Becton Stock Future Price Prediction

BDX
 Stock
  

USD 238.56  1.22  0.51%   

Becton Dickinson And stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Becton Dickinson shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Becton Dickinson's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Becton Dickinson and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Becton Dickinson's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Becton Dickinson And, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Becton Dickinson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Becton Dickinson based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Becton stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Becton Dickinson over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.12
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.9
EPS Estimate Current Year
11.33
EPS Estimate Next Year
12.19
Wall Street Target Price
263.08
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.74
Using Becton Dickinson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Becton Dickinson And from the perspective of Becton Dickinson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Becton Dickinson using Becton Dickinson's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Becton using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Becton Dickinson's stock price.
Becton Dickinson Asset Turnover is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Becton Dickinson reported Asset Turnover of 0.43 in 2021. Current Ratio is likely to rise to 2.10 in 2022, whereas PPandE Turnover is likely to drop 2.73 in 2022.

Becton Dickinson Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Becton Dickinson's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Becton. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Becton Dickinson stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Becton Dickinson may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Becton Dickinson and may potentially protect profits, hedge Becton Dickinson with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
248.21
Short Percent
0.0091
Short Ratio
1.38
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
229.3
Shares Short
2.6 M

Becton Dickinson And Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Becton Dickinson's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Becton. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Becton can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Becton Dickinson And. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Becton Dickinson's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Becton Dickinson.

Becton Dickinson Implied Volatility

    
  26.2  
Becton Dickinson's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Becton Dickinson And stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Becton Dickinson's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Becton Dickinson stock will not fluctuate a lot when Becton Dickinson's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Becton Dickinson. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Becton Dickinson to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Becton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Becton Dickinson after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 237.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Becton contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Becton Dickinson And will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.64% per day over the life of the 2022-12-02 option contract. With Becton Dickinson trading at $238.56, that is roughly $3.91. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Becton Dickinson's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Becton Dickinson And options at the current volatility level of 26.2%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Becton Dickinson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Becton Dickinson in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
213.61254.94256.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
251.06252.85254.64
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
250.00270.56300.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (10)
LowProjected EPSHigh
12.3512.4112.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Becton Dickinson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Becton Dickinson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Becton Dickinson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Becton Dickinson And.

Becton Dickinson After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Becton Dickinson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Becton Dickinson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Becton Dickinson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Becton Dickinson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Becton Dickinson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Becton Dickinson's historical news coverage. Becton Dickinson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 235.65 and 239.23, respectively. We have considered Becton Dickinson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 238.56
235.65
Downside
237.44
After-hype Price
239.23
Upside
Becton Dickinson is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Becton Dickinson And is based on 3 months time horizon.

Becton Dickinson Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Becton Dickinson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Becton Dickinson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Becton Dickinson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08  1.79  0.10    0.05  8 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
238.56237.440.04 
150.42  

Becton Dickinson Hype Timeline

On the 29th of November Becton Dickinson And is traded for 238.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Becton is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 237.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 150.42%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.04% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Becton Dickinson is about 309.96% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 238.51. The company reported the last year's revenue of 18.87 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.54 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.6 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Continue to Becton Dickinson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Becton Dickinson Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Becton Dickinson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Becton Dickinson's future price movements. Getting to know how Becton Dickinson rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Becton Dickinson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ABCAmerisourcebergen Corp(2.76) 7 per month 1.34  0.09  2.75 (2.01)  5.81 
CAHCardinal Health 1.48 9 per month 1.33  0.10  3.19 (2.79)  8.50 
CJJDChina Jojo Drugstore 0.04 2 per month 0.00 (0.17)  5.86 (7.97)  19.37 
EWEdwards Lifesciences Corp(1.34) 6 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.42 (3.16)  21.73 
HSICHenry Schein(0.45) 7 per month 1.38  0.0462  3.50 (2.60)  7.66 
JNJJohnson Johnson(0.21) 8 per month 1.05  0.06  1.78 (1.71)  5.47 
MCKMckesson Corp(1.24) 9 per month 1.61  0.0214  2.49 (2.75)  7.30 
MDTMedtronic(0.14) 10 per month 0.00 (0.15)  2.41 (3.09)  10.23 

Becton Dickinson Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Becton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Becton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Becton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Becton Dickinson Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Becton Dickinson stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Becton Dickinson And, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Becton Dickinson based on analysis of Becton Dickinson hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Becton Dickinson's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Becton Dickinson's related companies.
 2019 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.720.65
Interest Coverage2.857.0

Story Coverage note for Becton Dickinson

The number of cover stories for Becton Dickinson depends on current market conditions and Becton Dickinson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Becton Dickinson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Becton Dickinson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Becton Dickinson Short Properties

Becton Dickinson's future price predictability will typically decrease when Becton Dickinson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Becton Dickinson And often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Becton Dickinson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Becton Dickinson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date8th of September 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out1.04%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.48
Short Percent Of Float1.04%
Float Shares284.08M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.13M
Shares Short Prior Month3.59M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.37M
Date Short Interest31st of October 2022
Continue to Becton Dickinson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Becton Dickinson And information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Becton Dickinson's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Becton Stock analysis

When running Becton Dickinson And price analysis, check to measure Becton Dickinson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Becton Dickinson is operating at the current time. Most of Becton Dickinson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Becton Dickinson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Becton Dickinson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Becton Dickinson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Becton Dickinson's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Becton Dickinson. If investors know Becton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Becton Dickinson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.12
Market Capitalization
67.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.018) 
Return On Assets
0.0308
Return On Equity
0.0668
The market value of Becton Dickinson And is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Becton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Becton Dickinson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Becton Dickinson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Becton Dickinson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Becton Dickinson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Becton Dickinson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Becton Dickinson value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Becton Dickinson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.