Clearwater Stock Future Price Prediction

CLW
 Stock
  

USD 39.02  0.77  2.01%   

Clearwater Paper stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Clearwater Paper shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Clearwater Paper's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Clearwater Paper and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Clearwater Paper's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Clearwater Paper, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Clearwater Paper Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Clearwater Paper based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Clearwater stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Clearwater Paper over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
10
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.45
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.38
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.18
Wall Street Target Price
48.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.4
Using Clearwater Paper hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Clearwater Paper from the perspective of Clearwater Paper response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Clearwater Paper using Clearwater Paper's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Clearwater using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Clearwater Paper's stock price.
Clearwater Paper Return on Investment is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Clearwater Paper reported Return on Investment of 5.19 in 2021. Cash Flow Per Share is likely to climb to 6.47 in 2022, whereas Total Assets Per Share are likely to drop 91.91 in 2022.

Clearwater Paper Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Clearwater Paper's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Clearwater. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Clearwater Paper stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Clearwater Paper may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Clearwater Paper and may potentially protect profits, hedge Clearwater Paper with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
35.3895
Short Percent
0.026
Short Ratio
2.11
Shares Short Prior Month
356.9 K
50 Day MA
39.1114
Shares Short
304.5 K

Clearwater Paper Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Clearwater Paper's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Clearwater. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Clearwater can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Clearwater Paper. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Clearwater Paper's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Clearwater Paper.

Clearwater Paper Implied Volatility

    
  62.49  
Clearwater Paper's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Clearwater Paper stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Clearwater Paper's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Clearwater Paper stock will not fluctuate a lot when Clearwater Paper's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Clearwater Paper. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Clearwater Paper to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Clearwater because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Clearwater Paper after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 39.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clearwater Paper's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Clearwater Paper in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
35.1242.9445.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
37.4940.4743.44
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0046.0050.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.780.780.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Clearwater Paper. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Clearwater Paper's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Clearwater Paper's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Clearwater Paper.

Clearwater Paper After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Clearwater Paper at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Clearwater Paper or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Clearwater Paper, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Clearwater Paper Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Clearwater Paper's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Clearwater Paper's historical news coverage. Clearwater Paper's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.10 and 42.04, respectively. We have considered Clearwater Paper's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 39.02
39.07
After-hype Price
42.04
Upside
Clearwater Paper is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Clearwater Paper is based on 3 months time horizon.

Clearwater Paper Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Clearwater Paper is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Clearwater Paper backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Clearwater Paper, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09  2.97  0.05   0.13  3 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.0239.070.13 
503.39  

Clearwater Paper Hype Timeline

On the 6th of December Clearwater Paper is traded for 39.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Clearwater is expected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 39.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.13% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Clearwater Paper is about 199.93% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 39.15. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.77 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (28.1 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 182.6 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 3 days.
Continue to Clearwater Paper Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Clearwater Paper Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Clearwater Paper's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Clearwater Paper's future price movements. Getting to know how Clearwater Paper rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Clearwater Paper may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PFEPfizer Inc 0.21 9 per month 1.19  0.05  3.14 (2.01)  6.70 
JNJJohnson Johnson(0.21) 6 per month 0.94  0.06  1.58 (1.54)  5.18 
MRKMerck Company 2.99 8 per month 0.80  0.23  2.44 (1.43)  7.38 
HPQHP Inc 0.77 9 per month 2.06  0.0006  4.77 (3.64)  10.27 
MCDMcDonalds 2.91 8 per month 1.03  0.0318  1.99 (1.69)  5.72 
BAThe Boeing 7.96 9 per month 3.20  0.07  4.65 (5.37)  14.69 
INTCIntel 1.34 8 per month 0.00 (0.05)  4.33 (3.46)  14.49 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp(2.75) 8 per month 1.89  0.0406  3.65 (2.91)  9.75 
CSCOCisco Systems 0.15 8 per month 1.32  0.0478  3.23 (1.96)  6.31 

Clearwater Paper Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Clearwater price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Clearwater using various technical indicators. When you analyze Clearwater charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Clearwater Paper Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Clearwater Paper stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Clearwater Paper, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Clearwater Paper based on analysis of Clearwater Paper hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Clearwater Paper's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Clearwater Paper's related companies.
 2018 2020 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.641.371.2
Interest Coverage1.013.372.61

Story Coverage note for Clearwater Paper

The number of cover stories for Clearwater Paper depends on current market conditions and Clearwater Paper's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Clearwater Paper is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Clearwater Paper's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Clearwater Paper Short Properties

Clearwater Paper's future price predictability will typically decrease when Clearwater Paper's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Clearwater Paper often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Clearwater Paper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clearwater Paper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16767000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments25200000.00
Continue to Clearwater Paper Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Clearwater Paper price analysis, check to measure Clearwater Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clearwater Paper is operating at the current time. Most of Clearwater Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clearwater Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clearwater Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clearwater Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Clearwater Paper's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clearwater Paper. If investors know Clearwater will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clearwater Paper listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
10
Market Capitalization
641.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.196
Return On Assets
0.0533
Return On Equity
0.1158
The market value of Clearwater Paper is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clearwater that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clearwater Paper's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clearwater Paper's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clearwater Paper's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clearwater Paper's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clearwater Paper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Clearwater Paper value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clearwater Paper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.