Axon Enterprise Stock Future Price Prediction

AXON
 Stock
  

USD 113.46  1.51  1.35%   

Axon Enterprise stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Axon Enterprise shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Axon Enterprise's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Axon Enterprise and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Axon Enterprise's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Axon Enterprise, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Axon Enterprise Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Axon Enterprise based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Axon Enterprise stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Axon Enterprise over a specific investment horizon.Using Axon Enterprise hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axon Enterprise from the perspective of Axon Enterprise response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Axon Enterprise using Axon Enterprise's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Axon Enterprise using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Axon Enterprise's stock price.

Axon Enterprise Implied Volatility

    
  0.52  
Axon Enterprise's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Axon Enterprise stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Axon Enterprise's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Axon Enterprise stock will not fluctuate a lot when Axon Enterprise's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Axon Enterprise. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Axon Enterprise to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Axon Enterprise because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Axon Enterprise after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 114.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Axon Enterprise's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Axon Enterprise in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
102.11144.84147.77
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
180.00218.90250.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Axon Enterprise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Axon Enterprise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Axon Enterprise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Axon Enterprise.

Axon Enterprise After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Axon Enterprise at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axon Enterprise or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Axon Enterprise, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Axon Enterprise Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Axon Enterprise's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axon Enterprise's historical news coverage. Axon Enterprise's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 111.82 and 117.68, respectively. We have considered Axon Enterprise's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 113.46
111.82
Downside
114.75
After-hype Price
117.68
Upside
Axon Enterprise is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axon Enterprise is based on 3 months time horizon.

Axon Enterprise Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Axon Enterprise is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axon Enterprise backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axon Enterprise, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.29  2.93  1.29   0.14  4 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
113.46114.751.14 
65.99  

Axon Enterprise Hype Timeline

Axon Enterprise is presently traded for 113.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.29 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Axon Enterprise is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 114.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 65.99%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 1.14% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Axon Enterprise is about 586.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 113.6. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 924.79 M. Net Income was 42.77 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 540.91 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days.
Please continue to Axon Enterprise Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Axon Enterprise Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Axon Enterprise's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axon Enterprise's future price movements. Getting to know how Axon Enterprise rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axon Enterprise may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IBAIndustrias Bachoco SA 0.50 3 per month 1.05  0.11  2.32 (1.88)  11.96 

Axon Enterprise Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Axon Enterprise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axon Enterprise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axon Enterprise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Axon Enterprise Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Axon Enterprise stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Axon Enterprise, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axon Enterprise based on analysis of Axon Enterprise hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Axon Enterprise's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Axon Enterprise's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Axon Enterprise

The number of cover stories for Axon Enterprise depends on current market conditions and Axon Enterprise's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Axon Enterprise is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Axon Enterprise's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Axon Enterprise Short Properties

Axon Enterprise's future price predictability will typically decrease when Axon Enterprise's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Axon Enterprise often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Axon Enterprise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axon Enterprise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.46%
Short Percent Of Float2.91%
Float Shares67.37M
Shares Short Prior Month1.65M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day449.34k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month336.39k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please continue to Axon Enterprise Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Axon Enterprise price analysis, check to measure Axon Enterprise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axon Enterprise is operating at the current time. Most of Axon Enterprise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axon Enterprise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axon Enterprise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axon Enterprise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Axon Enterprise's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axon Enterprise. If investors know Axon Enterprise will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axon Enterprise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Axon Enterprise is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axon Enterprise that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axon Enterprise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axon Enterprise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axon Enterprise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axon Enterprise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axon Enterprise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Axon Enterprise value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axon Enterprise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.