Park Hotels Stock Future Price Prediction

PK
 Stock
  

USD 11.95  0.08  0.67%   

Park Hotels Resorts stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Park Hotels shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Park Hotels' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Park Hotels and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Park Hotels' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Park Hotels Resorts, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Park Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Park Hotels based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Park Hotels stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Park Hotels over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.92) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.15
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.62
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.54
Wall Street Target Price
16.46
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.12
Using Park Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Park Hotels Resorts from the perspective of Park Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Park Hotels using Park Hotels' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Park Hotels using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Park Hotels' stock price.
Park Hotels Receivables Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The last year's value of Receivables Turnover was reported at 22.33. The current Accounts Payable Turnover is estimated to increase to 11.97, while Return on Investment is projected to decrease to (1.87) .

Park Hotels Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Park Hotels' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Park Hotels. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Park Hotels stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Park Hotels may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Park Hotels and may potentially protect profits, hedge Park Hotels with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
15.5094
Short Percent
0.111
Short Ratio
5.58
Shares Short Prior Month
16.2 M
50 Day MA
12.1866
Shares Short
17.7 M

Park Hotels Resorts Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Park Hotels' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Park Hotels. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Park Hotels can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Park Hotels Resorts. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Park Hotels' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Park Hotels.

Park Hotels Implied Volatility

    
  102.48  
Park Hotels' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Park Hotels Resorts stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Park Hotels' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Park Hotels stock will not fluctuate a lot when Park Hotels' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Park Hotels. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Park Hotels to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Park Hotels because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Park Hotels after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Park Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Park Hotels in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.9214.7517.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.5912.4215.25
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0023.2526.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.71-0.64-0.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Park Hotels. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Park Hotels' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Park Hotels' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Park Hotels Resorts.

Park Hotels After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Park Hotels at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Park Hotels or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Park Hotels, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Park Hotels Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Park Hotels' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Park Hotels' historical news coverage. Park Hotels' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.08 and 14.74, respectively. We have considered Park Hotels' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 11.95
11.91
After-hype Price
14.74
Upside
Park Hotels is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Park Hotels Resorts is based on 3 months time horizon.

Park Hotels Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Park Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Park Hotels backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Park Hotels, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24  2.83   0.04    0.26  6 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.9511.910.33 
1,665  

Park Hotels Hype Timeline

As of December 7, 2022 Park Hotels Resorts is listed for 11.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.26. Park Hotels is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 11.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.33% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Park Hotels is about 261.6% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 11.69. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.62. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Park Hotels Resorts has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.14. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Please check Park Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Park Hotels Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Park Hotels' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Park Hotels' future price movements. Getting to know how Park Hotels rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Park Hotels may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
COMSCOMSovereign Holding Corp 0.06 4 per month 8.97  0.07  26.23 (17.27)  199.39 
CATCaterpillar(5.20) 8 per month 1.43  0.14  4.36 (2.70)  9.57 
BACBank Of America(1.57) 2 per month 2.04 (0.0281)  4.14 (2.97)  10.59 
WMTWalmart(1.84) 8 per month 1.11  0.08  2.18 (2.33)  7.56 
DISWalt Disney 0.25 7 per month 0.00 (0.11)  4.28 (3.79)  17.60 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp(2.75) 8 per month 1.89  0.0406  3.65 (2.91)  9.75 
DDDupont De Nemours(0.51) 9 per month 1.47  0.15  3.91 (2.34)  10.00 
MCDMcDonalds 2.91 8 per month 1.03  0.0318  1.99 (1.69)  5.72 

Park Hotels Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Park Hotels price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Park Hotels using various technical indicators. When you analyze Park Hotels charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Park Hotels Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Park Hotels stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Park Hotels Resorts, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Park Hotels based on analysis of Park Hotels hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Park Hotels's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Park Hotels's related companies.
 2018 2019 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.520.61.09
Interest Coverage3.373.042.56

Story Coverage note for Park Hotels

The number of cover stories for Park Hotels depends on current market conditions and Park Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Park Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Park Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Park Hotels Short Properties

Park Hotels' future price predictability will typically decrease when Park Hotels' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Park Hotels Resorts often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Park Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding236000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments703000000.00
Please check Park Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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When running Park Hotels Resorts price analysis, check to measure Park Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Park Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Park Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Park Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Park Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Park Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Park Hotels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park Hotels. If investors know Park Hotels will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Park Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.92) 
Market Capitalization
2.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.567
Return On Assets
0.0135
Return On Equity
0.0166
The market value of Park Hotels Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Park Hotels that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Park Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Park Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Park Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Park Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Park Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Park Hotels value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Park Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.