Halliburton Stock Future Price Prediction

HAL
 Stock
  

USD 38.87  0.98  2.59%   

Halliburton stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Halliburton shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Halliburton's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Halliburton and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Halliburton's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Halliburton, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Halliburton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Halliburton based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Halliburton stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Halliburton over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.3
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.63
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.1
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.92
Wall Street Target Price
45.37
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.56
Using Halliburton hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Halliburton from the perspective of Halliburton response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Halliburton using Halliburton's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Halliburton using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Halliburton's stock price.
Halliburton Accrued Expenses Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Accrued Expenses Turnover is estimated at 24.21. Operating Margin is expected to hike to 12.70 this year, although the value of Calculated Tax Rate will most likely fall to (20.36) .

Halliburton Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Halliburton's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Halliburton. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Halliburton stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Halliburton may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Halliburton and may potentially protect profits, hedge Halliburton with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
33.63
Short Percent
0.0251
Short Ratio
1.77
Shares Short Prior Month
22.3 M
50 Day MA
33.26
Shares Short
20.2 M

Halliburton Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Halliburton's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Halliburton. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Halliburton can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Halliburton. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Halliburton's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Halliburton.

Halliburton Implied Volatility

    
  30.35  
Halliburton's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Halliburton stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Halliburton's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Halliburton stock will not fluctuate a lot when Halliburton's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Halliburton. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Halliburton to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Halliburton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Halliburton after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 39.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Halliburton contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Halliburton will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.9% per day over the life of the 2022-12-09 option contract. With Halliburton trading at USD38.87, that is roughly USD0.74. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Halliburton's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Halliburton options at the current volatility level of 30.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Halliburton's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Halliburton in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
27.4930.7042.76
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.2029.1436.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (11)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.041.071.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Halliburton. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Halliburton's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Halliburton's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Halliburton.

Halliburton After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Halliburton at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Halliburton or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Halliburton, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Halliburton Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Halliburton's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Halliburton's historical news coverage. Halliburton's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.14 and 42.56, respectively. We have considered Halliburton's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 38.87
39.35
After-hype Price
42.56
Upside
Halliburton is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Halliburton is based on 3 months time horizon.

Halliburton Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Halliburton is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Halliburton backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Halliburton, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.48  3.21  0.48   0.06  6 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.8739.351.23 
321.00  

Halliburton Hype Timeline

On the 4th of December Halliburton is traded for 38.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.48 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Halliburton is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 39.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 1.23% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Halliburton is about 2791.3% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 38.93. The company reported the last year's revenue of 15.29 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.46 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.02 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Please check Halliburton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Halliburton Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Halliburton's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Halliburton's future price movements. Getting to know how Halliburton rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Halliburton may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Halliburton Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Halliburton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Halliburton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Halliburton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Halliburton Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Halliburton stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Halliburton, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Halliburton based on analysis of Halliburton hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Halliburton's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Halliburton's related companies.
 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.291.361.11
Interest Coverage3.844.414.53

Story Coverage note for Halliburton

The number of cover stories for Halliburton depends on current market conditions and Halliburton's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Halliburton is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Halliburton's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Halliburton Short Properties

Halliburton's future price predictability will typically decrease when Halliburton's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Halliburton often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Halliburton's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Halliburton's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding894000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments3044000000.00
Please check Halliburton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Halliburton information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Halliburton's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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When running Halliburton price analysis, check to measure Halliburton's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Halliburton is operating at the current time. Most of Halliburton's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Halliburton's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Halliburton's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Halliburton to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Halliburton's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Halliburton. If investors know Halliburton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Halliburton listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.3
Market Capitalization
34.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.39
Return On Assets
0.0749
Return On Equity
26.16
The market value of Halliburton is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Halliburton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Halliburton's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Halliburton's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Halliburton's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Halliburton's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Halliburton's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Halliburton value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Halliburton's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.