RPM International Stock Future Price Prediction

RPM
 Stock
  

USD 103.01  1.56  1.49%   

RPM International stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of RPM International shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of RPM International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of RPM International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from RPM International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with RPM International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at RPM International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of RPM International based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The RPM International stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on RPM International over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.26
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.74
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.42
Wall Street Target Price
99.47
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.33
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Using RPM International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RPM International from the perspective of RPM International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RPM International using RPM International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RPM International using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RPM International's stock price.
RPM International Inventory Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Inventory Turnover is estimated at 4.56. Accounts Payable Turnover is expected to hike to 10.25 this year, although the value of Accrued Expenses Turnover will most likely fall to 21.69.

RPM International Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in RPM International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards RPM International. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of RPM International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long RPM International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about RPM International and may potentially protect profits, hedge RPM International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
87.72
Short Percent
0.0173
Short Ratio
3.29
Shares Short Prior Month
2.8 M
50 Day MA
94.08
Shares Short
M

RPM International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to RPM International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in RPM International. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RPM International can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RPM International. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of RPM International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about RPM International.

RPM International Implied Volatility

    
  32.76  
RPM International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RPM International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RPM International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RPM International stock will not fluctuate a lot when RPM International's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in RPM International. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in RPM International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying RPM International because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

RPM International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 103.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current RPM International contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that RPM International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.05% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With RPM International trading at USD103.01, that is roughly USD2.11. If you think that the market is fully incorporating RPM International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring RPM International options at the current volatility level of 32.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of RPM International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of RPM International in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
91.9193.91113.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
99.87101.87103.87
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
90.00101.30125.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.503.593.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RPM International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RPM International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RPM International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in RPM International.

RPM International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of RPM International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RPM International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RPM International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

RPM International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting RPM International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RPM International's historical news coverage. RPM International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 101.35 and 105.35, respectively. We have considered RPM International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 103.01
101.35
Downside
103.35
After-hype Price
105.35
Upside
RPM International is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RPM International is based on 3 months time horizon.

RPM International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as RPM International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RPM International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RPM International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.15  1.98  0.27    0.05  6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
103.01103.350.33 
111.24  

RPM International Hype Timeline

On the 6th of December RPM International is traded for 103.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.27 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. RPM International is projected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 103.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 111.24%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.33% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on RPM International is about 567.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 102.96. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.71 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 492.47 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.43 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Additionally, take a look at RPM International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

RPM International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to RPM International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RPM International's future price movements. Getting to know how RPM International rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RPM International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
URIUnited Rentals 3.84 9 per month 2.26  0.09  4.25 (3.62)  11.76 
AXPAmerican Express(3.02) 6 per month 1.77 (0.0013)  3.88 (3.11)  8.22 
WMTWalmart(2.01) 9 per month 1.11  0.08  2.18 (2.33)  6.90 
MRKMerck Company 2.99 8 per month 0.80  0.23  2.44 (1.43)  7.38 
BACBank Of America(0.95) 1 per month 1.82 (0.0026)  4.14 (2.89)  9.00 
TRVThe Travelers Companies(0.92) 10 per month 1.22  0.1  2.80 (2.03)  6.50 
CATCaterpillar(5.20) 9 per month 1.40  0.15  4.36 (2.70)  9.57 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 2.55 9 per month 1.81  0.07  3.65 (2.91)  9.75 
VZVerizon Communications(0.42) 6 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.21 (2.62)  7.59 

RPM International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RPM International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RPM International using various technical indicators. When you analyze RPM International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About RPM International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of RPM International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as RPM International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of RPM International based on analysis of RPM International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to RPM International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to RPM International's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.951.371.051.06
Interest Coverage5.348.837.656.5

Story Coverage note for RPM International

The number of cover stories for RPM International depends on current market conditions and RPM International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RPM International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RPM International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

RPM International Short Properties

RPM International's future price predictability will typically decrease when RPM International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RPM International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RPM International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RPM International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding129580000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments201672000.00
Additionally, take a look at RPM International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running RPM International price analysis, check to measure RPM International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RPM International is operating at the current time. Most of RPM International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RPM International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RPM International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RPM International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is RPM International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RPM International. If investors know RPM International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RPM International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.26
Market Capitalization
13.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Return On Assets
0.0689
Return On Equity
0.28
The market value of RPM International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RPM International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RPM International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RPM International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RPM International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RPM International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RPM International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine RPM International value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RPM International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.