Lockheed Stock Future Price Prediction

LMT
 Stock
  

USD 403.96  4.35  1.09%   

Lockheed Martin Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lockheed Martin shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lockheed Martin's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lockheed Martin and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lockheed Martin's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lockheed Martin Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Lockheed Martin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lockheed Martin based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lockheed stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lockheed Martin over a specific investment horizon.Using Lockheed Martin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lockheed Martin Corp from the perspective of Lockheed Martin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lockheed Martin using Lockheed Martin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lockheed using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lockheed Martin's stock price.

Lockheed Martin Implied Volatility

    
  32.11  
Lockheed Martin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lockheed Martin Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lockheed Martin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lockheed Martin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lockheed Martin's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lockheed Martin. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lockheed Martin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lockheed because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lockheed Martin after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 403.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lockheed contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lockheed Martin Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.01% per day over the life of the 2022-10-07 option contract. With Lockheed Martin trading at $403.96, that is roughly $8.11. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lockheed Martin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lockheed Martin Corp options at the current volatility level of 32.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lockheed Martin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lockheed Martin in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
397.55398.77444.04
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
350.00389.89450.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lockheed Martin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lockheed Martin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lockheed Martin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lockheed Martin Corp.

Lockheed Martin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lockheed Martin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lockheed Martin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lockheed Martin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lockheed Martin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lockheed Martin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lockheed Martin's historical news coverage. Lockheed Martin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 402.32 and 404.76, respectively. We have considered Lockheed Martin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 403.96
402.32
Downside
403.54
After-hype Price
404.76
Upside
Lockheed Martin is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lockheed Martin Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lockheed Martin Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Lockheed Martin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lockheed Martin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lockheed Martin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04  1.22   0.09   0.08  8 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
403.96403.540.03 
54.22  

Lockheed Martin Hype Timeline

On the 7th of October Lockheed Martin Corp is traded for 403.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Lockheed is expected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 403.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 54.22%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.03% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Lockheed Martin is about 58.1% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 404.04. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.95. Lockheed Martin Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 24.78. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of August 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 4th of January 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally, see Lockheed Martin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lockheed Martin Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lockheed Martin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lockheed Martin's future price movements. Getting to know how Lockheed Martin rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lockheed Martin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc 2.10 11 per month 2.43  0.06  4.00 (3.62)  17.42 

Lockheed Martin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lockheed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lockheed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lockheed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lockheed Martin Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lockheed Martin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lockheed Martin Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lockheed Martin based on analysis of Lockheed Martin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lockheed Martin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lockheed Martin's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lockheed Martin

The number of cover stories for Lockheed Martin depends on current market conditions and Lockheed Martin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lockheed Martin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lockheed Martin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lockheed Martin Short Properties

Lockheed Martin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lockheed Martin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lockheed Martin Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lockheed Martin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lockheed Martin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.96%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate10.00
Short Percent Of Float1.13%
Float Shares226.09M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.37M
Shares Short Prior Month2.41M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.19M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.50%
Additionally, see Lockheed Martin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Lockheed Martin Corp price analysis, check to measure Lockheed Martin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lockheed Martin is operating at the current time. Most of Lockheed Martin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lockheed Martin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lockheed Martin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lockheed Martin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lockheed Martin's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lockheed Martin. If investors know Lockheed will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lockheed Martin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Lockheed Martin Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lockheed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lockheed Martin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lockheed Martin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lockheed Martin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lockheed Martin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lockheed Martin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lockheed Martin value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lockheed Martin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.