Sunstone Stock Future Price Prediction

SHO
 Stock
  

USD 10.30  0.58  5.33%   

Sunstone Hotel Investors stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Sunstone Hotel shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Sunstone Hotel's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sunstone Hotel and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sunstone Hotel's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sunstone Hotel Investors, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Sunstone Hotel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Sunstone Hotel based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Sunstone stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sunstone Hotel over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.67) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.04
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.31
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.25
Wall Street Target Price
11.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.06
Using Sunstone Hotel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunstone Hotel Investors from the perspective of Sunstone Hotel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sunstone Hotel using Sunstone Hotel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sunstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sunstone Hotel's stock price.
Sunstone Hotel Accrued Expenses Turnover is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Accrued Expenses Turnover is estimated at 13.46. Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to rise to 3.03 this year, although the value of Interest Coverage will most likely fall to 2.73.

Sunstone Hotel Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Sunstone Hotel's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sunstone. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sunstone Hotel stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Sunstone Hotel may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sunstone Hotel and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sunstone Hotel with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
10.99
Short Percent
0.0718
Short Ratio
4.84
Shares Short Prior Month
13.8 M
50 Day MA
10.39
Shares Short
12.6 M

Sunstone Hotel Investors Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sunstone Hotel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Sunstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sunstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sunstone Hotel Investors. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sunstone Hotel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sunstone Hotel.

Sunstone Hotel Implied Volatility

    
  31.87  
Sunstone Hotel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sunstone Hotel Investors stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sunstone Hotel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sunstone Hotel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sunstone Hotel's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Sunstone Hotel. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sunstone Hotel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sunstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sunstone Hotel after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sunstone Hotel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Sunstone Hotel in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.0911.5213.95
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0012.6713.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.070.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sunstone Hotel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sunstone Hotel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sunstone Hotel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Sunstone Hotel Investors.

Sunstone Hotel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sunstone Hotel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunstone Hotel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunstone Hotel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sunstone Hotel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sunstone Hotel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunstone Hotel's historical news coverage. Sunstone Hotel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.89 and 12.75, respectively. We have considered Sunstone Hotel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 10.30
10.32
After-hype Price
12.75
Upside
Sunstone Hotel is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunstone Hotel Investors is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sunstone Hotel Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Sunstone Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunstone Hotel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunstone Hotel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.07  2.43  0.02    0.01  2 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.3010.320.19 
1,057  

Sunstone Hotel Hype Timeline

On the 5th of December Sunstone Hotel Investors is traded for 10.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Sunstone is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 10.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.19% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Sunstone Hotel is about 1429.41% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 509.15 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 34.3 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 186.09 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Additionally, take a look at Sunstone Hotel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sunstone Hotel Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sunstone Hotel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunstone Hotel's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunstone Hotel rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunstone Hotel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Sunstone Hotel Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sunstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sunstone Hotel Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sunstone Hotel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sunstone Hotel Investors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sunstone Hotel based on analysis of Sunstone Hotel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sunstone Hotel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sunstone Hotel's related companies.
 2018 2019 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.370.350.27
Interest Coverage4.893.653.28

Story Coverage note for Sunstone Hotel

The number of cover stories for Sunstone Hotel depends on current market conditions and Sunstone Hotel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunstone Hotel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunstone Hotel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sunstone Hotel Short Properties

Sunstone Hotel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunstone Hotel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunstone Hotel Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunstone Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunstone Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding216134007.00
Cash And Short Term Investments120483000.00
Additionally, take a look at Sunstone Hotel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Sunstone Hotel Investors information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sunstone Hotel's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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Is Sunstone Hotel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunstone Hotel. If investors know Sunstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sunstone Hotel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.67) 
Market Capitalization
2.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.46
Return On Assets
0.0126
Return On Equity
0.1
The market value of Sunstone Hotel Investors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sunstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sunstone Hotel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sunstone Hotel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sunstone Hotel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sunstone Hotel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunstone Hotel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Sunstone Hotel value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sunstone Hotel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.