Airgain Stock Future Price Prediction

AIRG
 Stock
  

USD 8.11  0.07  0.86%   

Airgain stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Airgain shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Airgain's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Airgain and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Airgain's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Airgain, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Airgain Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Airgain based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Airgain stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Airgain over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-1.0
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.04
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.05
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.35
Wall Street Target Price
14.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.01
Using Airgain hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Airgain from the perspective of Airgain response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Airgain using Airgain's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Airgain using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Airgain's stock price.
Airgain Calculated Tax Rate is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 13.47. The current year PPandE Turnover is expected to grow to 34.99, whereas Operating Margin is forecasted to decline to (19.36) .

Airgain Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Airgain's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Airgain. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Airgain stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Airgain may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Airgain and may potentially protect profits, hedge Airgain with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
9.24
Short Percent
0.0157
Short Ratio
4.54
Shares Short Prior Month
154.4 K
50 Day MA
8.54
Shares Short
153.5 K

Airgain Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Airgain's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Airgain. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Airgain can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Airgain. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Airgain's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Airgain.

Airgain Implied Volatility

    
  231.21  
Airgain's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Airgain stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Airgain's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Airgain stock will not fluctuate a lot when Airgain's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Airgain. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Airgain to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Airgain because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Airgain after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 8.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Airgain's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Airgain in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.189.8713.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.118.8012.49
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
13.0016.6020.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.64-0.63-0.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Airgain. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Airgain's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Airgain's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Airgain.

Airgain After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Airgain at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Airgain or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Airgain, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Airgain Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Airgain's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Airgain's historical news coverage. Airgain's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.42 and 11.80, respectively. We have considered Airgain's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 8.11
8.11
After-hype Price
11.80
Upside
Airgain is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Airgain is based on 3 months time horizon.

Airgain Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Airgain is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Airgain backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Airgain, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27  3.69  0.00   0.06  8 Events / Month9 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.118.110.00 
36,900  

Airgain Hype Timeline

Airgain is presently traded for 8.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. Airgain projected not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis projected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.27%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Airgain is about 1662.16%. The volatility of related hype on Airgain is about 1662.16% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 8.17. About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Airgain has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.5. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.66. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Please continue to Airgain Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Airgain Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Airgain's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Airgain's future price movements. Getting to know how Airgain rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Airgain may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALLTAllot Communications(0.14) 6 per month 0.00 (0.05)  5.34 (6.59)  23.91 
SCHWThe Charles Schwab(0.58) 7 per month 1.65  0.07  3.98 (2.95)  10.01 
IBMInternational Business Machines(2.33) 7 per month 1.68 (0.0092)  2.09 (2.47)  7.86 
JPMJP Morgan Chase 0.40 3 per month 1.54 (0.008)  3.03 (2.34)  10.79 
DISWalt Disney 2.93 6 per month 1.78  0.06  3.98 (3.76)  7.34 
KOCoca-Cola(0.95) 4 per month 1.64 (0.06)  1.87 (1.96)  7.33 
AXPAmerican Express 0.78 6 per month 2.09 (0.0056)  3.79 (3.55)  9.74 
MCDMcDonalds Corp 2.71 8 per month 1.05  0.0444  2.22 (1.55)  4.71 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp(0.02) 9 per month 2.59  0.0042  3.33 (3.96)  10.43 
WMTWalmart(0.58) 7 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.86 (3.77)  11.49 

Airgain Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Airgain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Airgain using various technical indicators. When you analyze Airgain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Airgain Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Airgain stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Airgain, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Airgain based on analysis of Airgain hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Airgain's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Airgain's related companies.
 2015 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.740.0340.0349
Interest Coverage20.2418.2218.04

Story Coverage note for Airgain

The number of cover stories for Airgain depends on current market conditions and Airgain's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Airgain is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Airgain's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Airgain Short Properties

Airgain's future price predictability will typically decrease when Airgain's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Airgain often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Airgain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Airgain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.52%
Short Percent Of Float1.58%
Float Shares8.43M
Shares Short Prior Month190.17k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day18.84k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month54.85k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please continue to Airgain Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Airgain information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Airgain's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Airgain Stock analysis

When running Airgain price analysis, check to measure Airgain's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Airgain is operating at the current time. Most of Airgain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Airgain's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Airgain's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Airgain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Airgain's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Airgain. If investors know Airgain will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Airgain listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-1.0
Market Capitalization
84.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.12
Return On Assets
-0.11
Return On Equity
-0.26
The market value of Airgain is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Airgain that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Airgain's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Airgain's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Airgain's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Airgain's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Airgain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Airgain value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Airgain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.