Kratos Stock Future Price Prediction

KTOS
 Stock
  

USD 10.77  0.48  4.27%   

Kratos Defns stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kratos Defns shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kratos Defns' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kratos Defns and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kratos Defns' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kratos Defns, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Kratos Defns Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kratos Defns based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kratos stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kratos Defns over a specific investment horizon.Using Kratos Defns hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kratos Defns from the perspective of Kratos Defns response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kratos Defns using Kratos Defns' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kratos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kratos Defns' stock price.

Kratos Defns Implied Volatility

    
  48.98  
Kratos Defns' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kratos Defns stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kratos Defns' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kratos Defns stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kratos Defns' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kratos Defns. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kratos Defns to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kratos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kratos Defns after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 10.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kratos Defns' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Kratos Defns in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.6915.1117.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.9611.5414.12
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.0026.8330.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2612.9914.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kratos Defns. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kratos Defns' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kratos Defns' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Kratos Defns.

Kratos Defns After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kratos Defns at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kratos Defns or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kratos Defns, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kratos Defns Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kratos Defns' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kratos Defns' historical news coverage. Kratos Defns' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.11 and 13.27, respectively. We have considered Kratos Defns' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 10.77
10.69
After-hype Price
13.27
Upside
Kratos Defns is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kratos Defns is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kratos Defns Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Kratos Defns is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kratos Defns backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kratos Defns, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.39  2.58   0.08   0.00  10 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.7710.690.74 
1,229  

Kratos Defns Hype Timeline

Kratos Defns is now traded for 10.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Kratos is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 10.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.74% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Kratos Defns is about 314634.15% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.77. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kratos Defns had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 11th of September 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Please see Kratos Defns Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kratos Defns Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kratos Defns' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kratos Defns' future price movements. Getting to know how Kratos Defns rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kratos Defns may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DLCRKibush Capital Corp(0.00082) 5 per month 0.00  0.0315  0.00  0.00  190.48 

Kratos Defns Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kratos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kratos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kratos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kratos Defns Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kratos Defns stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kratos Defns, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kratos Defns based on analysis of Kratos Defns hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kratos Defns's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kratos Defns's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Kratos Defns

The number of cover stories for Kratos Defns depends on current market conditions and Kratos Defns' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kratos Defns is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kratos Defns' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Kratos Defns Short Properties

Kratos Defns' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kratos Defns' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kratos Defns often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kratos Defns' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kratos Defns' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.20%
Short Percent Of Float3.27%
Float Shares122.52M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day871.61k
Shares Short Prior Month3.73M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month783.34k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please see Kratos Defns Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Kratos Defns price analysis, check to measure Kratos Defns' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kratos Defns is operating at the current time. Most of Kratos Defns' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kratos Defns' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kratos Defns' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kratos Defns to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Go
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Go
Is Kratos Defns' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kratos Defns. If investors know Kratos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kratos Defns listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Kratos Defns is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kratos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kratos Defns' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kratos Defns' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kratos Defns' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kratos Defns' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kratos Defns' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Kratos Defns value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kratos Defns' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.