Million)

Armour Residential Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Armour Residential reported last year Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT of 15.36 Million. As of 08/07/2022, Earnings per Basic Share is likely to grow to 0.05, while Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are likely to drop (2.4 B). As of 08/07/2022, Weighted Average Shares is likely to drop to about 67.5 M. In addition to that, Weighted Average Shares Diluted is likely to drop to about 68 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Armour Residential's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Armour Residential in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
4.997.5310.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.549.0811.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.057.5910.13
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.0011.0011.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Armour Residential. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Armour Residential's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Armour Residential's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Armour Residential.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Armour assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Armour Residential. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Armour stock price in the short term.

Armour Residential Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Armour Residential refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Armour Residential R predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Armour Residential, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Armour Residential Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Armour Residential, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Armour Residential should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Armour Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Armour Residential's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-07-27
2022-06-300.260.290.0311 
2022-04-27
2022-03-310.260.280.02
2022-02-16
2021-12-310.270.270
2021-10-27
2021-09-300.250.250
2021-07-22
2021-06-300.280.21-0.0725 
2021-04-21
2021-03-310.310.23-0.0825 
2021-02-17
2020-12-310.340.32-0.02
2020-10-21
2020-09-300.340.350.01
2020-07-22
2020-06-300.260.19-0.0726 
2020-05-01
2020-03-310.520.43-0.0917 
2020-02-19
2019-12-310.540.550.01
2019-10-23
2019-09-300.530.550.02
2019-07-24
2019-06-300.580.630.05
2019-04-24
2019-03-310.620.61-0.01
2019-02-14
2018-12-310.620.640.02
2018-10-24
2018-09-300.60.640.04
2018-07-25
2018-06-300.60.650.05
2018-04-25
2018-03-310.640.660.02
2018-02-14
2017-12-310.660.680.02
2017-10-25
2017-09-300.660.690.03
2017-07-26
2017-06-300.630.690.06
2017-05-01
2017-03-310.620.690.0711 
2017-02-15
2016-12-310.640.710.0710 
2016-11-02
2016-09-300.630.680.05
2016-08-02
2016-06-300.710.63-0.0811 
2016-05-02
2016-03-310.910.72-0.1920 
2016-02-18
2015-12-310.991.10.1111 
2015-11-06
2015-09-300.991.110.1212 
2015-07-29
2015-06-300.881.280.445 
2015-04-29
2015-03-310.710.720.01
2015-02-24
2014-12-310.920.8-0.1213 
2014-10-29
2014-09-301.171.04-0.1311 
2014-07-31
2014-06-301.241.04-0.216 
2014-05-05
2014-03-311.111.20.09
2014-02-26
2013-12-311.061.20.1413 
2013-10-28
2013-09-301.370.88-0.4935 
2013-08-01
2013-06-301.531.44-0.09
2013-05-02
2013-03-311.841.6-0.2413 
2013-02-22
2012-12-312.191.76-0.4319 
2012-11-01
2012-09-302.392.08-0.3112 
2012-08-01
2012-06-302.512.560.05
2012-05-02
2012-03-312.422.80.3815 
2012-03-06
2011-12-312.452.4-0.05
2011-11-03
2011-09-302.853.440.5920 
2011-08-03
2011-06-302.822.8-0.02
2011-05-04
2011-03-312.922.72-0.2
2011-03-10
2010-12-312.7410.567.82285 
2010-11-12
2010-09-302.36-0.48-2.84120 
2010-08-05
2010-06-302.32-1.76-4.08175 
2010-05-13
2010-03-312.961.04-1.9264 

About Armour Residential Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Armour Residential earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Armour Residential estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Armour Residential fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit-2.4 B-2.4 B
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT15.4 M16.6 M
Earnings per Basic Share 0.05  0.05 
Earnings per Diluted Share 0.05  0.05 
Price to Earnings Ratio 196.20  211.69 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA15.4 M16.6 M
Earnings before Tax15.4 M16.6 M
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities in the United States. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida. Armour Residential operates under REITMortgage classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange.

Armour Residential Investors Sentiment

The influence of Armour Residential's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Armour. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Armour Residential's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Armour. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Armour can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Armour Residential R. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Armour Residential's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Armour Residential's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Armour Residential's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Armour Residential.

Armour Residential Implied Volatility

    
  43.04  
Armour Residential's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Armour Residential R stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Armour Residential's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Armour Residential stock will not fluctuate a lot when Armour Residential's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Armour Residential in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Armour Residential's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Armour Residential options trading.

Pair Trading with Armour Residential

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Armour Residential position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Armour Residential will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Armour Residential could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Armour Residential when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Armour Residential - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Armour Residential R to buy it.
The correlation of Armour Residential is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Armour Residential moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Armour Residential moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Armour Residential can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Armour Residential information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Armour Residential's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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Is Armour Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armour Residential. If investors know Armour will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armour Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.58
Market Capitalization
865.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.34
Return On Assets
-0.016
Return On Equity
-0.11
The market value of Armour Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armour that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armour Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armour Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armour Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armour Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armour Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Armour Residential value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armour Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.