Bluelinx Stock Future Price Prediction

BXC
 Stock
  

USD 57.88  3.69  5.99%   

Bluelinx Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bluelinx Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bluelinx Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bluelinx Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bluelinx Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bluelinx Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Bluelinx Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bluelinx Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bluelinx stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bluelinx Holdings over a specific investment horizon.Using Bluelinx Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bluelinx Holdings from the perspective of Bluelinx Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bluelinx Holdings using Bluelinx Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bluelinx using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bluelinx Holdings' stock price.

Bluelinx Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  53.79  
Bluelinx Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bluelinx Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bluelinx Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bluelinx Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bluelinx Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bluelinx Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bluelinx Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bluelinx because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bluelinx Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 58.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bluelinx contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bluelinx Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.36% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Bluelinx Holdings trading at $57.88, that is roughly $1.95. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bluelinx Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bluelinx Holdings options at the current volatility level of 53.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bluelinx Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bluelinx Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
52.0972.1475.04
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
75.0095.67110.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bluelinx Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bluelinx Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bluelinx Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bluelinx Holdings.

Bluelinx Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bluelinx Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bluelinx Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bluelinx Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bluelinx Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bluelinx Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bluelinx Holdings' historical news coverage. Bluelinx Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.42 and 61.22, respectively. We have considered Bluelinx Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 57.88
58.32
After-hype Price
61.22
Upside
Bluelinx Holdings is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bluelinx Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bluelinx Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Bluelinx Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bluelinx Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bluelinx Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18  2.90  0.44    0.59  7 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
57.8858.320.76 
117.89  

Bluelinx Holdings Hype Timeline

On the 26th of September Bluelinx Holdings is traded for 57.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.44 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.59. Bluelinx is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 58.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 117.89%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.76% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Bluelinx Holdings is about 88.96% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 57.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.55 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 367.68 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 778.43 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Continue to Bluelinx Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bluelinx Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bluelinx Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bluelinx Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Bluelinx Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bluelinx Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Bluelinx Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bluelinx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bluelinx using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bluelinx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bluelinx Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bluelinx Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bluelinx Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bluelinx Holdings based on analysis of Bluelinx Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bluelinx Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bluelinx Holdings's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Bluelinx Holdings

The number of cover stories for Bluelinx Holdings depends on current market conditions and Bluelinx Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bluelinx Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bluelinx Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bluelinx Holdings Short Properties

Bluelinx Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Bluelinx Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bluelinx Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bluelinx Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bluelinx Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.18%
Short Percent Of Float4.24%
Float Shares8.83M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day152.63k
Shares Short Prior Month804.18k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month144.42k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Continue to Bluelinx Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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When running Bluelinx Holdings price analysis, check to measure Bluelinx Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bluelinx Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Bluelinx Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bluelinx Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bluelinx Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bluelinx Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bluelinx Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bluelinx Holdings. If investors know Bluelinx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bluelinx Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Bluelinx Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bluelinx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bluelinx Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bluelinx Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bluelinx Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bluelinx Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bluelinx Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bluelinx Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bluelinx Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.