Baidu Stock Future Price Prediction

BIDU
 Stock
  

USD 117.72  3.68  3.03%   

Baidu Inc ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Baidu Inc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Baidu Inc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Baidu Inc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Baidu Inc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Baidu Inc ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Baidu Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Baidu Inc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Baidu stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Baidu Inc over a specific investment horizon.Using Baidu Inc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baidu Inc ADR from the perspective of Baidu Inc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Baidu Inc using Baidu Inc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Baidu using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Baidu Inc's stock price.

Baidu Inc Implied Volatility

    
  77.89  
Baidu Inc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Baidu Inc ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Baidu Inc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Baidu Inc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Baidu Inc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Baidu Inc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Baidu Inc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Baidu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Baidu Inc after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 116.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Baidu contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Baidu Inc ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.87% per day over the life of the 2022-09-30 option contract. With Baidu Inc trading at $117.72, that is roughly $5.73. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Baidu Inc's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Baidu Inc ADR options at the current volatility level of 77.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baidu Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Baidu Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
106.77154.49157.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
115.30117.91120.52
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
200.00279.85350.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
109.73126.50143.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Baidu Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Baidu Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Baidu Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Baidu Inc ADR.

Baidu Inc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Baidu Inc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baidu Inc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Baidu Inc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Baidu Inc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Baidu Inc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Baidu Inc's historical news coverage. Baidu Inc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 113.92 and 119.14, respectively. We have considered Baidu Inc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 117.72
113.92
Downside
116.53
After-hype Price
119.14
Upside
Baidu Inc is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baidu Inc ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Baidu Inc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Baidu Inc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baidu Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baidu Inc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.37  2.63   2.43   0.84  4 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
117.72116.531.77 
40.09  

Baidu Inc Hype Timeline

Baidu Inc ADR is currently traded for 117.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.43 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.84. Baidu is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 116.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 40.09%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -1.77% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Baidu Inc is about 115.35% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 118.56. About 48.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.22. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Baidu Inc ADR recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2010. The firm had 10:1 split on the 12th of May 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Continue to Baidu Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Baidu Inc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Baidu Inc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baidu Inc's future price movements. Getting to know how Baidu Inc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baidu Inc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TCTZFTencent Holdings 2.28 8 per month 0.00 (0.16)  3.47 (3.89)  10.21 

Baidu Inc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Baidu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baidu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baidu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Baidu Inc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Baidu Inc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Baidu Inc ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Baidu Inc based on analysis of Baidu Inc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Baidu Inc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Baidu Inc's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Baidu Inc

The number of cover stories for Baidu Inc depends on current market conditions and Baidu Inc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baidu Inc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baidu Inc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Baidu Inc Short Properties

Baidu Inc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Baidu Inc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Baidu Inc ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Baidu Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baidu Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.07%
Float Shares274.13M
Shares Short Prior Month6.97M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.29M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.35M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Continue to Baidu Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Baidu Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Baidu Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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When running Baidu Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Baidu Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baidu Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Baidu Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baidu Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baidu Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baidu Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Baidu Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Baidu Inc. If investors know Baidu will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Baidu Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Baidu Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Baidu that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Baidu Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Baidu Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Baidu Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Baidu Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baidu Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Baidu Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baidu Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.