Huntington Stock Volatility

HII
 Stock
  

USD 230.46  3.12  1.37%   

Huntington Ingalls appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Huntington Ingalls holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had 0.13% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Huntington Ingalls, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please utilize Huntington Ingalls' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1998, downside deviation of 1.64, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1285 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
  
Huntington Ingalls Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Huntington daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Huntington's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Huntington Ingalls volatility.

30 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

Below Average

30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closely
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Huntington Ingalls can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Huntington Ingalls at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Huntington stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Huntington Ingalls' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving against Huntington Ingalls

0.54CVUACPI AerostructuresPairCorr

Huntington Ingalls Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Huntington Ingalls' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Huntington stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Huntington stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Huntington Ingalls's beta of 0.82 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Huntington Ingalls stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Huntington Ingalls Industries has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.01 and kurtosis of 1.32. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Huntington Ingalls Industries to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Huntington Ingalls' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Huntington Ingalls' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Huntington Ingalls Implied Volatility

Huntington Ingalls' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Huntington Ingalls Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Huntington Ingalls' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Huntington Ingalls stock will not fluctuate a lot when Huntington Ingalls' options are near their expiration.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Huntington Ingalls Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Huntington Ingalls correlation with market (DOW)

Huntington Beta

    
  0.82  
Huntington standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.67  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Huntington Ingalls's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Huntington Ingalls stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in Huntington Ingalls stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Huntington Ingalls.

Using Huntington Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Huntington Ingalls grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Huntington Ingalls at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Huntington Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Huntington Ingalls' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Huntington Ingalls will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Huntington Ingalls' PUT expiring on 2022-08-19

   Profit   
Share
       Huntington Ingalls Price At Expiration  

Current Huntington Ingalls Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $240.0-0.97810.008622022-08-1910.6 - 14.88.23View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $230.0-0.62920.049852022-08-193.7 - 5.48.42View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $220.0-0.23920.0284102022-08-190.75 - 2.43.3View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $200.0-0.11060.0076272022-08-190.05 - 2.750.05View
Put
2022-08-19 PUT at $180.0-0.00689.0E-452022-08-190.0 - 2.40.05View
View All Huntington Ingalls Options

Huntington Ingalls Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Huntington Ingalls stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Huntington Ingalls' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Huntington Ingalls' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Huntington Ingalls' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Huntington Ingalls' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Huntington Ingalls' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Huntington Ingalls' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Huntington Ingalls Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
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Huntington Ingalls Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Huntington Ingalls has a beta of 0.8193 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Huntington Ingalls average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Huntington Ingalls Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Huntington Ingalls or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Huntington Ingalls stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Huntington stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.097, implying that it can generate a 0.097 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Huntington Ingalls' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how Huntington Ingalls stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Huntington Ingalls Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Huntington Ingalls or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Huntington Ingalls stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Huntington stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Huntington Ingalls is 781.26. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.79 and standard deviation of 1.67. The mean deviation of Huntington Ingalls Industries is currently at 1.24. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.25
α
Alpha over DOW
0.1
β
Beta against DOW0.82
σ
Overall volatility
1.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Huntington Ingalls Stock Return Volatility

Huntington Ingalls historical daily return volatility represents how much Huntington Ingalls stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 1.6695% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.2712% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

About Huntington Ingalls Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Huntington Ingalls or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Huntington Ingalls may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Huntington's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Huntington Ingalls and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Huntington Ingalls fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Market Capitalization7.5 B7.7 B
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. engages in designing, building, overhauling, and repairing military ships in the United States. Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Newport News, Virginia. Huntington Ingalls operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 44000 people.

Huntington Ingalls Investment Opportunity

Huntington Ingalls Industries has a volatility of 1.67 and is 1.31 times more volatile than DOW. 14  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Huntington Ingalls. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Huntington Ingalls Industries is lower than 14 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days.
Use Huntington Ingalls Industries to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Huntington Ingalls to be traded at $253.51 in 90 days. .

Poor diversification

The correlation between Huntington Ingalls Industries and DJI is Poor diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Huntington Ingalls Industries and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Huntington Ingalls Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Huntington Ingalls' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Huntington Ingalls' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Huntington Ingalls stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance0.1285
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.1998
Mean Deviation1.22
Semi Deviation1.43
Downside Deviation1.64
Coefficient Of Variation992.88
Standard Deviation1.64
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Huntington Ingalls Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Huntington Ingalls as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Huntington Ingalls' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Huntington Ingalls' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Huntington Ingalls Industries.
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Huntington Ingalls information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Huntington Ingalls' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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When running Huntington Ingalls price analysis, check to measure Huntington Ingalls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Huntington Ingalls is operating at the current time. Most of Huntington Ingalls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Huntington Ingalls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Huntington Ingalls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Huntington Ingalls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Huntington Ingalls' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Huntington Ingalls. If investors know Huntington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Huntington Ingalls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.39
Market Capitalization
9.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.19
Return On Assets
0.0505
Return On Equity
0.23
The market value of Huntington Ingalls is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Huntington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Huntington Ingalls' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Huntington Ingalls' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Huntington Ingalls' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Huntington Ingalls' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Huntington Ingalls' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Huntington Ingalls value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Huntington Ingalls' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.