General Stock Future Price Prediction

GD
 Stock
  

USD 212.17  2.26  1.05%   

General Dynamics Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of General Dynamics shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of General Dynamics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of General Dynamics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from General Dynamics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with General Dynamics Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check General Dynamics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of General Dynamics based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The General stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on General Dynamics over a specific investment horizon.Using General Dynamics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Dynamics Corp from the perspective of General Dynamics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards General Dynamics using General Dynamics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards General using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of General Dynamics' stock price.

General Dynamics Implied Volatility

    
  31.46  
General Dynamics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of General Dynamics Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if General Dynamics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that General Dynamics stock will not fluctuate a lot when General Dynamics' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in General Dynamics. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in General Dynamics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying General because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

General Dynamics after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 212.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current General contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that General Dynamics Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.97% per day over the life of the 2022-10-07 option contract. With General Dynamics trading at $212.17, that is roughly $4.17. If you think that the market is fully incorporating General Dynamics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring General Dynamics Corp options at the current volatility level of 31.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Dynamics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of General Dynamics in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
190.95227.08228.37
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
210.00234.70247.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as General Dynamics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against General Dynamics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, General Dynamics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in General Dynamics Corp.

General Dynamics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of General Dynamics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in General Dynamics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of General Dynamics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

General Dynamics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting General Dynamics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on General Dynamics' historical news coverage. General Dynamics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 210.91 and 213.49, respectively. We have considered General Dynamics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 212.17
210.91
Downside
212.20
After-hype Price
213.49
Upside
General Dynamics is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General Dynamics Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

General Dynamics Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as General Dynamics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading General Dynamics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with General Dynamics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01  1.30  0.03    0.03  9 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
212.17212.200.01 
47.79  

General Dynamics Hype Timeline

As of October 3, 2022 General Dynamics Corp is listed for 212.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. General is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 212.2 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 47.79%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.01% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on General Dynamics is about 48.51% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 212.14. The company generated the yearly revenue of 38.44 B. Reported Net Income was 3.31 B with gross profit of 6.41 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Please check General Dynamics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

General Dynamics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to General Dynamics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict General Dynamics' future price movements. Getting to know how General Dynamics rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how General Dynamics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2.68) 10 per month 2.51  0.07  3.91 (3.62)  17.42 

General Dynamics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About General Dynamics Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of General Dynamics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as General Dynamics Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of General Dynamics based on analysis of General Dynamics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to General Dynamics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to General Dynamics's related companies.

Story Coverage note for General Dynamics

The number of cover stories for General Dynamics depends on current market conditions and General Dynamics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that General Dynamics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about General Dynamics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

General Dynamics Short Properties

General Dynamics' future price predictability will typically decrease when General Dynamics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of General Dynamics Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential General Dynamics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Dynamics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.12%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate4.67
Short Percent Of Float1.26%
Float Shares239.32M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day919.86k
Shares Short Prior Month3.66M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.01M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.18%
Please check General Dynamics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the General Dynamics Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other General Dynamics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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Is General Dynamics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General Dynamics. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of General Dynamics Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine General Dynamics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.