Lear Corp Stock Future Price Prediction

LEA
 Stock
  

USD 143.80  0.33  0.23%   

Lear Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lear Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lear Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lear Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lear Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lear Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Lear Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lear Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lear Corp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lear Corp over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.61) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.64
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.5
EPS Estimate Next Year
13.36
Wall Street Target Price
151.53
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.12
Using Lear Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lear Corp from the perspective of Lear Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lear Corp using Lear Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lear Corp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lear Corp's stock price.
Lear Corp Interest Coverage is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 7.36. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 25.46, whereas Long Term Debt to Equity is forecasted to decline to 0.48.

Lear Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Lear Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lear Corp. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lear Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Lear Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lear Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lear Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
137.63
Short Percent
0.0296
Short Ratio
2.7
Shares Short Prior Month
1.8 M
50 Day MA
132.63
Shares Short
1.5 M

Lear Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lear Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Lear Corp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lear Corp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lear Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lear Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lear Corp.

Lear Corp Implied Volatility

    
  12.03  
Lear Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lear Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lear Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lear Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lear Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lear Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lear Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lear Corp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lear Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 143.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lear Corp contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lear Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.75% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Lear Corp trading at $143.8, that is roughly $1.08. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lear Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lear Corp options at the current volatility level of 12.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lear Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lear Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
129.12155.66158.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
142.52145.08147.63
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
150.00190.27220.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7.567.777.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lear Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lear Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lear Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lear Corp.

Lear Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lear Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lear Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lear Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lear Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lear Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lear Corp's historical news coverage. Lear Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 140.79 and 145.91, respectively. We have considered Lear Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 143.80
140.79
Downside
143.35
After-hype Price
145.91
Upside
Lear Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lear Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lear Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Lear Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lear Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lear Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.08  2.56   0.12   0.06  6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
143.80143.350.08 
169.54  

Lear Corp Hype Timeline

On the 27th of November Lear Corp is traded for 143.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Lear Corp is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 143.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 169.54%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.08% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Lear Corp is about 324.56% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 143.86. About 108.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lear Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of August 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of March 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Additionally, see Lear Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lear Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lear Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lear Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Lear Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lear Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CPYYYCentrica Plc ADR(0.04) 1 per month 2.43  0.07  5.94 (4.02)  14.03 
FSLRFirst Solar(5.54) 6 per month 2.19  0.19  4.71 (4.12)  13.93 
JBLJabil Circuit(1.28) 5 per month 1.64  0.07  3.70 (3.15)  8.34 
AAPAdvance Auto Parts(1.20) 8 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.08 (4.09)  19.72 
DDSDillards(1.75) 6 per month 2.54  0.09  4.82 (5.26)  18.29 
ORLYOReilly Automotive(13.09) 7 per month 1.25  0.15  2.84 (2.26)  7.95 
NFLXNetflix(11.02) 10 per month 2.93  0.09  7.98 (4.80)  17.88 
AZOAutozone 40.23 9 per month 1.29  0.09  3.11 (2.38)  7.01 

Lear Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lear Corp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lear Corp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lear Corp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lear Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lear Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lear Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lear Corp based on analysis of Lear Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lear Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lear Corp's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.530.510.560.48
Interest Coverage11.634.567.3611.52

Story Coverage note for Lear Corp

The number of cover stories for Lear Corp depends on current market conditions and Lear Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lear Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lear Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lear Corp Short Properties

Lear Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lear Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lear Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lear Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lear Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date31st of August 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out3.09%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.81
Short Percent Of Float3.57%
Float Shares58.64M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day499.33k
Shares Short Prior Month1.69M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month590.37k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Additionally, see Lear Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Lear Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lear Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for Lear Corp Stock analysis

When running Lear Corp price analysis, check to measure Lear Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lear Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Lear Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lear Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lear Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lear Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lear Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lear Corp. If investors know Lear Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lear Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.61) 
Market Capitalization
8.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.23
Return On Assets
0.0352
Return On Equity
0.0699
The market value of Lear Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lear Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lear Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lear Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lear Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lear Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lear Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lear Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lear Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.