Aerovironment Stock Analysis

AVAV
 Stock
  

USD 97.93  4.66  5.00%   

The latest climb in Aerovironment short term price appreciation could raise concerns from sophisticated investors as the firm is trading at a share price of 97.93 on 302,035 in volume. The company executives have successfully maneuvered the firm at convenient times to take advantage of all market conditions in July. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.08. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Aerovironment partners.
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The Aerovironment stock analysis report makes it easy to digest most publicly released information about Aerovironment and get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, and announcements. Aerovironment Stock analysis module also helps to analyze the Aerovironment price relationship with some important fundamental indicators such as market cap and management efficiency.

Aerovironment Stock Analysis Notes

About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Aerovironment was presently reported as 24.36. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Aerovironment had not issued any dividends in recent years. AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Aerovironment operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1214 people. For more info on Aerovironment please contact Timothy Conver at 805 520-8350 or go to www.avinc.com.

Aerovironment Quarterly Cost of Revenue

84 Million

Aerovironment Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Aerovironment's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Aerovironment or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Aerovironment has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 445.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 141.24 M.
Aerovironment currently holds about 101.95 M in cash with (9.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.12.
Aerovironment has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: AeroVironment 2022 Annual Report - Marketscreener.com

Aerovironment Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Aerovironment to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Aerovironment previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
Upcoming Quarterly Report8th of March 2022
Next Financial Report5th of July 2022
Next Fiscal Quarter End31st of January 2022
Next Fiscal Year End5th of July 2022
Last Quarter Report31st of October 2021
Last Financial Announcement31st of January 2021

Aerovironment Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aerovironment's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2014-11-25
2014-10-31-0.11-0.13-0.0218 
2012-09-05
2012-07-31-0.03-0.06-0.03100 
2008-06-24
2008-04-300.270.30.0311 
View All Earnings Estimates

Aerovironment SEC Filings

SEC filings are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Aerovironment prospectus issued under the guidelines of SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Aerovironment investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Aerovironment specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
29th of July 2022
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
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28th of June 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
View
28th of April 2022
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
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17th of March 2022
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
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3rd of March 2022
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure. Amendments to Articles of Incorporation or Bylaws; and/or Change in Fiscal Year. Results of Operations and Financial Condition
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15th of February 2022
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers
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14th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event
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9th of February 2022
Unclassified Corporate Event. Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement
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Aerovironment Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Aerovironment stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Aircraft
USA Equities from Aircraft industry as classified by Fama & French
Trump Equities
Companies that have responded positively to Trump presidency
Military Industrial
Active national defense contractors that are involved either directly or indirectly in support of the US military operations
Robots And Drones
Cross-sector firms and funds that develop or invest in technology that can replicate repetitive human actions

Aerovironment Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 2.32 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Aerovironment's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Aerovironment's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and these looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Aerovironment Profitablity

Aerovironment's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Aerovironment's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Aerovironment is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Aerovironment's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Aerovironment's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Aerovironment's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.94) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 11.69 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.12.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(1.23) (1.26) 
Return on Average Assets(0.005) (0.005132) 
Return on Average Equity(0.007) (0.007184) 
Return on Invested Capital(0.018) (0.0185) 
Return on Sales(0.02) (0.0205) 

Management Efficiency

The entity has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.59) % which means that it has lost $0.59 on every $100 spent on asset. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of (0.69) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Aerovironment management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well aerovironment manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Investment is likely to drop to -1.26 in 2022. Return on Average Assets is likely to drop to -0.0051 in 2022. Aerovironment Current Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Aerovironment reported Current Assets of 368.91 Million in 2021. Assets Non Current is likely to climb to about 588.3 M in 2022, whereas Goodwill and Intangible Assets are likely to drop slightly above 353.4 M in 2022.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Book Value per Share 24.63  23.46 
Enterprise Value over EBIT(234.00) (240.16) 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 36.50  36.73 
Price to Book Value 3.29  3.21 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 19.55  21.38 
Enterprise Value2.1 B1.7 B
Tangible Asset Value482.6 M511.6 M

Technical Drivers

As of the 15th of August 2022, Aerovironment shows the Mean Deviation of 2.51, risk adjusted performance of 0.1654, and Downside Deviation of 2.74. Aerovironment technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze nineteen technical drivers for Aerovironment, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Aerovironment standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Aerovironment is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 97.93 per share. Given that Aerovironment has jensen alpha of 0.3028, we suggest you to validate Aerovironment's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Aerovironment Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was fourty-seven with a total number of output elements of fourteen. The Moving Average is predictive technique used to analyze Aerovironment price data points by creating a series of averages of different subsets of Aerovironment entire price series.
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Aerovironment Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Aerovironment insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Aerovironment's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Aerovironment insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Aerovironment Technical and Predictive Indicators

Aerovironment Forecast Models

Aerovironment time-series forecasting models is one of many Aerovironment's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aerovironment's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Aerovironment Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Aerovironment stock is reacting to, or reflecting on a current stock market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Aerovironment shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas, a specific sector, or an individual stock such as Aerovironment. By using and applying Aerovironment Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Aerovironment entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Operating Margin(2.22) (2.28) 
EBITDA Margin 0.13  0.13 
Gross Margin 0.32  0.34 
Profit Margin(0.009) (0.009237) 
AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Aerovironment operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1214 people.

Current Aerovironment Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Aerovironment analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aerovironment analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
80.25Hold4Odds
Aerovironment current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Aerovironment analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Aerovironment stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Aerovironment, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Aerovironment conference calls.
Aerovironment Analyst Advice Details

Aerovironment Stock Analysis Indicators

Aerovironment stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Aerovironment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Aerovironment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Aerovironment stock analysis, traders can identify Aerovironment position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Quick Ratio2.63
Fifty Two Week Low52.03
Revenue Growth-2.50%
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day119.75k
Shares Short Prior Month992.08k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month241.39k
Earnings Growth-35.60%
Shares Percent Shares Out4.58%
Earnings Quarterly Growth-33.70%
Gross Margins31.69%
Forward Price Earnings47.46
Short Percent Of Float6.54%
Float Shares23.17M
Fifty Two Week High114.11
Fifty Day Average85.26
Enterprise Value To Ebitda43.37
Two Hundred Day Average79.66
Enterprise Value To Revenue5.07
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When running Aerovironment price analysis, check to measure Aerovironment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aerovironment is operating at the current time. Most of Aerovironment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aerovironment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aerovironment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aerovironment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aerovironment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aerovironment. If investors know Aerovironment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aerovironment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.36
Market Capitalization
2.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.025
Return On Assets
-0.0059
Return On Equity
-0.0069
The market value of Aerovironment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aerovironment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aerovironment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aerovironment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aerovironment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aerovironment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aerovironment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aerovironment value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aerovironment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.