Live Nation Stock Future Price Prediction

LYV
 Stock
  

USD 70.65  0.23  0.32%   

Live Nation Entertainment stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Live Nation shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Live Nation's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Live Nation and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Live Nation's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Live Nation Entertainment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Live Nation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Live Nation based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Live Nation stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Live Nation over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
6.297
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.79) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.86
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.29
Wall Street Target Price
102.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.03
Using Live Nation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Live Nation Entertainment from the perspective of Live Nation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Live Nation using Live Nation's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Live Nation using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Live Nation's stock price.
Live Nation Revenue to Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Live Nation reported Revenue to Assets of 0.44 in 2021. Total Assets Per Share is likely to climb to 69.16 in 2022, whereas Operating Margin is likely to drop (7.21)  in 2022.

Live Nation Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Live Nation's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Live Nation. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Live Nation stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Live Nation may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Live Nation and may potentially protect profits, hedge Live Nation with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
92.3504
Short Percent
0.0739
Short Ratio
5.43
Shares Short Prior Month
12.9 M
50 Day MA
75.5202
Shares Short
11.6 M

Live Nation Entertainment Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Live Nation's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Live Nation. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Live Nation can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Live Nation Entertainment. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Live Nation's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Live Nation.

Live Nation Implied Volatility

    
  51.97  
Live Nation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Live Nation Entertainment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Live Nation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Live Nation stock will not fluctuate a lot when Live Nation's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Live Nation. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Live Nation to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Live Nation because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Live Nation after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 70.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Live Nation contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Live Nation Entertainment will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.25% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Live Nation trading at USD70.65, that is roughly USD2.29. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Live Nation's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Live Nation Entertainment options at the current volatility level of 51.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Live Nation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Live Nation in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
63.8291.9294.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
73.6776.4279.18
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
97.00113.33125.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.81-2.75-2.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Live Nation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Live Nation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Live Nation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Live Nation Entertainment.

Live Nation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Live Nation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Live Nation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Live Nation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Live Nation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Live Nation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Live Nation's historical news coverage. Live Nation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.11 and 73.63, respectively. We have considered Live Nation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 70.65
70.87
After-hype Price
73.63
Upside
Live Nation is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Live Nation Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Live Nation Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Live Nation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Live Nation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Live Nation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36  2.76   0.04   0.20  6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
70.6570.870.06 
2,300  

Live Nation Hype Timeline

On the 7th of December Live Nation Entertainment is traded for 70.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. Live Nation is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 70.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.06% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Live Nation is about 501.82% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 70.85. About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.65. Live Nation Entertainment had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Additionally, see Live Nation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Live Nation Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Live Nation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Live Nation's future price movements. Getting to know how Live Nation rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Live Nation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HDHome Depot(0.92) 8 per month 1.89  0.0385  2.81 (2.50)  11.25 
BAThe Boeing 7.96 9 per month 3.20  0.07  4.65 (5.37)  14.69 
KOCoca-Cola Co 0.26 7 per month 1.16  0.0078  2.40 (1.60)  5.09 
CATCaterpillar(5.20) 8 per month 1.43  0.14  4.36 (2.70)  9.57 
CSCOCisco Systems 0.15 8 per month 1.32  0.0478  3.23 (1.96)  6.31 
PFEPfizer Inc 0.21 9 per month 1.19  0.05  3.14 (2.01)  6.70 
TRVThe Travelers Companies 2.37 8 per month 1.24  0.11  2.80 (2.03)  6.50 
TATT Inc 0.17 8 per month 1.17  0.07  2.54 (2.11)  9.29 
BACBank Of America(0.05) 2 per month 2.04 (0.0281)  4.14 (2.97)  10.59 

Live Nation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Live Nation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Live Nation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Live Nation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Live Nation Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Live Nation stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Live Nation Entertainment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Live Nation based on analysis of Live Nation hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Live Nation's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Live Nation's related companies.
 2018 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity2.492.852.572.06
Interest Coverage2.182.252.032.19

Story Coverage note for Live Nation

The number of cover stories for Live Nation depends on current market conditions and Live Nation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Live Nation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Live Nation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Live Nation Short Properties

Live Nation's future price predictability will typically decrease when Live Nation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Live Nation Entertainment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Live Nation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Live Nation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding212270944.00
Cash And Short Term Investments4884729000.00
Additionally, see Live Nation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Live Nation Entertainment price analysis, check to measure Live Nation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Live Nation is operating at the current time. Most of Live Nation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Live Nation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Live Nation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Live Nation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Live Nation's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Live Nation. If investors know Live Nation will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Live Nation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
6.297
Market Capitalization
17.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.28
Return On Assets
0.0295
Return On Equity
0.6803
The market value of Live Nation Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Live Nation that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Live Nation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Live Nation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Live Nation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Live Nation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Live Nation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Live Nation value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Live Nation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.