Sumitomo Stock Future Price Prediction

SMFG
 Stock
  

USD 6.81  0.08  1.19%   

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Sumitomo Mitsui shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Sumitomo Mitsui's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sumitomo Mitsui and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sumitomo Mitsui's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Sumitomo Mitsui Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Sumitomo Mitsui based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Sumitomo stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sumitomo Mitsui over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.08
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.71
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.77
Wall Street Target Price
6.67
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.17
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.2
Using Sumitomo Mitsui hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial from the perspective of Sumitomo Mitsui response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sumitomo Mitsui using Sumitomo Mitsui's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sumitomo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sumitomo Mitsui's stock price.

Sumitomo Mitsui Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Sumitomo Mitsui's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sumitomo. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sumitomo Mitsui stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Sumitomo Mitsui may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sumitomo Mitsui and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sumitomo Mitsui with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
6.17
Short Percent
7.0E-4
Short Ratio
1.58
Shares Short Prior Month
6.8 M
50 Day MA
5.87
Shares Short
5.3 M

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sumitomo Mitsui's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Sumitomo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sumitomo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sumitomo Mitsui Financial. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sumitomo Mitsui's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sumitomo Mitsui.

Sumitomo Mitsui Implied Volatility

    
  88.18  
Sumitomo Mitsui's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sumitomo Mitsui's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sumitomo Mitsui stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sumitomo Mitsui's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Sumitomo Mitsui. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sumitomo Mitsui to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sumitomo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sumitomo Mitsui after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 6.82  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sumitomo Mitsui's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Sumitomo Mitsui in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.368.089.80
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.249.249.24
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.870.920.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sumitomo Mitsui. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sumitomo Mitsui's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sumitomo Mitsui's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Sumitomo Mitsui Financial.

Sumitomo Mitsui After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sumitomo Mitsui at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sumitomo Mitsui or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sumitomo Mitsui, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sumitomo Mitsui Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sumitomo Mitsui's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sumitomo Mitsui's historical news coverage. Sumitomo Mitsui's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.10 and 8.54, respectively. We have considered Sumitomo Mitsui's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 6.81
6.82
After-hype Price
8.54
Upside
Sumitomo Mitsui is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sumitomo Mitsui Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Sumitomo Mitsui is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sumitomo Mitsui backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sumitomo Mitsui, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.20  1.72  0.01    0.06  4 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.816.820.15 
2,867  

Sumitomo Mitsui Hype Timeline

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial is at this time traded for 6.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Sumitomo is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 6.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.15% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Sumitomo Mitsui is about 586.36% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.75. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2940 B. Net Income was 548.77 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2810 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Additionally, take a look at Sumitomo Mitsui Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sumitomo Mitsui Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sumitomo Mitsui's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sumitomo Mitsui's future price movements. Getting to know how Sumitomo Mitsui rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sumitomo Mitsui may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Sumitomo Mitsui Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sumitomo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sumitomo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sumitomo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sumitomo Mitsui Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sumitomo Mitsui stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sumitomo Mitsui based on analysis of Sumitomo Mitsui hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sumitomo Mitsui's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sumitomo Mitsui's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Sumitomo Mitsui

The number of cover stories for Sumitomo Mitsui depends on current market conditions and Sumitomo Mitsui's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sumitomo Mitsui is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sumitomo Mitsui's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Sumitomo Mitsui Short Properties

Sumitomo Mitsui's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sumitomo Mitsui's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sumitomo Mitsui's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sumitomo Mitsui's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.10%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate195.00
Float Shares6.22B
Shares Short Prior Month3.34M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.9M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.2M
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2,838.43%
Additionally, take a look at Sumitomo Mitsui Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Sumitomo Mitsui Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sumitomo Mitsui's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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When running Sumitomo Mitsui Financial price analysis, check to measure Sumitomo Mitsui's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sumitomo Mitsui is operating at the current time. Most of Sumitomo Mitsui's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sumitomo Mitsui's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sumitomo Mitsui's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sumitomo Mitsui to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sumitomo Mitsui's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sumitomo Mitsui. If investors know Sumitomo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sumitomo Mitsui listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.08
Market Capitalization
46.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.2
Return On Assets
0.0023
Return On Equity
0.0467
The market value of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sumitomo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sumitomo Mitsui's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sumitomo Mitsui's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sumitomo Mitsui's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sumitomo Mitsui's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sumitomo Mitsui's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Sumitomo Mitsui value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sumitomo Mitsui's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.