Aarons Holdings Earnings Estimate

AAN
 Stock
  

USD 14.75  0.20  1.37%   

Many public companies, such as Aarons Holdings, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Aarons Holdings' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Aarons Holdings' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Aarons Holdings is projected to generate 3.52 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2021. Aarons Holdings earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected Aarons Holdings EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Please continue to Trending Equities.
  
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Gross Profit is expected to rise to about 1.2 B this year. Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.06 this year

Aarons Holdings Earnings Estimation Breakdown

Calculation of earning per share of Aarons Holdings is based on official Zacks consensus of 4 analysts regarding Aarons Holdings future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 0.0%, the future earnings per share of Aarons Holdings is estimated to be 3.52 with the lowest and highest values of 3.43 and 3.6, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Aarons Holdings is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses
  Current EPS 2.83
3.43
Lowest
Expected EPS 3.52
3.60
Highest

Aarons Holdings Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Aarons Holdings' value are higher than the current market price of the Aarons Holdings stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Aarons Holdings is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Aarons Holdings' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyCurrent EPSEPS Estimate for 31st of December 2021

4

0.0%

2.83

3.52

Aarons Holdings Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Aarons Holdings analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Aarons Holdings' stock performance. The investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Aarons Holdings' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also compare them to our different valuation methods.

Aarons Holdings Quarterly Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

206.09 Million

Share
Aarons Holdings Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is estimated at 158.96 Million. Earnings per Basic Share is expected to rise to 3.59 this year, although the value of Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit will most likely fall to about 80.9 M. Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to rise to about 83.6 M this year, although the value of Weighted Average Shares will most likely fall to about 30.4 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aarons Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Aarons Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
11.3414.3017.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
13.2818.4621.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.7314.6917.65
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
27.0031.8037.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aarons Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aarons Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aarons Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Aarons Holdings.
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Aarons assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Aarons Holdings. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Aarons stock price in the short term.

Aarons Holdings Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Aarons Holdings refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Aarons Holdings predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Aarons Holdings, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Aarons Holdings Estimated Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Aarons Holdings, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Aarons Holdings should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Aarons Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aarons Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-04-25
2022-03-310.680.870.1927 
2022-02-23
2021-12-310.390.60.2153 
2021-10-26
2021-09-300.56670.830.263346 
2021-07-27
2021-06-300.65891.050.391159 
2021-04-27
2021-03-310.5651.240.675119 
2021-02-23
2020-12-310.78750.790.0025
2020-10-29
2020-09-301.441.80.3625 
2020-07-29
2020-06-300.781.180.451 
2020-05-07
2020-03-310.780.850.07
2020-02-20
2019-12-311.071.150.08
2019-11-04
2019-09-300.820.73-0.0910 
2019-07-25
2019-06-300.870.930.06
2019-04-25
2019-03-310.941.080.1414 
2019-02-14
2018-12-311.031.02-0.01
2018-10-25
2018-09-300.760.69-0.07
2018-07-26
2018-06-300.780.840.06
2018-04-26
2018-03-310.950.81-0.1414 
2018-02-15
2017-12-310.550.650.118 
2017-10-27
2017-09-300.540.43-0.1120 
2017-07-28
2017-06-300.580.680.117 
2017-04-28
2017-03-310.660.80.1421 
2017-02-17
2016-12-310.440.50.0613 
2016-10-28
2016-09-300.460.50.04
2016-07-29
2016-06-300.560.590.03
2016-04-29
2016-03-310.750.71-0.04
2016-02-18
2015-12-310.380.410.03
2015-10-30
2015-09-300.480.39-0.0918 
2015-07-24
2015-06-300.450.610.1635 
2015-04-24
2015-03-310.550.730.1832 
2015-02-06
2014-12-310.350.390.0411 
2014-10-24
2014-09-300.370.390.02
2014-07-25
2014-06-300.350.370.02
2014-04-25
2014-03-310.530.530
2014-02-07
2013-12-310.290.30.01
2013-10-24
2013-09-300.390.40.01
2013-07-24
2013-06-300.50.50
2013-04-25
2013-03-310.710.67-0.04
2013-02-07
2012-12-310.50.48-0.02
2012-10-25
2012-09-300.430.460.03
2012-07-24
2012-06-300.470.470
2012-04-26
2012-03-310.60.640.04
2012-02-09
2011-12-310.430.430
2011-10-24
2011-09-300.380.36-0.02
2011-07-25
2011-06-300.410.410
2011-04-25
2011-03-310.510.550.04
2011-02-15
2010-12-310.340.380.0411 
2010-10-25
2010-09-300.30.320.02
2010-07-26
2010-06-300.370.3-0.0718 
2010-04-26
2010-03-310.440.450.01
2010-02-16
2009-12-310.290.310.02
2009-10-21
2009-09-300.280.30.02
2009-07-21
2009-06-300.320.340.02
2009-04-27
2009-03-310.340.430.0926 
2009-02-16
2008-12-310.230.260.0313 
2008-10-28
2008-09-300.230.250.02
2008-07-22
2008-06-300.250.290.0416 
2008-04-22
2008-03-310.270.310.0414 
2008-02-19
2007-12-310.180.190.01
2007-10-24
2007-09-300.190.190
2007-07-24
2007-06-300.250.24-0.01
2007-04-25
2007-03-310.310.320.01
2007-02-20
2006-12-310.230.230
2006-10-25
2006-09-300.20.210.01
2006-07-26
2006-06-300.240.22-0.02
2006-04-26
2006-03-310.270.280.01
2006-02-22
2005-12-310.180.190.01
2005-10-27
2005-09-300.170.11-0.0635 
2005-07-27
2005-06-300.210.210
2005-04-27
2005-03-310.20.240.0420 
2005-02-23
2004-12-310.160.180.0212 
2004-10-28
2004-09-300.140.140
2004-07-28
2004-06-300.150.160.01
2004-04-26
2004-03-310.150.170.0213 
2004-02-24
2003-12-310.140.140
2003-10-28
2003-09-300.120.120
2003-07-29
2003-06-300.120.120
2003-04-28
2003-03-310.110.120.01
2003-02-26
2002-12-310.110.110
2002-10-29
2002-09-300.090.090
2002-07-24
2002-06-300.090.090
2002-04-29
2002-03-310.070.090.0228 
2002-02-22
2001-12-310.030.030
2001-11-02
2001-09-300.070.02-0.0571 
2001-08-02
2001-06-300.080.07-0.0112 
2001-04-25
2001-03-310.110.110
2001-02-22
2000-12-310.10.09-0.0110 
2000-10-25
2000-09-300.10.10
2000-07-26
2000-06-300.110.1-0.01
2000-04-24
2000-03-310.10.110.0110 
2000-02-21
1999-12-310.090.090
1999-10-25
1999-09-300.090.090
1999-07-26
1999-06-300.090.090
1999-04-26
1999-03-310.090.10.0111 
1999-03-15
1998-12-310.080.080
1998-10-27
1998-09-300.070.070
1998-07-27
1998-06-300.080.080
1998-04-30
1998-03-310.070.080.0114 
1998-02-09
1997-12-310.070.070
1997-10-27
1997-09-300.070.070
1997-07-23
1997-06-300.060.070.0116 
1997-04-28
1997-03-310.060.070.0116 
1997-02-04
1996-12-310.050.050
1996-10-28
1996-09-300.060.060
1996-07-29
1996-06-300.060.060
1996-04-17
1996-03-310.060.060

About Aarons Holdings Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Aarons Holdings earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Aarons Holdings estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Aarons Holdings fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit98.5 M80.9 M
Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT147.3 M159 M
Earnings per Basic Share 3.33  3.59 
Earnings per Diluted Share 3.26  3.52 
Price to Earnings Ratio 7.40  7.99 
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA834.3 M707.8 M
Earnings before Tax145.9 M157.4 M
The Aarons Company, Inc. provides lease-to-own and purchase solutions. The Aarons Company, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Aarons Holdings operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 9170 people.

Aarons Holdings Investors Sentiment

The influence of Aarons Holdings' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Aarons. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Aarons Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  10.47  
Aarons Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aarons Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aarons Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aarons Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aarons Holdings' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Aarons Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Aarons Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Aarons Holdings options trading.

Current Sentiment - AAN

Aarons Holdings Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are presently bullish on Aarons Holdings. What is your sentiment towards investing in Aarons Holdings? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

Pair Trading with Aarons Holdings

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aarons Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aarons Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Aarons Holdings Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aarons Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aarons Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aarons Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aarons Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Aarons Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aarons Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aarons Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aarons Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Aarons Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aarons Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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Is Aarons Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aarons Holdings. If investors know Aarons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aarons Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.35
Market Capitalization
446.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.052
Return On Assets
0.0953
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of Aarons Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aarons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aarons Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aarons Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aarons Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aarons Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aarons Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aarons Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aarons Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.