Tesla Stock Market Value

TSLA
 Stock
  

USD 265.25  2.96  1.10%   

Tesla's market value is the price at which a share of Tesla stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tesla Inc investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tesla Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tesla over a given investment horizon. Additionally, take a look at Tesla Correlation, Tesla Volatility and Tesla Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tesla.
Symbol


Is Tesla's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tesla. If investors know Tesla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tesla listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Tesla Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tesla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tesla's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tesla's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tesla's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tesla's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tesla's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Tesla value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tesla's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tesla 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tesla's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tesla.
0.00
10/10/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
09/30/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tesla on October 10, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tesla Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tesla over 720 days. Tesla is related to or competes with Amazon. Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage syst... More

Tesla Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tesla's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tesla Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tesla Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tesla's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tesla's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tesla historical prices to predict the future Tesla's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tesla's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Tesla in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
259.63262.71265.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
238.73435.10438.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
237.60240.68243.76
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
159.00907.541,580
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tesla. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tesla's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tesla's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Tesla Inc.

Tesla Inc Backtested Returns

Tesla appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Tesla Inc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0818, which indicates the firm had 0.0818% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Tesla Inc, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please review Tesla's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1082, semi deviation of 2.75, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1117.63 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Tesla holds a performance score of 6. The entity has a beta of 1.5441, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Tesla's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tesla will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Tesla Inc current price movements, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Tesla Inc technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.25% will be sustainable into the future. Please operates Tesla jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and skewness to make a quick decision on whether Tesla Inc existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Tesla Inc has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tesla time series from 10th of October 2020 to 5th of October 2021 and 5th of October 2021 to 30th of September 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tesla Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Tesla price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2099.62

Tesla Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tesla stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tesla's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tesla returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tesla stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Tesla regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tesla stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tesla stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tesla stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Tesla Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tesla's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tesla stock have on its future price. Tesla autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tesla autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tesla stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tesla Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Tesla without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Additionally, take a look at Tesla Correlation, Tesla Volatility and Tesla Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tesla. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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When running Tesla Inc price analysis, check to measure Tesla's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tesla is operating at the current time. Most of Tesla's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tesla's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tesla's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tesla to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Tesla technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Tesla technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Tesla trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...