Goosehead Insurance Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

GSHD
 Stock
  

USD 40.86  0.46  1.14%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Goosehead Insurance is Hold, with 3 strong buy opinions. The current projected Goosehead Insurance target price consensus is 151.71 with 7 analyst opinions. The most common way Goosehead Insurance analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview Goosehead Insurance executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Note, the total number of analysts currently providing their opinion is not significant to determine adequate consensus on Goosehead Insurance. We strongly encourage you to use your own analysis of Goosehead Insurance to validate this buy or sell advice. Goosehead Insurance buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected Goosehead Insurance target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 17.172. Please check Macroaxis Advice on Goosehead Insurance to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
The current year Profit Margin is expected to grow to 5.41, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 47.7 M. Goosehead Insurance Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Total Assets were at 267.8 Million. The current year Assets Non Current is expected to grow to about 237.4 M, whereas Shareholders Equity is forecasted to decline to (14.4 M).

Goosehead Insurance Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Goosehead target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Goosehead target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions8
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Hold
Most Goosehead analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Goosehead stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Goosehead Insurance, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Goosehead Insurance Target Price Projection

Goosehead Insurance's current and average target prices are 40.86 and 151.71, respectively. The current price of Goosehead Insurance is the price at which Goosehead Insurance is currently trading. On the other hand, Goosehead Insurance's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Goosehead Insurance Market Quote on 2nd of December 2022

Low Price38.79Odds
High Price41.69Odds

40.86

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Goosehead Insurance Target Price

Low Estimate130.0Odds
High Estimate175.0Odds
Number of Analysts7
Standard Deviation17.172

151.714

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Goosehead Insurance and the information provided on this page.

Goosehead Insurance Analyst Ratings

Goosehead Insurance's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Goosehead Insurance stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Goosehead Insurance's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Goosehead Insurance's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Goosehead Insurance Target Price Projections

Goosehead Insurance's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Goosehead Insurance and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Goosehead depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Goosehead Insurance including analysis of its current option contracts.
Goosehead Insurance's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-12-16 are carrying combined implied volatility of 79.49 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.18 over 40 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-12-16. The current put volume is at 42, with calls trading at the volume of 43. This yields a 0.98 put-to-call volume ratio. The Goosehead Insurance option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Goosehead Insurance option contracts. It shows all of Goosehead Insurance's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-12-16 Option Contracts

Goosehead Insurance option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Goosehead Insurance's lending market. For example, when Goosehead Insurance's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Goosehead Insurance, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Goosehead Insurance stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Goosehead Insurance's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Goosehead Insurance's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Goosehead Insurance's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Goosehead Insurance Maximum Pain Price across 2022-12-16 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Goosehead Insurance close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Goosehead Insurance's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Goosehead Insurance common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Goosehead stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Goosehead Insurance's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Please check Macroaxis Advice on Goosehead Insurance to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Goosehead Insurance In The Money Call Balance

When Goosehead Insurance's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Goosehead Insurance stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Goosehead Insurance's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Goosehead Insurance are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Goosehead Current Options Market Mood

Goosehead Insurance's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Goosehead Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Goosehead Insurance's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Goosehead Insurance's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Goosehead Insurance's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Goosehead Insurance Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Goosehead Insurance is a key component of Goosehead Insurance valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Goosehead Insurance.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goosehead Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Goosehead Insurance in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
35.5741.1546.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
36.9567.6873.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.260.330.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goosehead Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goosehead Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goosehead Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Goosehead Insurance.

Additional Goosehead Insurance Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Goosehead Insurance is a key component of Goosehead Insurance valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Goosehead Insurance.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goosehead Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Goosehead Insurance in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
35.5741.1546.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
36.9567.6873.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.260.330.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goosehead Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goosehead Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goosehead Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Goosehead Insurance.

Trending Themes

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Please check Macroaxis Advice on Goosehead Insurance to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Goosehead Insurance information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Goosehead Insurance's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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The data published in Goosehead Insurance's official financial statements usually reflect Goosehead Insurance's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Goosehead Insurance. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Goosehead accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Goosehead Insurance's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Insurance space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Goosehead Insurance's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Goosehead Insurance's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Goosehead Insurance's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Goosehead Insurance. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Goosehead Insurance's management to manipulate its earnings.