Goosehead Stock Analysis

GSHD
 Stock
  

USD 40.86  0.46  1.14%   

Goosehead Insurance price dip over the last few months may raise some interest from shareholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 40.86 on 133,391 in trading volume. The company executives were not very successful in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in November. However, diversifying your holdings with Goosehead Insurance or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 5.58. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Goosehead Insurance partners.
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis.
  
The Goosehead Insurance stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Goosehead Insurance and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Goosehead Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Goosehead Insurance price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Goosehead Stock Analysis Notes

About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of August 2021. Goosehead Insurance, Inc. operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that provides personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. Goosehead Insurance, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas. Goosehead Insurance operates under InsuranceDiversified classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1238 people. To learn more about Goosehead Insurance call Mark Jones at 214 838 5500 or check out https://www.goosehead.com.

Goosehead Insurance Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Goosehead Insurance's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Goosehead Insurance or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Goosehead Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Goosehead Insurance has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Goosehead Insurance has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Goosehead Insurance Insider Trades Send a Signal - Goosehead Insurance - Benzinga

Goosehead Insurance Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Goosehead Insurance to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Goosehead Insurance previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report22nd of February 2022
Next Financial Report5th of May 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of December 2021
Next Fiscal Year End22nd of February 2022
Last Quarter Report30th of September 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of December 2020

Goosehead Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Goosehead Insurance's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2019-11-01
2019-09-300.080.07-0.0112 
2022-04-26
2022-03-310.020.040.02100 
2022-02-23
2021-12-310.080.06-0.0225 
View All Earnings Estimates

Goosehead Insurance SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Goosehead Insurance prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Goosehead Insurance investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Goosehead Insurance specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
16th of September 2022
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
View
13th of September 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure
View
12th of September 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
View
17th of August 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
9th of August 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
4th of August 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View
27th of July 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
6th of June 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
View

Goosehead Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Goosehead Insurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Goosehead Insurance backward and forwards among themselves. Goosehead Insurance's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Goosehead Insurance's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.3 K83 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.3 K107 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.3 K183 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.3 K304 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares1.9 K295 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares1.9 K247 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares1.9 K208 K
Note, although Goosehead Insurance's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Goosehead Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 1.57 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Goosehead Insurance's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Goosehead Insurance's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Goosehead Profitablity

Goosehead Insurance's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Goosehead Insurance's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Goosehead Insurance is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Goosehead Insurance's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Goosehead Insurance's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Goosehead Insurance's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Average Assets 2.38  2.44 
Return on Average Equity 8.73  9.42 
Return on Invested Capital 0.018  0.0185 
Return on Sales 0.039  0.0467 

Management Efficiency

The current year Return on Average Assets is expected to grow to 2.44. The current year Return on Average Equity is expected to grow to 9.42. Goosehead Insurance Assets Non Current are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Assets Non Current were at 219.99 Million. The current year Goodwill and Intangible Assets is expected to grow to about 3 M, whereas Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 40.8 M. Goosehead Insurance management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well goosehead insurance manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share(0.73) (0.79) 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 832.00  897.68 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 291.49  314.51 
Price to Book Value(343.52) (370.64) 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 13.82  11.09 
Enterprise ValueB4.4 B
Tangible Asset Value265 M285.9 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 3rd of December, Goosehead Insurance retains the risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12). Goosehead Insurance technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We have analyze and collected data for nineteen technical drivers for Goosehead Insurance, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out Goosehead Insurance value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Goosehead Insurance is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 40.86 per share. Given that Goosehead Insurance has jensen alpha of (0.39), we strongly advise you to confirm Goosehead Insurance's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Goosehead Insurance Price Movement Analysis

Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. Goosehead Insurance Triple Exponential Moving Average indicator shows smoothing effect of Goosehead Insurance price series composite of a single exponential moving average, a double exponential moving average and a triple exponential moving average.
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Goosehead Insurance Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Goosehead Insurance insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Goosehead Insurance's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Goosehead Insurance insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Cruzado Waded over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Purchase by Cruzado Waded of tradable shares of Goosehead Insurance
Mark Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Goosehead Insurance exotic insider transaction detected
Peterson Camille over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Conversion by Peterson Camille of 6600 shares of Goosehead Insurance
Mark Jones over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Goosehead Insurance exotic insider transaction detected
Mark Jones over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Goosehead Insurance exotic insider transaction detected
Mark Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Goosehead Insurance exotic insider transaction detected
Kebodeaux Adrienne over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Goosehead Insurance exotic insider transaction detected
Mark Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Goosehead Insurance exotic insider transaction detected
Mark Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Goosehead Insurance exotic insider transaction detected
Mark Jones over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Conversion by Mark Jones of 4002 shares of Goosehead Insurance
Mark Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Sale by Mark Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 of 50906 shares of Goosehead Insurance
Mark Jones over three months ago via Macroaxis 
Goosehead Insurance exotic insider transaction detected

Goosehead Insurance Predictive Daily Indicators

Goosehead Insurance intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Goosehead Insurance stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Goosehead Insurance Forecast Models

Goosehead Insurance time-series forecasting models is one of many Goosehead Insurance's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Goosehead Insurance's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Goosehead Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Goosehead Insurance prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Goosehead shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Goosehead Insurance. By using and applying Goosehead Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Goosehead entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
EBITDA Margin 0.11  0.13 
Gross Margin 0.39  0.41 
Profit Margin 3.57  5.41 

Current Goosehead Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Goosehead analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Goosehead analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
151.71Hold7Odds
Goosehead Insurance current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Goosehead analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Goosehead stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Goosehead Insurance, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Goosehead conference calls.
Goosehead Analyst Advice Details

Goosehead Stock Analysis Indicators

Goosehead Insurance stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Goosehead Insurance stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Goosehead Insurance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Goosehead Insurance stock analysis, traders can identify Goosehead Insurance position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow26236000.00
Logo U R LimglogosUSGSHD.png
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16785000.00
Total Stockholder Equity-14020000.00
DescriptionGoosehead Insurance, Inc. operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that provides personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company operates in two segments
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-15375000.00
Tax Provision-2292000.00
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.526
Property Plant And Equipment Net57589000.00
Retained Earnings-60671000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments28526000.00
Retained Earnings Total Equity-60671000.00
Cash28526000.00
CodeGSHD
Accounts Payable12455000.00
Net Debt146438000.00
50 Day M A36.7626
Total Current Liabilities27777000.00
Currency CodeUSD
Other Operating Expenses145308000.00
Non Current Assets Total219985000.00
Forward Price Earnings41.841
Common Stock Total Equity370000.00
Non Currrent Assets Other33922000.00
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Goosehead Insurance information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Goosehead Insurance's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Goosehead Insurance price analysis, check to measure Goosehead Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goosehead Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Goosehead Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goosehead Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goosehead Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goosehead Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Goosehead Insurance's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Goosehead Insurance. If investors know Goosehead will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Goosehead Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.53) 
Market Capitalization
1.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.39
Return On Assets
0.0091
The market value of Goosehead Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Goosehead that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Goosehead Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Goosehead Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Goosehead Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Goosehead Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Goosehead Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Goosehead Insurance value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Goosehead Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.