Hilton Stock Future Price Prediction

HLT
 Stock
  

USD 137.57  1.78  1.28%   

Hilton Worldwide Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hilton Worldwide shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hilton Worldwide's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hilton Worldwide and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hilton Worldwide's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hilton Worldwide Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Hilton Worldwide Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hilton Worldwide based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hilton stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hilton Worldwide over a specific investment horizon.Using Hilton Worldwide hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings from the perspective of Hilton Worldwide response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Hilton Worldwide Cash Flow Per Share is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Hilton Worldwide reported Cash Flow Per Share of 0.39 in 2021. Revenue to Assets is likely to gain to 0.38 in 2022, whereas Return on Investment is likely to drop 10.52 in 2022.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hilton Worldwide. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hilton Worldwide to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hilton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hilton Worldwide after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 136.89  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hilton Worldwide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hilton Worldwide in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
130.84132.91150.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
136.97139.04141.11
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
108.00144.36175.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.002.132.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hilton Worldwide. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hilton Worldwide's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hilton Worldwide's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hilton Worldwide Holdings.

Hilton Worldwide After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hilton Worldwide at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hilton Worldwide or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hilton Worldwide, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hilton Worldwide Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hilton Worldwide's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hilton Worldwide's historical news coverage. Hilton Worldwide's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 134.82 and 138.96, respectively. We have considered Hilton Worldwide's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 137.57
134.82
Downside
136.89
After-hype Price
138.96
Upside
Hilton Worldwide is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hilton Worldwide Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hilton Worldwide Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Hilton Worldwide is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hilton Worldwide backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hilton Worldwide, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.09  2.07  0.42   0.01  9 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
137.57136.890.31 
44.61  

Hilton Worldwide Hype Timeline

On the 6th of December Hilton Worldwide Holdings is traded for 137.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.42 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Hilton is expected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 136.89 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 44.61%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.31% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Hilton Worldwide is about 1648.67% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 137.58. The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.79 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 410 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.76 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Please check Hilton Worldwide Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hilton Worldwide Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hilton Worldwide's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. Getting to know how Hilton Worldwide rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hilton Worldwide may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
INTCIntel 1.34 8 per month 0.00 (0.05)  4.33 (3.46)  14.49 
GEGeneral Electric 0.28 8 per month 1.74  0.08  3.43 (2.68)  9.22 
BACBank Of America(0.95) 1 per month 1.82 (0.0026)  4.14 (2.89)  9.00 
BAThe Boeing 7.96 9 per month 3.13  0.08  4.65 (5.37)  14.69 
PFEPfizer Inc 1.26 7 per month 1.18  0.0466  3.14 (1.99)  6.70 
AXPAmerican Express 0.96 5 per month 1.77 (0.0013)  3.88 (3.11)  8.22 
MMM3M Company(3.60) 7 per month 1.74 (0.0301)  3.38 (3.23)  8.28 
CATCaterpillar(5.20) 8 per month 1.40  0.15  4.36 (2.70)  9.57 
TRVThe Travelers Companies(0.92) 10 per month 1.22  0.1  2.80 (2.03)  6.50 

Hilton Worldwide Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hilton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hilton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hilton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hilton Worldwide Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hilton Worldwide stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hilton Worldwide Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hilton Worldwide based on analysis of Hilton Worldwide hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hilton Worldwide's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hilton Worldwide's related companies.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity11.8712.81
Interest Coverage2.312.32

Story Coverage note for Hilton Worldwide

The number of cover stories for Hilton Worldwide depends on current market conditions and Hilton Worldwide's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hilton Worldwide is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hilton Worldwide's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hilton Worldwide Short Properties

Hilton Worldwide's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hilton Worldwide's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hilton Worldwide Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hilton Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilton Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding281000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1427000000.00
Please check Hilton Worldwide Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Hilton Worldwide Holdings price analysis, check to measure Hilton Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hilton Worldwide's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hilton Worldwide. If investors know Hilton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hilton Worldwide listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hilton Worldwide's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hilton Worldwide's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hilton Worldwide's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hilton Worldwide's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilton Worldwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hilton Worldwide value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilton Worldwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.