Walmart Stock Market Value

WMT
 Stock
  

USD 152.49  0.88  0.57%   

Walmart's market value is the price at which a share of Walmart stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Walmart investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Walmart and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Walmart over a given investment horizon. Check out Walmart Correlation, Walmart Volatility and Walmart Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Walmart.
Symbol


Is Walmart's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walmart. If investors know Walmart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walmart listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.24
Market Capitalization
416.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.087
Return On Assets
0.0527
Return On Equity
0.11
The market value of Walmart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walmart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walmart's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walmart's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walmart's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walmart's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walmart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Walmart value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walmart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Walmart 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Walmart's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Walmart.
0.00
01/11/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 21 days
12/02/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Walmart on January 11, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Walmart or generate 0.0% return on investment in Walmart over 690 days. Walmart is related to or competes with Dollar General, Fossil, Home Depot, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Etsy, Linde PLC, and Anheuser Busch. Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, and other units worldwide More

Walmart Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Walmart's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Walmart upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Walmart Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Walmart's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Walmart's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Walmart historical prices to predict the future Walmart's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walmart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Walmart in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
152.62154.09155.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
138.03172.55174.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
155.26156.73158.20
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
153.00171.19190.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Walmart. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Walmart's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Walmart's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Walmart.

Walmart Backtested Returns

Walmart appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Walmart shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.17, which attests that the company had 0.17% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Walmart, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please utilize Walmart's Downside Deviation of 1.29, mean deviation of 1.03, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3935 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Walmart holds a performance score of 12. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.58, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Walmart's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Walmart returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Walmart will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is vital to follow Walmart historical price patterns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current price history. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining Walmart technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.25% will be sustainable into the future. Please utilizes Walmart value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index to make a quick decision on whether Walmart historical returns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.09  

Very weak reverse predictability

Walmart has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Walmart time series from 11th of January 2021 to 22nd of December 2021 and 22nd of December 2021 to 2nd of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Walmart price movement. The serial correlation of -0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Walmart price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.09
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance95.6

Walmart lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Walmart stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Walmart's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Walmart returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Walmart stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Walmart regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Walmart stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Walmart stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Walmart stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Walmart Lagged Returns

When evaluating Walmart's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Walmart stock have on its future price. Walmart autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Walmart autocorrelation shows the relationship between Walmart stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Walmart.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Walmart Investors Sentiment

The influence of Walmart's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Walmart. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Walmart's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Walmart. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Walmart can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Walmart. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Walmart's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Walmart's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Walmart's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Walmart.

Walmart Implied Volatility

    
  27.17  
Walmart's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Walmart stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Walmart's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Walmart stock will not fluctuate a lot when Walmart's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Walmart in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Walmart's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Walmart options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Walmart Correlation, Walmart Volatility and Walmart Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Walmart. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Walmart price analysis, check to measure Walmart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walmart is operating at the current time. Most of Walmart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walmart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walmart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walmart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Walmart technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Walmart technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Walmart trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...