Nio Inc Stock Market Value

NIO
 Stock
  

USD 19.88  0.71  3.70%   

Nio Inc's market value is the price at which a share of Nio Inc stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nio Inc ADR investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nio Inc ADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nio Inc over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Nio Inc Hype Analysis, Nio Inc Correlation, Nio Inc Valuation, Nio Inc Volatility, as well as analyze Nio Inc Alpha and Beta and Nio Inc Performance.
Symbol


Is Nio Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nio Inc. If investors know Nio Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nio Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Nio Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nio Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nio Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nio Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nio Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nio Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nio Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nio Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nio Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nio Inc 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nio Inc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nio Inc.
0.00
09/19/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
08/10/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nio Inc on September 19, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nio Inc ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nio Inc over 690 days. Nio Inc is related to or competes with Faraday Future. NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in ChinaMore

Nio Inc Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nio Inc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nio Inc ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nio Inc Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nio Inc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nio Inc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nio Inc historical prices to predict the future Nio Inc's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nio Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nio Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
13.7119.0724.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.8030.3935.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.5720.9326.28
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0062.7080.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nio Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nio Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nio Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nio Inc ADR.

Nio Inc ADR Backtested Returns

Nio Inc appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Nio Inc ADR has Sharpe Ratio of 0.14, which conveys that the firm had 0.14% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards estimating the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By analyzing Nio Inc ADR technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.76% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Nio Inc's Downside Deviation of 5.11, mean deviation of 4.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.118 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Nio Inc holds a performance score of 10. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.0019, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Nio Inc's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Nio Inc will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Nio Inc ADR price patterns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity historical price patterns. The philosophy towards estimating future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Nio Inc, which you can use to evaluate the performance of the firm. Please exercises Nio Inc ADR maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change to make a quick decision on whether Nio Inc ADR current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.07  

Very weak reverse predictability

Nio Inc ADR has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nio Inc time series from 19th of September 2020 to 30th of August 2021 and 30th of August 2021 to 10th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nio Inc ADR price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Nio Inc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.07
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance75.74

Nio Inc ADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nio Inc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nio Inc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nio Inc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nio Inc stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Nio Inc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nio Inc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nio Inc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nio Inc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Nio Inc Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nio Inc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nio Inc stock have on its future price. Nio Inc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nio Inc autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nio Inc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nio Inc ADR.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Nio Inc Investors Sentiment

The influence of Nio Inc's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Nio Inc. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Nio Inc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Nio Inc. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nio Inc can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nio Inc ADR. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Nio Inc's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Nio Inc's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Nio Inc's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Nio Inc.

Nio Inc Implied Volatility

    
  94.2  
Nio Inc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nio Inc ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nio Inc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nio Inc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nio Inc's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nio Inc in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nio Inc's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nio Inc options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Nio Inc ADR using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Fix your portfolio
By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Additionally, see Nio Inc Hype Analysis, Nio Inc Correlation, Nio Inc Valuation, Nio Inc Volatility, as well as analyze Nio Inc Alpha and Beta and Nio Inc Performance. Note that the Nio Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nio Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for Nio Inc Stock analysis

When running Nio Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Nio Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nio Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Nio Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nio Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nio Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nio Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Go
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Nio Inc technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Nio Inc technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Nio Inc trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...