AVAAX Mutual Fund Volatility

AVAAX
 Fund
  

USD 10.33  0.03  0.29%   

We consider AB VIRGINIA very steady. AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0559, which signifies that the fund had 0.0559% of return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. Our outlook to foreseeing the volatility of a fund is to use all available market data together with fund-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for AB VIRGINIA, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the entity. Please confirm AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO Coefficient Of Variation of 5253.01, standard deviation of 0.3384, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04279) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0188%.
  
AB VIRGINIA Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of AVAAX daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use AVAAX's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of AB VIRGINIA volatility.

360 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

Very Small

360 Days Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the market
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as AB VIRGINIA can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of AB VIRGINIA at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase AVAAX stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of AB VIRGINIA's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with AB VIRGINIA

+0.91HICOXCOLORADO BONDSHARESPairCorr
+0.99KYTFXKENTUCKY TAX-FREE INCOMEPairCorr
+0.99UVABXVIRGINIA BOND FUNDPairCorr
+0.98ORTFXAQUILA TAX-FREE TRUSTPairCorr
+0.98ORTYXAQUILA TAX-FREE TRUSTPairCorr
+0.99HULFXHawaiian Tax-Free TrustPairCorr
+0.99HULYXHAWAIIAN TAX-FREE TRUSTPairCorr

AB VIRGINIA Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

AB VIRGINIA's beta coefficient measures the volatility of AVAAX mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents AVAAX mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, AB VIRGINIA's beta of 0.0674 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk AB VIRGINIA mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.4 and kurtosis of 2.56. However, we advise investors to further study AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AB VIRGINIA's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AB VIRGINIA's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO Demand Trend
Check current 90 days AB VIRGINIA correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

AVAAX Beta

    
  0.0674  
AVAAX standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.34  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by AB VIRGINIA's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of AB VIRGINIA's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in avaax mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in AB VIRGINIA.

AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which AB VIRGINIA fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with AB VIRGINIA's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of AB VIRGINIA's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of AB VIRGINIA's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures AB VIRGINIA's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict AB VIRGINIA's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for AB VIRGINIA's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on AB VIRGINIA's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. The Median Price line plots median indexes of AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO price series.
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AB VIRGINIA Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon AB VIRGINIA has a beta of 0.0674 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, AB VIRGINIA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AB VIRGINIA or AllianceBernstein sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AB VIRGINIA's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AVAAX fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
AB VIRGINIA's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how avaax mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an AB VIRGINIA Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a Fund's stock volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

AB VIRGINIA Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AB VIRGINIA or AllianceBernstein sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AB VIRGINIA's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AVAAX fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of AB VIRGINIA is 1788.6. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.11 and standard deviation of 0.34. The mean deviation of AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO is currently at 0.23. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 1.48
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

AB VIRGINIA Mutual Fund Return Volatility

AB VIRGINIA historical daily return volatility represents how much of AB VIRGINIA fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.3366% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 12.5075% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
       Timeline  

About AB VIRGINIA Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of AB VIRGINIA or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of AB VIRGINIA may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to AVAAX's beta indicator, it measures the risk of AB VIRGINIA and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of AB VIRGINIA fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal securities that pay interest that is exempt from federal income tax. Ab Municipal is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

AB VIRGINIA Investment Opportunity

NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 12.51 and is 36.79 times more volatile than AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO. of all equities and portfolios are less risky than AB VIRGINIA. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO is lower than 2 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The mutual fund experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of AB VIRGINIA to be traded at $10.85 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO and NYA is 0.29 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

AB VIRGINIA Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of AB VIRGINIA's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AB VIRGINIA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of AB VIRGINIA mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

AB VIRGINIA Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against AB VIRGINIA as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. AB VIRGINIA's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, AB VIRGINIA's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO.
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AB VIRGINIA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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When running AB VIRGINIA PORTFOLIO price analysis, check to measure AB VIRGINIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AB VIRGINIA is operating at the current time. Most of AB VIRGINIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AB VIRGINIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AB VIRGINIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AB VIRGINIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between AB VIRGINIA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AB VIRGINIA value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AB VIRGINIA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.