Archer Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 2.89  0.19  6.17%   

Archer Aviation stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Archer Aviation shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Archer Aviation's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Archer Aviation and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Archer Aviation's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Archer Aviation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Archer Aviation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Archer Aviation based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Archer stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Archer Aviation over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
Using Archer Aviation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Archer Aviation from the perspective of Archer Aviation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Archer Aviation using Archer Aviation's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Archer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Archer Aviation's stock price.

Archer Aviation Implied Volatility

Archer Aviation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Archer Aviation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Archer Aviation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Archer Aviation stock will not fluctuate a lot when Archer Aviation's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Archer Aviation. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Archer Aviation to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Archer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Archer Aviation after-hype prediction price

  $ 2.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Archer Aviation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Archer Aviation in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
2 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Archer Aviation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Archer Aviation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Archer Aviation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Archer Aviation.

Archer Aviation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Archer Aviation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Archer Aviation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Archer Aviation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Archer Aviation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Archer Aviation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Archer Aviation's historical news coverage. Archer Aviation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 9.87, respectively. We have considered Archer Aviation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 2.89
After-hype Price
Archer Aviation is unstable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Archer Aviation is based on 3 months time horizon.

Archer Aviation Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Archer Aviation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Archer Aviation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Archer Aviation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.62  6.96  0.02   0.00  5 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Archer Aviation Hype Timeline

Archer Aviation is presently traded for 2.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Archer is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 2.91 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.69% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.62%. The volatility of related hype on Archer Aviation is about 9.223372036854776E16% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.89. Net Loss for the year was (347.8 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Please continue to Archer Aviation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Archer Aviation Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Archer Aviation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Archer Aviation's future price movements. Getting to know how Archer Aviation rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Archer Aviation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
PFEPfizer Inc 0.31 11 per month 1.94  0.11  3.17 (3.16)  8.45 
MCDMcDonalds Corp 0.09 11 per month 1.29  0.16  2.46 (1.98)  7.82 
DDDupont Denemours(2.11) 10 per month 0.00 (0.16)  3.00 (3.87)  9.53 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 0.04 10 per month 2.96  0.13  3.03 (3.96)  11.86 
TATT Inc 0.18 9 per month 1.37  0.26  2.99 (2.47)  12.17 
DISWalt Disney(2.12) 9 per month 0.00 (0.18)  3.29 (3.78)  8.79 
PGProcter Gamble(0.36) 11 per month 0.00  0.07  2.54 (2.30)  8.89 
JPMJP Morgan Chase(0.25) 8 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.98 (3.00)  10.78 
CATCaterpillar 4.22 9 per month 0.00 (0.0486)  3.20 (4.35)  10.92 

Archer Aviation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Archer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Archer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Archer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Archer Aviation Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Archer Aviation stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Archer Aviation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Archer Aviation based on analysis of Archer Aviation hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Archer Aviation's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Archer Aviation's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Archer Aviation

The number of cover stories for Archer Aviation depends on current market conditions and Archer Aviation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Archer Aviation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Archer Aviation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Archer Aviation Short Properties

Archer Aviation's future price predictability will typically decrease when Archer Aviation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Archer Aviation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Archer Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archer Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.03%
Short Percent Of Float5.78%
Float Shares124.52M
Shares Short Prior Month5.07M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.65M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.7M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Please continue to Archer Aviation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Archer Aviation information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Archer Aviation's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Complementary Tools for Archer Stock analysis

When running Archer Aviation price analysis, check to measure Archer Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Is Archer Aviation's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Aviation. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Aviation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
708.7 M
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Archer Aviation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Aviation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Aviation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Aviation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Aviation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archer Aviation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Archer Aviation value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer Aviation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.