Algonquin Stock Future Price Prediction

AQNA
 Stock
  

USD 25.79  0.11  0.43%   

Algonquin Power Utilities stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Algonquin Power shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Algonquin Power's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Algonquin Power and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Algonquin Power's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Algonquin Power Utilities, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Algonquin Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Algonquin Power based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Algonquin stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Algonquin Power over a specific investment horizon.
Using Algonquin Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Algonquin Power Utilities from the perspective of Algonquin Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Algonquin Power. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Algonquin Power to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Algonquin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Algonquin Power after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 25.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Algonquin Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Algonquin Power in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
25.2125.2128.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Algonquin Power. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Algonquin Power's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Algonquin Power's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Algonquin Power Utilities.

Algonquin Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility

As far as predicting the price of Algonquin Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Algonquin Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Algonquin Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Algonquin Power Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Algonquin Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Algonquin Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Algonquin Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.04  0.95   0.02    0.09  5 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.7925.790.00 
226.19  

Algonquin Power Hype Timeline

Algonquin Power Utilities is presently traded for 25.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Algonquin estimated not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis estimated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Algonquin Power is about 40.95%. The volatility of related hype on Algonquin Power is about 40.95% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 25.7. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimatedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Please continue to Algonquin Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Algonquin Power Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Algonquin Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Algonquin Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Algonquin Power rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Algonquin Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GOOGLAlphabet Cl A(2.32) 10 per month 2.22  0.0173  4.20 (3.92)  10.75 

Algonquin Power Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Algonquin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Algonquin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Algonquin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Algonquin Power Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Algonquin Power stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Algonquin Power Utilities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Algonquin Power based on analysis of Algonquin Power hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Algonquin Power's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Algonquin Power's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Algonquin Power

The number of cover stories for Algonquin Power depends on current market conditions and Algonquin Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Algonquin Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Algonquin Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Algonquin Power Short Properties

Algonquin Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Algonquin Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Algonquin Power Utilities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Algonquin Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Algonquin Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day16.33k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month20.33k
Please continue to Algonquin Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Algonquin Power Utilities information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Algonquin Power's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for Algonquin Stock analysis

When running Algonquin Power Utilities price analysis, check to measure Algonquin Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Algonquin Power is operating at the current time. Most of Algonquin Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Algonquin Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Algonquin Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Algonquin Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Shere Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Fund Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Go
Is Algonquin Power's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Algonquin Power. If investors know Algonquin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Algonquin Power listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Algonquin Power Utilities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Algonquin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Algonquin Power's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Algonquin Power's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Algonquin Power's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Algonquin Power's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Algonquin Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Algonquin Power value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Algonquin Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.