# Archer Stock Volatility

ACHR | Stock | ## USD 4.84 0.06 1.26% |

Archer Aviation appears to be relatively risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Archer Aviation secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0793, which signifies that the company had 0.0793% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Our philosophy in foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By analyzing Archer Aviation technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.5% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Archer Aviation's risk adjusted performance of 0.156, and Mean Deviation of 4.93 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

Archer |

Archer Aviation Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Archer daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Archer's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Archer Aviation volatility.

### 30 Days Market Risk

### Chance of Distress

### 30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Archer Aviation can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Archer Aviation at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Archer stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Archer Aviation's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

## Archer Aviation Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Archer Aviation's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Archer stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Archer stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Archer Aviation's beta of 1.83 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Archer Aviation stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.

Archer Aviation is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Archer Aviation independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Archer Aviation volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Archer Aviation's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Archer Aviation's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Archer standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

### Archer Aviation Implied Volatility

Archer Aviation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Archer Aviation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Archer Aviation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Archer Aviation stock will not fluctuate a lot when Archer Aviation's options are near their expiration.

3 Months Beta |Analyze Archer Aviation Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Archer Aviation correlation with market (DOW)## Archer Beta |

## Standard Deviation | 6.31 |

It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Archer Aviation's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Archer Aviation stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in Archer Aviation stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Archer Aviation.

## Using Archer Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Archer Aviation grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Archer Aviation at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Archer Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Archer Aviation's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Archer Aviation will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

### Archer Aviation's PUT expiring on 2022-08-19

Profit |

Share

Archer Aviation Price At Expiration |

### Current Archer Aviation Insurance Chain

Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||

Put | 2022-08-19 PUT at $7.5 | -0.6365 | 0.1194 | 3 | 2022-08-19 | 1.45 - 5.0 | 3.31 | View |

Put | 2022-08-19 PUT at $5.0 | -0.5812 | 0.6666 | 17 | 2022-08-19 | 0.2 - 0.45 | 0.54 | View |

## Archer Aviation Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Archer Aviation stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Archer Aviation's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Archer Aviation's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Archer Aviation's volatility:

### Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Archer Aviation's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Archer Aviation's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.### Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Archer Aviation's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price.Transformation |

The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Archer Aviation Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input..

## Archer Aviation Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.8313 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Archer Aviation will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Archer Aviation or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Archer Aviation stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Archer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.

The company has an alpha of 0.6291, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |

Returns |

## What Drives a Company's Stock Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a company's stock volatility:### Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.### Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.### The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.## Archer Aviation Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Archer Aviation or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Archer Aviation stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Archer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Archer Aviation is 1261.64. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 39.79 and standard deviation of 6.31. The mean deviation of Archer Aviation is currently at 4.68. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.25

α | Alpha over DOW | 0.63 | |

β | Beta against DOW | 1.83 | |

σ | Overall volatility | 6.31 | |

Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |

## Archer Aviation Stock Return Volatility

Archer Aviation historical daily return volatility represents how much Archer Aviation stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise inherits 6.3076% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 1.2609% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.

Performance (%) |

Timeline |

## About Archer Aviation Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Archer Aviation or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Archer Aviation may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Archer's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Archer Aviation and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Archer Aviation fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.

Please read more on our technical analysis page.Last Reported | Projected for 2022 | |

Market Capitalization | 1.4 B | 1.4 B |

## Archer Aviation Investment Opportunity

Archer Aviation has a volatility of 6.31 and is 5.01 times more volatile than DOW.**54**of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Archer Aviation. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Archer Aviation is higher than

**54 ()**of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days.

Use Archer Aviation to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Archer Aviation to be traded at $5.32 in 90 days. .

### Weak diversification

The correlation between Archer Aviation and DJI is

**Weak diversification**for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Archer Aviation and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.## Archer Aviation Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Archer Aviation's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Archer Aviation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Archer Aviation stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.

Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.156 | |||

Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4248 | |||

Mean Deviation | 4.93 | |||

Semi Deviation | 5.3 | |||

Downside Deviation | 5.88 | |||

Coefficient Of Variation | 846.44 | |||

Standard Deviation | 6.52 |

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

## Archer Aviation Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.

The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Archer Aviation as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Archer Aviation's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Archer Aviation's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Archer Aviation.

Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Archer Aviation information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Archer Aviation's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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When running Archer Aviation price analysis, check to measure Archer Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Archer Aviation's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Aviation. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Aviation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Market Capitalization 1.2 B | Return On Assets -0.57 | Return On Equity -1.16 |

The market value of Archer Aviation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Aviation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Aviation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Aviation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Aviation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Archer Aviation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Archer Aviation value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer Aviation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.