Goosehead Stock Performance

GSHD
 Stock
  

USD 40.86  0.46  1.14%   

The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.7151, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Goosehead's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Goosehead Insurance will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Goosehead Insurance current price history, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current price movements. Our philosophy towards determining any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Goosehead Insurance exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Goosehead Insurance has an expected return of -0.11%. Please be advised to check out Goosehead Insurance semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis to decide if Goosehead Insurance performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
  
Goosehead Performance
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Over the last 90 days Goosehead Insurance has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's technical indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more

Structure and Payout Changes

Dividend Date
2021-08-23
Ex Dividend Date
2021-08-06

Goosehead Price Channel

Begin Period Cash Flow26236000.00
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-15375000.00

Goosehead Insurance Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,827  in Goosehead Insurance on September 3, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (741.00)  from holding Goosehead Insurance or give up 15.35% of portfolio value over 90 days. Goosehead Insurance is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.5825% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 48% of stocks are less volatile than Goosehead, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Daily Expected Return (%)  
       Risk (%)  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Goosehead Insurance is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.71 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Goosehead Insurance Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Goosehead Insurance's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Goosehead Insurance, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Goosehead Insurance's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0194

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Negative ReturnsGSHD
Estimated Market Risk
 5.58
  actual daily
 
 48 %
of total potential
 
4848
Expected Return
 -0.11
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
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Risk-Adjusted Return
 -0.02
  actual daily
 
 0 %
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Based on monthly moving average Goosehead Insurance is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Goosehead Insurance by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Goosehead Insurance Performance

To evaluate Goosehead Insurance Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Goosehead Insurance generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Goosehead Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Goosehead Insurance market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Goosehead's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Average Assets 2.38  2.44 
Return on Average Equity 8.73  9.42 
Return on Invested Capital 0.018  0.0185 
Return on Sales 0.039  0.0467 

Things to note about Goosehead Insurance

Checking the ongoing alerts about Goosehead Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Goosehead Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Goosehead Insurance Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Goosehead Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Goosehead Insurance has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Goosehead Insurance has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Goosehead Insurance Insider Trades Send a Signal - Goosehead Insurance - Benzinga
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Goosehead Insurance information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Goosehead Insurance's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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When running Goosehead Insurance price analysis, check to measure Goosehead Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goosehead Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Goosehead Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goosehead Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goosehead Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goosehead Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Goosehead Insurance's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Goosehead Insurance. If investors know Goosehead will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Goosehead Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.53) 
Market Capitalization
1.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.39
Return On Assets
0.0091
The market value of Goosehead Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Goosehead that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Goosehead Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Goosehead Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Goosehead Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Goosehead Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Goosehead Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Goosehead Insurance value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Goosehead Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.