Tillys Stock Valuation


USD 9.88  1.01  11.39%   

How much is Tillys Inc worth today? Calculating the true value of any business is not as easy as it may seem. While the market cap of a public entity, such as Tillys, is its stock price multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding, calculating Tillys' enterprise value requires a different approach. It uses Tillys' balance sheet items such as long-term debt, the book value of the preferred stock, minority interest, and other important financials.
As of 12/03/2022, Free Cash Flow is likely to drop to about 25.2 M. In addition to that, Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 388 M.
Tillys Inc has a current Real Value of $13.4 per share. The regular price of the company is $9.88. At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Our model measures the value of Tillys Inc from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.07 %, return on equity of 0.22 %, and Shares Outstanding of 22.8 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend buying undervalued stocks and selling overvalued stocks since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Tillys Valuation Module provides a unique way to ballpark how much the company is worth today. It is done using both, our quantitative analysis of the company fundamentals as well as its intrinsic market price estimation to project the real value. We also take into consideration other essential factors such as Tillys's management style, its c-level domain expertise and tenure, its overall leadership history as well as current capital structure, and future earnings potential.

Tillys Most Recent Valuation Data

Fiscal Year End
property Plant And Equipment Net
264 M
Enterprise Value
419.6 M
current Deferred Revenue
17.1 M
net Debt
204.8 M
Today 9.88
Please note that Tillys' price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Tillys Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Tillys' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Tillys Inc is useful when determining the fair value of the Tillys stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Tillys. Since Tillys is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Tillys Stock. However, Tillys' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Real Value
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Tillys Inc helps investors to forecast how Tillys stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Tillys more accurately as focusing exclusively on Tillys' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Tillys' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Tillys' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Tillys' closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for Tillys Inc, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Tillys Investments

33.37 Million

Tillys Valuation Drivers Correlation

Many accounts on the financial statements of Tillys Inc are highly interrelated and sometimes correlated. Consequently, when conducting Tillys's valuation analysis, one should examine all of the accounts reported to obtain a complete picture of its financial situation. We provide a unique feature to present a conventional correlation table purposely composed against different valuation-related drivers of Tillys
Click cells to compare fundamentals

Tillys Valuation Trend

Knowing Tillys' actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. Tillys' real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of Tillys' financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Tillys' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

Tillys Market Cap

Tillys Inc is currently regarded as top stock in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Consumer Discretionary industry is at this time estimated at about 507.15 Million. Tillys totals roughly 267.08 Million in market capitalization claiming about 53% of stocks in Consumer Discretionary industry.
Capitalization  Workforce  Revenue  Total debt  Valuation

Tillys Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Tillys's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Tillys value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Tillys competition to find correlations between indicators driving Tillys's intrinsic value. More Info.
Tillys Inc is currently regarded as top stock in annual yield category among related companies. It is currently regarded as top stock in price to sales category among related companies fabricating about  5.36  of Price to Sales per Annual Yield. As of 12/03/2022, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 0.81. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Tillys by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Tillys' Stock . Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Tillys' earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Tillys' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Tillys and how it compares across the competition.

About Tillys Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Tillys Inc on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tillys Inc. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Tillys Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Tillys's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Tillys's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Tillys. We calculate exposure to Tillys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tillys's related companies.
Fiscal Year End
Apparel Retail
Apparel Retail
Full Time Employees
1.4 K
Service Category
Specialty Retail
Employer Id Number
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Gross Profit140 M130.2 M
Profit Margin 8.28  5.79 
Tillys' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Tillys' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Tillys can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Tillys represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Tillys, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Tillys Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Please note that Tillys has scaled down on payment of dividends at this time. Tillys Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Tillys reported last year Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit of 36.88 Million. As of 12/03/2022, Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is likely to grow to about 29.2 M, while Earnings per Diluted Share are likely to drop 1.35.
There are various types of dividends Tillys can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Tillys shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Tillys Inc directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Tillys pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Tillys by the value of the dividends paid out.

Tillys Valuation Growth Rates

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Tillys does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.807

Tillys Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Tillys Inc and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Tillys we look at many different elements of the entity such as Tillys's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Tillys' valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Tillys' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Tillys, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Tillys' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Tillys' worth.
Additionally, take a look at World Market Map. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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When running Tillys Inc price analysis, check to measure Tillys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tillys is operating at the current time. Most of Tillys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tillys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tillys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tillys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tillys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tillys. If investors know Tillys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tillys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
267.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Tillys Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tillys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tillys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tillys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tillys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tillys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tillys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Tillys value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tillys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.