Air Industries Stock Future Price Prediction

AIRI
 Stock
  

USD 0.68  0.02  3.03%   

Air Industries Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Air Industries shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Air Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Air Industries and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Air Industries' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Air Industries Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Air Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Air Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Air Industries stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Air Industries over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.05
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.09
Wall Street Target Price
1.8
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.12
Using Air Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air Industries Group from the perspective of Air Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Air Industries EBITDA Margin is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The last year's value of EBITDA Margin was reported at 0.10. The current Earnings per Basic Share is estimated to increase to 0.05, while Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.97.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Air Industries. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Air Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Air Industries because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Air Industries after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 0.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Air Industries in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.061.124.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0132450.664.06
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
2.502.502.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Air Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Air Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Air Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Air Industries Group.

Air Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Air Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Air Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Air Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Air Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Air Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Air Industries' historical news coverage. Air Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.08, respectively. We have considered Air Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 0.68
0.69
After-hype Price
4.08
Upside
Air Industries is dangerous asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air Industries Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Air Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Air Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Air Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26  3.39  0.00   0.10  8 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.680.690.00 
33,900  

Air Industries Hype Timeline

Air Industries Group is presently traded for 0.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.1. Air Industries projected not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis projected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.26%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Air Industries is about 845.15%. The volatility of related hype on Air Industries is about 845.15% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.78. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Air Industries Group next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 19th of November 2015. The entity had 1:400 split on the 14th of October 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Please continue to Air Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Air Industries Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Air Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Air Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Air Industries rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Air Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALNAAllena Pharmaceuticals 0.14 2 per month 7.72  0.08  9.09 (15.38)  82.05 
WMTWalmart 2.68 10 per month 0.00 (0.0238)  2.43 (2.47)  13.98 
MMM3M Company(4.15) 6 per month 0.00 (0.02)  2.17 (2.52)  8.68 
TATT Inc 0.18 9 per month 1.38  0.24  2.99 (2.47)  12.17 
IBMInternational Business Machines 0.70 7 per month 1.41  0.18  2.47 (2.47)  11.05 
AAAlcoa Corp 2.84 8 per month 0.00 (0.17)  5.10 (6.70)  21.93 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 0.38 8 per month 2.91  0.11  3.03 (3.96)  11.86 
VZVerizon Communications 0.74 10 per month 1.68  0.12  2.30 (2.42)  7.94 
CVXChevron Corp 0.1 8 per month 0.00 (0.0041)  3.06 (4.60)  10.25 

Air Industries Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Air Industries price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air Industries using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air Industries charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Air Industries Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Air Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Air Industries Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air Industries based on analysis of Air Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Air Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Air Industries's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share0.350.490.540.56
Asset Turnover1.060.891.070.97

Story Coverage note for Air Industries

The number of cover stories for Air Industries depends on current market conditions and Air Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Air Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Air Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Air Industries Short Properties

Air Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Air Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Air Industries Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Air Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date19th of November 2015
Shares Percent Shares Out0.03%
Short Percent Of Float0.04%
Float Shares24.72M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day57.63k
Shares Short Prior Month16.35k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month59.27k
Date Short Interest31st of May 2022
Please continue to Air Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Air Industries Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Air Industries' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

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Is Air Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Industries. If investors know Air Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
21.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.12
Return On Assets
0.0304
Return On Equity
0.11
The market value of Air Industries Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Air Industries value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.