Tillys Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

TLYS
 Stock
  

USD 9.88  1.01  11.39%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Tillys is Strong Buy, with 3 strong buy opinions. The current projected Tillys target price consensus is 23.0 with 2 analyst opinions. The most common way Tillys Inc analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Tillys executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Please note, the number of analysts providing the opinion is not sufficient to provide adequate consensus on Tillys. We encourage you to use your own analysis of Tillys Inc to validate this buy or sell advice. Tillys buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Tillys Inc target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 2.828. Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Tillys to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
As of 12/03/2022, Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 130.2 M. In addition to that, Profit Margin is likely to drop to 5.79. Tillys Total Debt is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Tillys reported last year Total Debt of 2.88 Million. As of 12/03/2022, Debt Non Current is likely to grow to about 2.7 M, while Assets Non Current are likely to drop slightly above 86.2 M.

Tillys Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Tillys target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Tillys target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions3
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Strong Buy
Most Tillys analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Tillys stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Tillys Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Tillys Target Price Projection

Tillys' current and average target prices are 9.88 and 23.00, respectively. The current price of Tillys is the price at which Tillys Inc is currently trading. On the other hand, Tillys' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Tillys Market Quote on 3rd of December 2022

Low Price9.44Odds
High Price10.35Odds

9.88

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Tillys Target Price

Low Estimate21.0Odds
High Estimate25.0Odds
Number of Analysts2
Standard Deviation2.828

23.0

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Tillys Inc and the information provided on this page.

Tillys Analyst Ratings

Tillys' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Tillys stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Tillys' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Tillys' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Tillys Target Price Projections

Tillys's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Tillys Inc and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Tillys depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Tillys Inc including analysis of its current option contracts.
Tillys' latest option contracts expiring on 2022-12-16 are carrying combined implied volatility of 44.35 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 1.0 over 12 outstanding agreements suggesting . The current put volume is at 345, with calls trading at the volume of 683. This yields a 0.51 put-to-call volume ratio. The Tillys option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Tillys Inc option contracts. It shows all of Tillys' listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.
Tillys' stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Tillys Inc common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Tillys stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Tillys' stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Tillys to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Tillys Inc In The Money Call Balance

When Tillys' strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Tillys Inc stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Tillys' options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Tillys Inc are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Tillys Current Options Market Mood

Tillys' open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Tillys Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Tillys' calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Tillys' option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Tillys' option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Tillys Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Tillys is a key component of Tillys valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Tillys.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tillys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Tillys in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7.3310.0012.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.8912.9815.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.092.102.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tillys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tillys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tillys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Tillys Inc.

Additional Tillys Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Tillys is a key component of Tillys valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Tillys.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tillys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Tillys in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7.3310.0012.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.8912.9815.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.092.102.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tillys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tillys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tillys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Tillys Inc.

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Additionally, take a look at Macroaxis Advice on Tillys to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running Tillys Inc price analysis, check to measure Tillys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tillys is operating at the current time. Most of Tillys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tillys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tillys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tillys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in Tillys' official financial statements usually reflect Tillys' business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Tillys Inc. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Tillys accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Tillys' liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Specialty Retail space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Tillys' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Tillys' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Tillys' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Tillys Inc. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Tillys' management to manipulate its earnings.