Overseas Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 2.97  0.03  1.02%   

Overseas Shipholding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Overseas Shipholding shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Overseas Shipholding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Overseas Shipholding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Overseas Shipholding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Overseas Shipholding Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Overseas Shipholding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Overseas Shipholding based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Overseas stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Overseas Shipholding over a specific investment horizon.Using Overseas Shipholding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Overseas Shipholding Group from the perspective of Overseas Shipholding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Overseas Shipholding using Overseas Shipholding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Overseas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Overseas Shipholding's stock price.

Overseas Shipholding Implied Volatility

Overseas Shipholding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Overseas Shipholding Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Overseas Shipholding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Overseas Shipholding stock will not fluctuate a lot when Overseas Shipholding's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Overseas Shipholding. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Overseas Shipholding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Overseas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Overseas Shipholding after-hype prediction price

  $ 2.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Overseas Shipholding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Overseas Shipholding in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Overseas Shipholding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Overseas Shipholding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Overseas Shipholding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Overseas Shipholding.

Overseas Shipholding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Overseas Shipholding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Overseas Shipholding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Overseas Shipholding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Overseas Shipholding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Overseas Shipholding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Overseas Shipholding's historical news coverage. Overseas Shipholding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.32 and 5.66, respectively. We have considered Overseas Shipholding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 2.97
After-hype Price
Overseas Shipholding is relatively risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Overseas Shipholding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Overseas Shipholding Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Overseas Shipholding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Overseas Shipholding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Overseas Shipholding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.64  2.67  0.02    0.05  4 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Overseas Shipholding Hype Timeline

On the 1st of October Overseas Shipholding is traded for 2.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Overseas is projected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 2.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.67% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Overseas Shipholding is about 3141.18% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.92. The company reported the last year's revenue of 381.79 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.89 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 62.02 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Please check Overseas Shipholding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Overseas Shipholding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Overseas Shipholding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Overseas Shipholding's future price movements. Getting to know how Overseas Shipholding rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Overseas Shipholding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Overseas Shipholding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Overseas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Overseas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Overseas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Overseas Shipholding Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Overseas Shipholding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Overseas Shipholding Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Overseas Shipholding based on analysis of Overseas Shipholding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Overseas Shipholding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Overseas Shipholding's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Overseas Shipholding

The number of cover stories for Overseas Shipholding depends on current market conditions and Overseas Shipholding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Overseas Shipholding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Overseas Shipholding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Overseas Shipholding Short Properties

Overseas Shipholding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Overseas Shipholding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Overseas Shipholding Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Overseas Shipholding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Overseas Shipholding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.48%
Short Percent Of Float0.81%
Float Shares45.82M
Shares Short Prior Month399.47k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day592.32k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month353.45k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please check Overseas Shipholding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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Is Overseas Shipholding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Overseas Shipholding. If investors know Overseas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Overseas Shipholding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Overseas Shipholding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Overseas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Overseas Shipholding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Overseas Shipholding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Overseas Shipholding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Overseas Shipholding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Overseas Shipholding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Overseas Shipholding value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Overseas Shipholding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.