Velodyne Stock Future Price Prediction

VLDR
 Stock
  

USD 0.95  0.01  1.04%   

Velodyne Lidar stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Velodyne Lidar shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Velodyne Lidar's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Velodyne Lidar and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Velodyne Lidar's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Velodyne Lidar, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at Velodyne Lidar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Velodyne Lidar based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Velodyne stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Velodyne Lidar over a specific investment horizon.Using Velodyne Lidar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Velodyne Lidar from the perspective of Velodyne Lidar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Velodyne Lidar using Velodyne Lidar's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Velodyne using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Velodyne Lidar's stock price.

Velodyne Lidar Implied Volatility

    
  99.71  
Velodyne Lidar's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Velodyne Lidar stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Velodyne Lidar's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Velodyne Lidar stock will not fluctuate a lot when Velodyne Lidar's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Velodyne Lidar. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Velodyne Lidar to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Velodyne because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Velodyne Lidar after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 0.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Velodyne Lidar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Velodyne Lidar in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.061.198.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Velodyne Lidar. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Velodyne Lidar's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Velodyne Lidar's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Velodyne Lidar.

Velodyne Lidar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Velodyne Lidar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Velodyne Lidar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Velodyne Lidar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Velodyne Lidar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Velodyne Lidar's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Velodyne Lidar's historical news coverage. Velodyne Lidar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 8.36, respectively. We have considered Velodyne Lidar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 0.95
0.95
After-hype Price
8.36
Upside
Velodyne Lidar is abnormally volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Velodyne Lidar is based on 3 months time horizon.

Velodyne Lidar Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Velodyne Lidar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Velodyne Lidar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Velodyne Lidar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.13  7.41  0.00    0.35  5 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.950.950.00 
24,700  

Velodyne Lidar Hype Timeline

Velodyne Lidar is at this time traded for 0.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.35. Velodyne forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Velodyne Lidar is about 276.49%. The volatility of related hype on Velodyne Lidar is about 276.49% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.6. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.61. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Velodyne Lidar has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.03. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.52. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Also, please take a look at Velodyne Lidar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Velodyne Lidar Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Velodyne Lidar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Velodyne Lidar's future price movements. Getting to know how Velodyne Lidar rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Velodyne Lidar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2.68) 10 per month 2.51  0.07  3.91 (3.62)  17.42 

Velodyne Lidar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Velodyne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Velodyne using various technical indicators. When you analyze Velodyne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Velodyne Lidar Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Velodyne Lidar stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Velodyne Lidar, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Velodyne Lidar based on analysis of Velodyne Lidar hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Velodyne Lidar's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Velodyne Lidar's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Velodyne Lidar

The number of cover stories for Velodyne Lidar depends on current market conditions and Velodyne Lidar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Velodyne Lidar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Velodyne Lidar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Velodyne Lidar Short Properties

Velodyne Lidar's future price predictability will typically decrease when Velodyne Lidar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Velodyne Lidar often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Velodyne Lidar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Velodyne Lidar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out6.86%
Short Percent Of Float7.23%
Float Shares170.64M
Shares Short Prior Month11.91M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.56M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.73M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Also, please take a look at Velodyne Lidar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Velodyne Lidar information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Velodyne Lidar's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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Is Velodyne Lidar's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Velodyne Lidar. If investors know Velodyne will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Velodyne Lidar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Velodyne Lidar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Velodyne that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Velodyne Lidar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Velodyne Lidar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Velodyne Lidar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Velodyne Lidar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Velodyne Lidar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Velodyne Lidar value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Velodyne Lidar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.