MEDIFAST Stock Performance

MED
 Stock
  

USD 117.58  3.68  3.03%   

MEDIFAST INC has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.3134, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what MEDIFAST's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MEDIFAST INC will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect MEDIFAST INC price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical price patterns. The approach towards estimating future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining MEDIFAST INC technical indicators, you can right now evaluate if the expected return of 0.0405% will be sustainable into the future. MEDIFAST INC at this time secures a risk of 3.08%. Please verify MEDIFAST INC coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if MEDIFAST INC will be following its current price movements.
  
MEDIFAST Performance
1 of 100
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MEDIFAST INC are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, MEDIFAST INC is not utilizing all of its potentials. The new stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Structure and Payout Changes

Forward Dividend Yield
0.0544
Payout Ratio
0.4807
Forward Dividend Rate
6.56
Dividend Date
2022-11-08
Ex Dividend Date
2022-09-19

MEDIFAST Price Channel

Begin Period Cash Flow163723000.00
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-29064000.00

MEDIFAST INC Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11,801  in MEDIFAST INC on September 8, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (43.00)  from holding MEDIFAST INC or give up 0.36% of portfolio value over 90 days. MEDIFAST INC is generating 0.0405% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.0787% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than MEDIFAST, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Daily Expected Return (%)  
       Risk (%)  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon MEDIFAST INC is expected to generate 1.23 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.03 per unit of volatility.

MEDIFAST INC Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MEDIFAST INC's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as MEDIFAST INC, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a MEDIFAST INC's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0132

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Estimated Market Risk
 3.08
  actual daily
 
 26 %
of total potential
 
2626
Expected Return
 0.04
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
00
Risk-Adjusted Return
 0.01
  actual daily
 
 1 %
of total potential
 
11
Based on monthly moving average MEDIFAST INC is performing at about 1% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of MEDIFAST INC by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About MEDIFAST INC Performance

To evaluate MEDIFAST INC Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when MEDIFAST INC generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare MEDIFAST Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand MEDIFAST INC market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents MEDIFAST's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash112 K120.8 K
Return on Investment 120.23  129.72 
Return on Average Assets 48.64  52.49 
Return on Average Equity 91.20  98.40 
Return on Invested Capital 3.37  2.82 
Return on Sales 0.14  0.14 

Things to note about MEDIFAST INC

Checking the ongoing alerts about MEDIFAST INC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MEDIFAST INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

MEDIFAST INC Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

MEDIFAST INC has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of November 2022 MEDIFAST INC paid $ 1.64 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Medifast, Inc. - Simply Wall St
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis. Note that the MEDIFAST INC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other MEDIFAST INC's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running MEDIFAST INC price analysis, check to measure MEDIFAST INC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MEDIFAST INC is operating at the current time. Most of MEDIFAST INC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MEDIFAST INC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MEDIFAST INC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MEDIFAST INC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is MEDIFAST INC's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MEDIFAST INC. If investors know MEDIFAST will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MEDIFAST INC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.08) 
Market Capitalization
1.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.06) 
Return On Assets
0.3566
Return On Equity
0.8713
The market value of MEDIFAST INC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MEDIFAST that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MEDIFAST INC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MEDIFAST INC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MEDIFAST INC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MEDIFAST INC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MEDIFAST INC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine MEDIFAST INC value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MEDIFAST INC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.