Alcon Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

ALC
 Stock
  

USD 62.07  2.67  4.49%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Alcon is Hold with 6 hold recommendations. The current projected Alcon target price consensus is 87.21 with 8 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways Alcon Inc analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to Alcon vendors, executives, and/or customers. Alcon recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected Alcon Inc target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 8.727. Please continue to Macroaxis Advice on Alcon to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  

Alcon Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alcon target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alcon target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions10
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Hold
Most Alcon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alcon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alcon Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Alcon Target Price Projection

Alcon's current and average target prices are 62.07 and 87.21, respectively. The current price of Alcon is the price at which Alcon Inc is currently trading. On the other hand, Alcon's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Alcon Market Quote on 4th of October 2022

Low Price60.88Odds
High Price62.07Odds

62.07

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Alcon Target Price

Low Estimate72.0Odds
High Estimate98.001Odds
Number of Analysts8
Standard Deviation8.727

87.207

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Alcon Inc and the information provided on this page.

Alcon Analyst Ratings

Alcon's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Alcon stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Alcon's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Alcon's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Alcon Target Price Projections

Alcon's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Alcon Inc and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Alcon depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Alcon Inc including analysis of its current option contracts.
Alcon's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-10-21 are carrying combined implied volatility of 33.1 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.93 over 48 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying slightly more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-10-21. The current put volume is at 293, with calls trading at the volume of 477. This yields a 0.61 put-to-call volume ratio. The Alcon option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Alcon Inc option contracts. It shows all of Alcon's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-10-21 Option Contracts

Alcon option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Alcon's lending market. For example, when Alcon's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Alcon, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Alcon stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Alcon's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Alcon's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Alcon's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Alcon Maximum Pain Price across 2022-10-21 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Alcon close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Alcon's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Alcon Inc common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Alcon stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Alcon's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Please continue to Macroaxis Advice on Alcon to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Alcon Inc In The Money Call Balance

When Alcon's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Alcon Inc stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Alcon's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on Alcon Inc are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Alcon Current Options Market Mood

Alcon's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Alcon Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Alcon's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Alcon's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Alcon's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Alcon Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Alcon is a key component of Alcon valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Alcon.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alcon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Alcon in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
57.8559.5661.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
53.4665.8867.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alcon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alcon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alcon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Alcon Inc.

Additional Alcon Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Alcon is a key component of Alcon valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Alcon.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alcon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Alcon in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
57.8559.5661.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
53.4665.8867.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alcon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alcon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alcon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Alcon Inc.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Investing
Invested over 90 shares
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 90 shares
Please continue to Macroaxis Advice on Alcon to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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The data published in Alcon's official financial statements usually reflect Alcon's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Alcon Inc. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Alcon accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Alcon's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Healthcare space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Alcon's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Alcon's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Alcon's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Alcon Inc. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Alcon's management to manipulate its earnings.