Luna Innovations Stock Future Price Prediction

LUNA
 Stock
  

USD 6.46  0.11  1.73%   

Luna Innovations stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Luna Innovations shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Luna Innovations' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Luna Innovations and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Luna Innovations' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Luna Innovations, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Luna Innovations Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Luna Innovations based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Luna Innovations stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Luna Innovations over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.77
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.21
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.31
Wall Street Target Price
10.13
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.06
Using Luna Innovations hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Luna Innovations from the perspective of Luna Innovations response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Luna Innovations using Luna Innovations' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Luna Innovations using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Luna Innovations' stock price.
Luna Innovations Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 0.14. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 6.66, whereas Interest Coverage is forecasted to decline to 168.50.

Luna Innovations Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Luna Innovations' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Luna Innovations. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Luna Innovations stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Luna Innovations may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Luna Innovations and may potentially protect profits, hedge Luna Innovations with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
5.91
Short Percent
0.0079
Short Ratio
4.28
Shares Short Prior Month
364.1 K
50 Day MA
5.07
Shares Short
250.2 K

Luna Innovations Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Luna Innovations' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Luna Innovations. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Luna Innovations can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Luna Innovations. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Luna Innovations' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Luna Innovations.

Luna Innovations Implied Volatility

    
  40.03  
Luna Innovations' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Luna Innovations stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Luna Innovations' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Luna Innovations stock will not fluctuate a lot when Luna Innovations' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Luna Innovations. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Luna Innovations to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Luna Innovations because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Luna Innovations after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 6.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Luna Innovations' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Luna Innovations in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
4.638.1911.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.966.5210.08
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.0010.5012.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.060.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Luna Innovations. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Luna Innovations' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Luna Innovations' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Luna Innovations.

Luna Innovations After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Luna Innovations at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Luna Innovations or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Luna Innovations, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Luna Innovations Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Luna Innovations' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Luna Innovations' historical news coverage. Luna Innovations' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.88 and 10.00, respectively. We have considered Luna Innovations' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 6.46
6.44
After-hype Price
10.00
Upside
Luna Innovations is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Luna Innovations is based on 3 months time horizon.

Luna Innovations Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Luna Innovations is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luna Innovations backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Luna Innovations, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.24  3.56   0.02   0.11  8 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.466.440.31 
3,956  

Luna Innovations Hype Timeline

Luna Innovations is now traded for 6.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Luna Innovations is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 6.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.31% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Luna Innovations is about 747.9% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.57. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Luna Innovations was now reported as 2.4. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally, see Luna Innovations Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Luna Innovations Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Luna Innovations' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Luna Innovations' future price movements. Getting to know how Luna Innovations rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Luna Innovations may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Luna Innovations Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Luna Innovations price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Luna Innovations using various technical indicators. When you analyze Luna Innovations charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Luna Innovations Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Luna Innovations stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Luna Innovations, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Luna Innovations based on analysis of Luna Innovations hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Luna Innovations's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Luna Innovations's related companies.
 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.220.140.15
Interest Coverage208.78202.57168.5

Story Coverage note for Luna Innovations

The number of cover stories for Luna Innovations depends on current market conditions and Luna Innovations' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Luna Innovations is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Luna Innovations' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Luna Innovations Short Properties

Luna Innovations' future price predictability will typically decrease when Luna Innovations' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Luna Innovations often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Luna Innovations' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luna Innovations' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.99%
Short Percent Of Float1.02%
Float Shares28.01M
Shares Short Prior Month300.82k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day68.88k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month66.54k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Additionally, see Luna Innovations Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Luna Innovations price analysis, check to measure Luna Innovations' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luna Innovations is operating at the current time. Most of Luna Innovations' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luna Innovations' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luna Innovations' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luna Innovations to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Luna Innovations' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Luna Innovations. If investors know Luna Innovations will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Luna Innovations listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.77
Market Capitalization
212.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.43
Return On Assets
(0.0105) 
Return On Equity
(0.0197) 
The market value of Luna Innovations is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Luna Innovations that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Luna Innovations' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Luna Innovations' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Luna Innovations' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Luna Innovations' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Luna Innovations' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Luna Innovations value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Luna Innovations' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.