Global Stock Future Price Prediction

GB
 Stock
  

USD 4.63  0.03  0.64%   

Global Blue Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Global Blue shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Global Blue's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Global Blue and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Global Blue's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Global Blue Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Global Blue Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Global Blue based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Global stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Global Blue over a specific investment horizon.Using Global Blue hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Blue Group from the perspective of Global Blue response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Global Blue using Global Blue's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Global using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Global Blue's stock price.

Global Blue Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Global Blue's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Global Blue Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Global Blue's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Global Blue stock will not fluctuate a lot when Global Blue's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Global Blue. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Blue to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Global Blue after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 4.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Blue's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Global Blue in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
4.1916.1219.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.594.838.07
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0050.4058.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.404.885.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Global Blue. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Global Blue's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Global Blue's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Global Blue Group.

Global Blue After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Global Blue at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Blue or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Blue, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Global Blue Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Global Blue's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Blue's historical news coverage. Global Blue's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.40 and 7.88, respectively. We have considered Global Blue's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 4.63
4.64
After-hype Price
7.88
Upside
Global Blue is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Blue Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Global Blue Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Global Blue is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Blue backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Blue, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09  3.24   0.02   0.14  8 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.634.640.43 
1,296  

Global Blue Hype Timeline

As of October 2, 2022 Global Blue Group is listed for 4.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Global is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 4.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.43% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Global Blue is about 211.76% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.77. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Global Blue Group recorded a loss per share of 0.89. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Please check Global Blue Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Global Blue Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Global Blue's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Blue's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Blue rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Blue may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MSFTMicrosoft Corp 1.53 9 per month 0.00 (0.021)  2.43 (2.94)  12.18 

Global Blue Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Global Blue Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Global Blue stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Blue Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Blue based on analysis of Global Blue hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Blue's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Blue's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Global Blue

The number of cover stories for Global Blue depends on current market conditions and Global Blue's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Blue is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Blue's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Global Blue Short Properties

Global Blue's future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Blue's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Blue Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Blue's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Blue's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.05%
Short Percent Of Float0.19%
Float Shares38.08M
Shares Short Prior Month90.29k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day8.76k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month8.17k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please check Global Blue Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Global Blue Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Global Blue's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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When running Global Blue Group price analysis, check to measure Global Blue's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Blue is operating at the current time. Most of Global Blue's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Blue's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Blue's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Blue to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Global Blue's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Blue. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Blue listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Global Blue Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Blue's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Blue's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Blue's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Blue's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Blue's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Global Blue value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Blue's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.